Posted on 03/17/2014 2:48:37 PM PDT by Kaslin
I promise I will not spend the next 232 days - between now and election day - writing about how the mid-terms are going to turn out. You know my record for prognostication. It's dreadful.
Nevertheless, here is what I Tweeted yesterday afternoon:
@richgalen Gallup Obama Approval 3-day track = 39-55. One year ago was 50-43. Reason enough for Dems to worry. http://bit.ly/6v3JWW
There is not much statistical difference between an approval rating of 42 and 39 (and it is likely to bounce within that range) but, the psychology of one being in the 40s and the other in the 30s is huge.
There is a reason cars are priced at $25,999 and not $26,001.
Going from a +7 (50-43) to a -16 (39-55) may be a numerical swing of 23 points, but it is a political swing of biblical proportions.
On Sunday the number, indeed, crawled back to 40-54.
We know that President Obama doesn't have much use for the U.S. Congress. He wasn't there very long, and while he was he didn't do much, and didn't make many friends.
But, he got to be President of the United States and none of the 535 members of the House or Senate can say that.
President Obama has used up his political capital. The cupboard is bare. His distain for the Article I branch is exceeded only by his dislike of the Article III branch. While people thought he was at least trying to do the right thing they gave him the benefit of the doubt.
But that benefit - like many health care benefits - have disappeared.
The business in Ukraine is, if only because of newness and rawness of the vote in Crimea yesterday, an excellent example of why the country has lost faith in the Obama Presidency.
The Russians reported last night that, with about 50 percent of the ballots the Crimean referendum counted, 95.5 percent were in favor of leaving Ukraine and joining Russia.
Are we going to war over Crimea? No. Nor, over any other provinces of Ukraine that Russia might move into. America is more isolationist than any time since the period between World Wars I and II.
Having Secretary of State John Kerry in hours-long conversations with his Russian counterpart only to have the Russian say afterwards that there was "no common vision" is not a show of strength.
I don't know how much Russian President Vladimir Putin was emboldened by President Obama's indecisiveness on Syria (remember the red line?) but it doesn't appear to have made him stroke his chin and wonder if he could risk annexing Crimea.
On Obamacare, CNN released a poll last week showing that approval for the President's signature program was at 39 in favor and 57 opposed. That's not the bad news.
The bad news is that is an improvement over the 35-62 that opposed the plan in December.
Democrats running for the House or Senate are studying these numbers like a race track tout studying the Racing Form.
The New York Times' Jonathan Martin and Ashley Parker published a piece over the weekend in which they wrote:
"One Democratic lawmaker, who asked not to be identified, said Mr. Obama was becoming 'poisonous' to the party's candidates."
Don't roll your eyes and curse my name. I didn't write this, I am merely repeating the words of a "Democratic lawmaker."
But, neither will I argue the point.
Yesterday, on "Meet the Press," former Obama Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said "There's real, real danger that the Democrats could suffer big losses" in the mid-term elections.
When host David Gregory asked if the Democrat's control of the U.S. Senate was in danger, Gibbs said "Definitely … absolutely."
This wasn't Karl Rove saying the Senate was likely to flip. This was Robert Gibbs.
About the only thing the President is not being blamed for is the disappearance of that Malaysian airliner.
The rest, is political poison.
There are many days left, and many ways that the collectivists can win in November.
I’m hopeful, but really —in the re-election HOW many Cleveland districts featured 100% turn-out UNANIMOUSLY voting for Obama...?
I saw a statistician run the odds of Cleveland being a totally honest go, and it was one in quadrillions, or something.
Why won’t they simply STEAL IT ALL OVER AGAIN..?
I know those are some sour grapes, but....whaddya guys think..?
Same thing over again?
The sky is blue.
The pope is a Catholic.
Obama is poisonous.
He and Michelle hate America and work to destroy it.
TRANSLATION FROM CHICAGO GANGLAND PARLANCE: "Obama put the Democrats in deep-doo doo when he forced them to sign onto his cockamamie healthcare plan.
No amount of fund-raising is gonna help---Sink lost outspending the Republican 3-1.
Obama getting involved is a joke---no Democrat wants him anywhere near their campaigns.
Democrats were promised a piece of the Healthcare action. Man, in Chicago, if a politician welches on a deal, it's lights out...
...as they say in East Cicero, Illinois, "if you like your mortician, you can keep your mortician.'
“I’m hopeful, but really —in the re-election HOW many Cleveland districts featured 100% turn-out UNANIMOUSLY voting for Obama...?”
That’s nothing. As I recall, some precincts in Philidelphia were OVER 100%.
Guy walks into a bar and asks what is the difference between a democrat and a RINO? Then the fat blonde headed hag behind the bar says not a d@mm thing, and what difference does it make!
In the spirit of democracy, here is my proposal. Let the people of Crimea vote again, but this time broaden their choices, like what was done with Nova Scotia. Let them decide if they want to go to Russia, the US, the UK, France, Canada, Ukraine, or be independent, and give them one do over, should they change their minds again. ...They would probably still choose Russia, but Jimmy Carter would have something to do besides go to Venezuela to monitor elections. Obama would never consent to it, because it would make him look like a bigger chump than he already is, if that is possible.
Guy walks into a bar and asks what is the difference between a conservative and a democrat ?
Then the fat blonde headed hag behind the bar says not a d@mm thing, and what difference does it make! THEY BOTH HATE REPUBLICANS.
Democrats will win every house seat in Cleveland, that's a given, fruad or not. In a statewide election they can stuff the ballot box in the cities and overwhelm all the votes from the rural and suburban areas and that is enough to carry the state. But house races are not statewide. Cleveland can win by 150% and have 200% turnout and it makes no difference whatsoever to districts outside Cleveland. So it's harder to rig house elections, easier to rig Senate and Presidential elections.
The result is that in principle the house should be easily safe and the Senate would be in play if elections were fair but they may steal enough of the states (through fraud int he cities) to keep a majority there. But the blue dogs (code word for democrats who lie at election time about being conservative, but always vote liberal even if they claim to struggle first) are in jeopardy of finally bein figured out and tossed. I'd say status quo (GOP keeps house, Dems keep Senate, barely) looks like the worst case scenario. Feel better?
Give it time.
Hell, I been say'in that for 10 years.
Don’t use poisonous, TOXIC is much more descriptive. Poisinous implies an an attack must occur, as with a poisonous snake. Toxic correctly implies that in Obama’s case, anyone who even gets some near to him will pay a price.
Yeah, they will just fix this problem at the polls. They have experience.
The New Black Panther Party will be called out to "help out" at the polls in November, no doubt.
Do you really think he give a rats as*. He will f the dumb-o-crat even though he used them as willing sock puppet, take his pension, body guards, and the hundreds of millions of kickback monnies he has in offshore accounts and go smiling on his way with no regrets.
Emetics and cathartics are not traditionally classified as poisons.
Who knew?
Not sure they ever really had faith. Only hope. As blacks have recently (only several decades) put their hope in the Democrat Party. Too bad they don't just have faith in themselves, their efforts, their opportunities. Just sad.
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