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GOP poll shows McConnell up big over Bevin
The Hill ^ | 3/10/14 | By Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 03/19/2014 6:48:50 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has a nearly 40-point lead over his primary challenger, Matt Bevin, in a new Republican survey of the Kentucky Senate GOP primary.

The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support.

That’s an increase in support from an early-February independent survey of the race, which showed McConnell ahead by only 26 points. But it’s actually a decrease from the last GOP survey of the race, conducted by Wenzel Strategies at the start of February, which gave him a 42-point lead.

It’s likely McConnell’s primary lead is somewhere between those two numbers — significant double-digits, still a favorable position just over two months out from Election Day.

The polling memo also notes McConnell maintains a 33-point lead over Bevin even among voters who say they’ve heard of the GOP challenger, an indication that, even if Bevin manages to increase his profile in the state, he’ll find it difficult to break ahead.

McConnell's persistently high unpopularity has given Democrats reason to believe he's one of the GOP's most vulnerable senators this cycle, but the new survey gives McConnell a surprisingly high approval rating among GOP primary voters, with 67 percent approving of his job performance, while just 25 percent view him unfavorably.

Bevin, in contrast, is seen favorably by just 21 percent of primary voters and unfavorably by 15 percent.

McConnell has sparked the ire of conservatives throughout his career but that frustration ran particularly high last month, when he was one of a handful of Republican senators to vote to raise the debt limit.

The fallout from the move was on display last week when McConnell received a lukewarm reception from activists at the Conservative Political Action Conference just outside of Washington, D.C.

But this survey, which was conducted Feb, 24-26, about 10 days after the vote, seems to indicate he still retains some good will with Republicans.

The survey was conducted among 400 likely Republican primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

McConnell is favored in his primary, and expected to encounter Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes in the general election in Kentucky.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: bevin; kentucky; lundergangrimes; mattbevin; mcconnell; mitchmcconnell
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To: ChildOfThe60s
survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group

sounds like the McConnell camp is preparing to steal the election

21 posted on 03/19/2014 7:24:22 AM PDT by drypowder
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To: ChildOfThe60s
I just want to point out that Public Opinion Strategies (POS... heh) is the same polling firm that had Romney convinced he had the Presidential election in the bag - so convinced that he had only prepared his victory speech. In a Washington ComPost piece from November of 2012, POS's Neil Newhouse explained that they had based their opinion on surveys showing an electorate that 'favored' Republicans. We all know how that turned out.

Going forward, Newhouse explained that they would be including more 'young voters' in their sampling. They also decided it would be wise to do one third of their respondents via cell phone.

Just a little food for thought here.

22 posted on 03/19/2014 7:25:55 AM PDT by liberalh8ter (The only difference between flash mob 'urban yutes' and U.S. politicians is the hoodies.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Hey that’s great.

Pretty much why I am going to vote for Ted Cruz and NO ONE ELSE.


23 posted on 03/19/2014 7:27:08 AM PDT by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If this was true, he would not be this worried


24 posted on 03/19/2014 7:28:11 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: The Working Man

get out and rally the base if you can!!

Get a handful of those bumper stickers and pass them out

Put up signs

WE NEED A BIG WIN


25 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:03 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Just shows how stupid and ignorant the voters are. Sad.


26 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:10 AM PDT by mulligan (I)
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To: VAFreedom

Fact # 1 - This is a poll presented by The Hill, like in Kirstin Powers et al. - BIG time libs.

Fact # 2 - The GOP establishment is backing turkey throat

Fact # 3 - Its very hard to beat an entrenched incumbent - they have YEARS to use their office to dispense favors to constituents and corporations. The Constituents give them votes, the corporations give them money.

Fact # 4 - Nobody said it would be easy to take our country back. But remember those people who DIED at places like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg, the Argonne Forest, Chateau Thierry, Iwo Jima, etc. We OWE it to them to keep trying.


27 posted on 03/19/2014 7:29:38 AM PDT by ZULU (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
"The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support."

Designed to bust morale IMO, and it seems like it's working, by the comments so far. If conservatives are willing to throw in the towel this easily, well...

28 posted on 03/19/2014 7:30:34 AM PDT by PoloSec ( Believe the Gospel: how that Christ died for our sins, was buried and rose again)
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To: Theodore R.

Cornball did NOT score easily in Tx. He did not even get 60% of the vote.

For an incumbant, that is terrible.


29 posted on 03/19/2014 7:31:25 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: dfwgator

Why don’;t you just SHUT UP

You are here to demoralize, that’s all...


30 posted on 03/19/2014 7:32:15 AM PDT by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: drypowder
sounds like the McConnell camp is preparing to steal the election

The Cook County Machine is working overtime here. McConnell's comments last weekend to the NYT that they are going to "crush Conservatives everywhere" was not just wishful thinking on his part. He knows what their machine is going to do to every single Conservative in the country. There will never be another Ted Cruz Mike Lee or Rand Paul again if they can help it.

Its all part of the MarxoFascist national coup that took place. The GOP Ruling Class are Judenrats and like the prospect of sharing where the power now lies.

31 posted on 03/19/2014 7:33:20 AM PDT by INVAR ("Fart for liberty, fart for freedom and fart proudly!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: Biggirl

Let’s just say the Tea Party voters are better informed. :)


32 posted on 03/19/2014 7:37:48 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: ChildOfThe60s
Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell
group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership..the HILL
considering these sources, the polling maybe ...
very skewed, to favor Reid's *itch McConnell (Wdc-GOP/e)

i'm stickin' w/ Matt Bevin, i don't/won't vote for whores like Mitch.

33 posted on 03/19/2014 7:39:38 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: ZULU
Consider the Psy-Ops being done and repeated on all local media AD NAUSEUM today:

The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support.

Says pretty much what you need to know.

Nobody said it would be easy to take our country back. But remember those people who DIED at places like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg, the Argonne Forest, Chateau Thierry, Iwo Jima, etc. We OWE it to them to keep trying.

Like the aforementioned events listed above - defeating tyranny is going to require more than casting a ballot. Civility means nothing to tyrants, power is everything and they will use all power to retain their power.

A fact seemingly LOST on a people who fell asleep at the wheel wondering how to get control of their ship back.

34 posted on 03/19/2014 7:40:51 AM PDT by INVAR ("Fart for liberty, fart for freedom and fart proudly!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

The gopE has taken a play out of the democrat handbook. “Who else are you going to vote for, dummies?”

Well, as for me, I’ll vote third party, write a name in or stay home and save my gas. I will never vote for another republican.


35 posted on 03/19/2014 8:04:44 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: ChildOfThe60s

“GOP poll” not sure how trust worthy that is. “GOP polls” had Romney beating Obama too.


36 posted on 03/19/2014 8:05:32 AM PDT by Robert DeLong (u)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

If I was in Kentucky I’d vote for the democrat. McConnell and his ilk need to get a slap in the face. Wouldn’t he be shocked if the democrat won in a landslide!


37 posted on 03/19/2014 8:06:00 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: Theodore R.

If Bevin is no more competition than what Cornyn had, them Mitch is a shoe-in.

You can not drag in some underfunded unknown in the last minute and beat well established and heavy funded incumbents.


38 posted on 03/19/2014 8:09:06 AM PDT by X-spurt (CRUZ missile - armed and ready.)
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To: VerySadAmerican

The Democrat will win against McConnell, he has a 60% unfavorable rating in the state.

Mitch is running even with the Dem, and when Bevin’s voters vote for the Dem or stay home he will lose.

Actually that will be better than him in the Majority leader post. It will send a message to the GOPe, that funding Obamacare is not an issue you win on.


39 posted on 03/19/2014 8:26:18 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (New Boss Nancy Pelosi)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

When I saw Rand Paul endorse Mitch I knew Bevin was done for.

Rand Paul was endorsed by the Tea Party and Mitch wants to smite the Tea Party.

Paul is an opportunist and cannot be trusted. He is not a Tea Party conservative.

Paul is just like Rubio, even on amnesty, Paul just wants to
do it over a few years, not immediately.

Paul is phony


40 posted on 03/19/2014 8:31:50 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (New Boss Nancy Pelosi)
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