Skip to comments.Unsettling “Settled Science”
Posted on 03/23/2014 6:58:30 AM PDT by Kaslin
I was making a Costco run with my friend George on Friday, and the subject of the weather came up. It was a nice day, relatively speaking, but Saturday was going to be nicer nearly 70 degrees. This was a nice change of pace from the polar vortexes and dump trucks full of snow weve been hit with here in Maryland for the past three months. Then I looked at my iPhone and noted the forecast calls for another possible large snowstorm Tuesday.
George said that seemed a little far away to predict such things with any certainty, and hes right. Considering meteorologists rarely can tell you with any accuracy what happened yesterday, why should they be believed on what will happen next week? The fact is they shouldnt.
What drives me nuts, as I told George, isnt that theyre wrong so often. Its the certainty with which they make predictions knowing they dont truly know and so often are so off-base. Its at this time that George, a medical doctor with a masters degree in biology, a bachelors degree in mathematics and minor in chemistry, laughed, saying, Nothing is absolute in science, except maybe in physics. (Another area he spent a lot of time studying. Hes an over-achiever.)
Its true: We know very little about the world in which we live or even our own bodies.
The Earth was flat and the sun revolved around it. Bleedings were prescribed for healing at one point by science. But we dont need to go back that far to find confusion and contradictions in settled science.
Smoking causes cancer, but not in everyone and we dont know why. Why eating a diet of fried foods makes one person fat but with normal blood pressure and someone else can be incredibly fit with a healthy diet but have high blood pressure remains an unknown. Science, at its most certain, is probability sometimes extremely high, but still not 100 percent. And its changing all the time.
A few years ago, we were told saturated fat caused heart disease, and polyunsaturated fat was a good fat that was great for the heart. Labels were changed to highlight the absence of one and the presence of the other. Diets were launched. Cookbooks were written. Lives were altered. And it may all have been for naught.
The UK Telegraph reported this week, Scientists have discovered that saturated fat does not cause heart disease while so-called healthy polyunsaturated fats do not prevent cardiovascular problems. This wasnt just a 180-degree turn from what we knew to be true, its a full 540-degree loop from what used to be orthodoxy.
The fact is we dont know which fats are good, if any, and which are bad, if any, with any certainty. What two months ago was known to be true, beyond any doubt, is now known to be false.
The true nature of science is truth-seeking, rarely finding. But in that seeking, some truth can be found. That smoking is unhealthy, even if it doesnt cause cancer in someone, is beyond question. That a bleeding is not the best treatment for pneumonia seems obvious, even though it once was the treatment for it. It was the consensus, it was settled science.
The concept of settled science based on majority vote is the mantra of the climate change industry. Were pro-lifers to flood the field of biology, become the majority and vote that life unequivocally begins at conception, theyd reject the notion by a show of hands.
Science, by its very nature, requires proof. And proof is the one thing the hierarchy of the environmentalist movement hasnt provided. Newsweek once wrote, There are ominous signs that the earths weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production with serious political implications for just about every nation on earth. (Emphasis added.) Quite a few qualifiers in that sentence, dont you think?
This was from an article in 1975 entitled, The Cooling World about the consensus among scientists that we were on the verge of a new ice age. (Read the whole thing here.) The science was settled. The vote had been taken. We were doomed. Only someone forget to tell the planet because the ice age didnt happen.
Yet the solutions proposed then more government control of the economy and us, higher taxes, less freedom, etc. are nearly identical to the solutions proposed for global warming decades later. Since the planet hasnt warmed in 18 years, despite consensus that it would, the catch-all term has been updated to climate change. This empowered progressives to blame anything on it cold, hot, storms, droughts. But the solutions are constant the same governmental power expansion theyve been seeking for nearly a century.
Their faith, if not their facts, remains unwavering.
They believe in science just ask them but they hide their data from skeptical scrutiny and coordinate efforts to hide the decline in temperatures. Science is the seeking and understanding of provable fact its knowledge, precisely what these progressives and academics seek to keep from the masses.
Ironically, the very people who attack anyone who dares question their faith is labeled a shill for big oil. Meanwhile those progressives control the bureaucracy that oversees the government spigot from which flows billions of dollars in grants to academics to study more climate change.
This leads to an obvious questions: If temperatures are rising, and its an irrefutable fact that humans are to blame, why does it require hundreds of millions of dollars to continue to prove it each year?
The answer is simple scientists and academia is every bit as addicted to the money that flows to the belief in manmade climate change as they accuse skeptics of being to money from oil companies.
Progressives have their agenda. The American public rejects it at the polls, when they run on it in campaigns, or later when they are again found to have concealed it. But they dont care. What they cant get at the ballot box, they seek from the courts.
What they cant get in the courts, they seek through regulation. When they cant win an argument, they create a moral imperative to justify it (ironic considering theyve spent decades telling conservative you can legislate morality).
Save the planet, For the children, and so on have been the battle cry of the greatest affronts to liberty this country has ever seen. And its all funded by the very taxpayers who oppose the end result against their will and without their knowledge.
Its the ultimate article of faith, a religion based not on a Supreme Being, but the supremacy of certain beings progressives. But while theres no proof God doesnt exist, theres ample proof their agenda does not work. Undeterred, they press on ever forward.
The Holy Church of Global Warming (a wholly owned subsidiary of Climate Change, Inc. and its bureaucratic and political clergy in the progressives movement) are every bit as much a religion as any church you can name. Its a religion based on faith not in a higher power but in a better, smarter group of people who know better how you should live your life than you do.
Just like those who tell you whats good to eat, drink, etc., progressives would like people to believe science is on their side, and that once a vote is taken it is settled. Of course, science isnt consensus. Its not about a majority vote. And unlike the reality of their failed agenda, it rarely, if ever, is settled.
OK!! Everybody pay attention!
Lesson for today:
1. The sun is 1,300,000 times as big as the earth.
2. The sun is a ball of fire that controls the climates of all its planets.
3. The earth is one of the suns planets.
4. The earth is a speck in comparison to the size of the sun.
5. Inhabitants of the earth are less than specks.
Study Question: How do less-than-specks in congress plan to control the sun?
On the food examples my favorite is eggs. A while back we were told that eggs will kill you; too much cholesterol. This devastated small egg farmers putting many out of business (the big corporate ones could weather the storm). A couple years later, after many families had been ruined financially we were told that eggs were ok after all.
Of “global warming” was “settled science” and threaten to kill all mankind very quickly:
1. Why did the main scientists of global warming, when they found errors in their models pointing it was less severe issue, not jump for joy and celebrate? And not share this joyful news with the rest of the world in celebration? Instead they were sad and and tried to hide their new data from the public.
2. Why are not the main scientists of global warming not pushing 1000000% for replacing all energy production with nuclear energy. Nuclear energy is the greenest of all power production and dwarfs all wind/solar production. Despite all the bad side effects of nuclear power - it is the only viable way to reduce greenhouse gases if adopted on a massive scale.
Yet the main scientists of global warming are crazy anti-nuclear.
So basically - it is all fake science to grow government.
This is a great question. I have a proposal. If this is all settled, why don't we tell the climate scientists to put their money where there mouth is. All money now going to climate research will be diverted towards their climate 'solutions'.
There is no such thing as “settled science”, as by its very nature, every hypothesis presented in explanation of some observed cause and effect, is subject to later modification or even abandonment, when a substitute explanation can be framed and put to rigorous testing, with the intention in every instance is to disprove each hypothesis in its turn.
Some practical observations, and conclusions about its relationship to the whole of the universe, have stood the test well. Others are subject to so many caveats and exceptions as to prove to be almost useless on a pragmatic basis. “Climate change” is one of those postulations that has not yet proven to be either consistent with other known facts, or reproducible by objective researchers in other venues and programs.
Real science has probed to be too difficult for these climate cultists, and left untried.
This incorrect statement has been corrected many times. The decline refers to the decline in the proxies (tree rings) which was erased and replaced with the rising temperatures from surface thermometers. They did not hide any decline in temperatures since there has been no decline in temperatures just a halt in the rise.
Oddly enough, the so-called “I love science” left thinks that being gay is genetic with no scientific proof, and that unborn children aren’t humans but a “glob of tissue”.
And dont forget that DDT causes cancer, despite all of the science that never found that to be true.
there has been no decline in temperatures just a halt in the rise.
You obviously do not live in WI!
Right out of Woody Allen's "Sleeper".
Dr. Melik: This morning for breakfast he requested something called "wheat germ, organic honey and tiger's milk."
Dr. Aragon: [chuckling] Oh, yes. Those are the charmed substances that some years ago were thought to contain life-preserving properties.
Dr. Melik: You mean there was no deep fat? No steak or cream pies or... hot fudge?
Dr. Aragon: Those were thought to be unhealthy... precisely the opposite of what we now know to be true.
Dr. Melik: Incredible.
you must have forgotten about March 2012, 15.5 degrees above average in Green Bay. This month is -8.5 so far.
Classical mechanics and electromagnetic theory could probably be called “settled”. Everything else in science is developing and changing over time.
How modern global warming science took form
I suggest that at the top of every page of every science book should be the warning label “All science is theory”. Any scientific “fact” is only a fact until it is scientifically contradicted.
The current theory among the “higher minded” is that Mother Earth is a benign, nurturing and unchanging environment for all her creatures. They also believe that all geologic and climatic history began around 1979 and that any event that threatens Earth’s creatures is unprecedented and has been caused by humankind who is thought to be some form of extra terrestrial virus. Their proof of this is in their computer models and the words of their prophet Al Gore. — Captain
It seems to me that East Coast weather forecasts this winter have been pretty accurate a week or so out. They may not be 100% on where the storms might dump their snow but the predictions that the region will get cold and snow somewhere within a given time frame has been pretty good.