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Nate Silver of 538: GOP Has 60% Chance Of Taking Senate in 2014
Real Clear Politics ^ | March 23, 2014 | Nate Silver

Posted on 03/23/2014 2:28:33 PM PDT by Din Maker

ESPN's FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver examines the state of the 2014 Senate races. Silver predicts the Republican party has a 60% chance to take the Senate in 2014. Silver also says there is a 30% chance that the GOP can "win big."

Silver says the Republican party has a 45% shot to take a Senate seat in Michigan, a 35% chance in Colorado and 30% for a seat in Iowa.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; senateraces
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To: Din Maker

Only problem is there are entirely too many GOP-e’s in the Senate. The 17th amendment truly screwed this country.


21 posted on 03/23/2014 2:59:53 PM PDT by Ghost of SVR4 (So many are so hopelessly dependent on the government that they will fight to protect it.)
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To: max americana

I dunno...... But, I wish to hell they would come up with something new.


22 posted on 03/23/2014 3:00:36 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Din Maker
I mean, old man, Mayor Daley of Chicago, has been dead a long time.

And he is still voting Democrat

23 posted on 03/23/2014 3:01:49 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Din Maker; All
Thank you for referencing that article Din Maker. Please bear in mind that the following critique is directed at the article and not at you.

I think that Nate Silver has a good head on his shoulders.

However ...

I don't think that Silver has his sights for the Senate aimed high enough because he may not be aware of the following. If patriots and former Obama supporters can win 2/3 Democratic and Republican conservative majorities in each House of Congress in the midterm elections, then Congress will be positioned as follows.

Congress will have the power, under the Constitution's Clause 2 of Section 7 of Article I, to override presidential vetoes. This means that Congress would be able to repeal constitutionally indefensible Obamacare Democratcare, for example, without Obama's signature.

24 posted on 03/23/2014 3:02:55 PM PDT by Amendment10
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To: research99
“They need 60 seats for cloture to pass legislation, if they follow traditional rules. Ain’t gonna happen.”

We can all dream that McConnell will grow a pair of seeds and rule with an iron fist like Dirty Harry.

25 posted on 03/23/2014 3:02:58 PM PDT by HenpeckedCon (What pi$$es me off the most is that POS commie will get a State Funeral!)
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To: Teacher317

I really did LOL at that. That was a good one.


26 posted on 03/23/2014 3:03:02 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Din Maker

There’s the woman in Ohio who was let go even after she confessed to voting 8 times for Obama..EIGHT..and the left adores her..of course there is going to be fraud in November, there always is, that is why Dems are so against Voter ID


27 posted on 03/23/2014 3:04:10 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: research99

We don’t want impeachment! That would put Biden in as President and give him an advantage in the 2016 election.


28 posted on 03/23/2014 3:04:47 PM PDT by MCF
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To: HenpeckedCon

We can all dream that McConnell will grow a pair of seeds and rule with an iron fist like Dirty Harry.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Or, we can give and work our assess off so Mitch won’t be in the Senate in January 2015 to be elected the SML.


29 posted on 03/23/2014 3:05:59 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Din Maker
Well, I’m new to FR, but, most political websites give some credence to what you said above. However, no one has ever produced proof that there is “MASSIVE” voter fraud. If you have proof; lay it on us.

As you note, the direct evidence is scarce... but with good reason. The Left, the MSM, the Dem machine, etc all have a heavily vested-interest in keeping it a secret. Literally trillions of dollars are on the line.

However, the anecdotal evidence is pretty massive on its own:
EVERY effort to clean up voter rolls: opposed by Dems
EVERY effort to ensure that only US citizens vote: opposed by Dems
EVERY time the number of votes in a district exceeds the actual number of registered voters (ie, a 100+% turnout): it is ALWAYS in a 90+% Dem district (and these are usually areas where you can't get a 10% turnout for free smoke-detectors).
EVERY time an election is close, the heavily Dem districts get reported last, and are almost always sufficient to turn the result into a Dem win, even if 90% of the other districts and counties vote GOP.

"It ain't rocket surgery"

30 posted on 03/23/2014 3:11:56 PM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Din Maker

After the last election, I think he crawled into a hole to hide.


31 posted on 03/23/2014 3:31:09 PM PDT by crz
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To: Din Maker

In Nov. 2010, Silver predicted the GOP would take 54 seats (the GOP took 63), so if he’s predicting this early on, it may be even worse for the Rats.

Don’t get complacent! The Obama machine will do everything in its power to GOTV.


32 posted on 03/23/2014 3:41:57 PM PDT by randita
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To: Din Maker

Even if the GOP gets the senate they will not do a thing with it. The dems will continue to set the agenda.


33 posted on 03/23/2014 3:48:22 PM PDT by HChampagne
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To: Din Maker

It’s all good and well for the GOP to take over the Senate.

But, more importantly, will there be any difference after they take over or will it be business as usual?


34 posted on 03/23/2014 3:50:09 PM PDT by 353FMG
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To: 353FMG

“Meet the new boss, Same as the old boss.”


35 posted on 03/23/2014 3:50:49 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Din Maker

About a 90% chance the GOP screws it all up.


36 posted on 03/23/2014 3:51:50 PM PDT by vmivol00 (I won't be reconstructed.)
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To: MCF

I know you’re not kidding. but Biden? As president? Didn’t he try for the primaries in 04 or 08? Besides, all (Biden’s) stupidity aside, he is up to his neck in all this stuff. He goes, too.

Maybe Boehner *wouldn’t* be so bad, temporarily. He’s a disaster as Speaker.


37 posted on 03/23/2014 3:52:35 PM PDT by KGeorge (Till we're together again, Gypsy girl. May 28, 1998- June 3, 2013)
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To: Free Vulcan

The guy got every state correct in 2012. Of course, before the vote everyone here thought he was an idiot. Clearly he knows what he’s doing.


38 posted on 03/23/2014 3:58:28 PM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Then how did the Dems suffer a crushing defeat in the midterms in 2010?


39 posted on 03/23/2014 3:59:20 PM PDT by bigdaddy45
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To: Din Maker
"Well if anyone can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, the GOP-e can."

I wish we could go one day here on Free Republic without someone posting that tired, old, worn out sh*t.

Sorry about your luck, but the truth is never tired, old, or worn out.

40 posted on 03/23/2014 4:12:57 PM PDT by Lazamataz (Early 2009 to 7/21/2013 - RIP my little girl Cathy. You were the best cat ever. You will be missed.)
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