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House Republican Leaders Finally State The Obvious: Obamacare Isn't Going Anywhere
Forbes ^ | 04/29/2014 | Avik Roy

Posted on 04/29/2014 7:13:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

For years, we’ve heard Republicans claim that they want to “repeal and replace” Obamacare with a better set of reforms. (What those reforms would exactly be, nobody can say for sure.) But there was always one critical problem with the “repeal and replace” plan: it stands no chance of passage until at least 2017. By then, as many as 35 million people could be on Obamacare-sponsored coverage. A few Republican leaders have had the temerity to acknowledge this fact—and that’s a good thing.

By committing to repeal, Republicans damage their chances in 2016

Most pundits are focused on the likelihood of Republican gains in 2014, fueled by an older, whiter electorate and the unpopularity of Obamacare. But the real prize is 2016. If Republicans can’t retake the White House in 2016, conservatives will have little to no opportunity to shape the future of the health-care entitlement leviathan.

And there’s good reason to believe that Republicans will lose in 2016. Here’s my thinking. In the Republican presidential primary leading up to that election, no aspiring GOP nominee will stray from the “repeal and replace” incantation that has become de rigueur among conservatives. To do otherwise will risk being called a RINO: a Republican In Name Only.

So, a repealer-and-replacer gets nominated by the GOP, much to the satisfaction of conservatives. That nominee runs against Hillary Clinton, whose only campaign ad of the year points out that for the 35 million people on Obamacare-sponsored health coverage, you won’t be able to keep your plan under the Republicans. If 70 percent of those 35 million people vote for Hillary, Republicans lose in a landslide.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 0carenightmare; abortion; avikroy; deathpanels; forbes; gopobamacare; obamacare; repeal; zerocare
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1 posted on 04/29/2014 7:13:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 04/29/2014 7:14:33 PM PDT by dontreadthis
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To: SeekAndFind

“By committing to repeal, Republicans damage their chances in 2016 “

Liar.


3 posted on 04/29/2014 7:15:57 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart (How's that 'lesser evil' workin' out for ya?)
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To: SeekAndFind

GOP losers lose again. They get snookered by the Nazi ‘RATS every time.


4 posted on 04/29/2014 7:18:01 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Obama's smidgens are coming home to roost.)
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To: Norm Lenhart

By not committing to repeal of this disaster,a republican weakling is politically FINISHED!!


5 posted on 04/29/2014 7:19:06 PM PDT by SADMILLIE
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Part of the plan.

I was hoping after 2016 I would never have to hear that name again, but it looks like it will be around for a while.


6 posted on 04/29/2014 7:20:02 PM PDT by bk1000 (A clear conscience is a sure sign of a poor memory)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s like this Avik old boy, the GOP doesn’t have to take out your ObammyCare. Once the GOOBs pass amnesty, ObammyCare will collapse under its own weight. Sorry pal. The money just isn’t there.


7 posted on 04/29/2014 7:20:47 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Obama's smidgens are coming home to roost.)
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To: SeekAndFind

‘That nominee runs against Hillary Clinton, whose only campaign ad of the year points out that for the 35 million people on Obamacare-sponsored health coverage, you won’t be able to keep your plan under the Republicans.’

I thought we could keep our plan under Obama, and save $2500 to boot.


8 posted on 04/29/2014 7:22:36 PM PDT by bk1000 (A clear conscience is a sure sign of a poor memory)
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To: SeekAndFind
Why would anyone think the Republican Party would nominate a candidate in 2016 committed to repealing Obamacare when they nominated Mitt Romney -- whose own track record in Massachusetts demonstrated his strong support for government-run health care -- in 2012 ... when an anti-Obamacare platform may have actually been effective?
9 posted on 04/29/2014 7:22:40 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've never seen such a conclave of minstrels in my life.")
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To: SeekAndFind
I am one of the unfortunate millions of individual policy holders who got terminated by this terrible abomination and have had to deal with the reality that this administration cares not a whit if I live or die. I detest Obama and the democrats and writers and pundits who, safe from having to live with Obamacare, can pontificate about how great it is.

Perhaps when more people realize what an abortion this so called law it, something will be done. This entire episode is a travesty and shows how far this country has fallen.

10 posted on 04/29/2014 7:23:11 PM PDT by Lawgvr1955 ( Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: SeekAndFind

Scotty: “Shees going to Blow Jim”

This is a stupid article. The thing is going to self destruct. Now way to “fix” it.


11 posted on 04/29/2014 7:24:17 PM PDT by Texas Fossil (Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I remember when this was passed, predicted on the day of passage by the freepers.


12 posted on 04/29/2014 7:24:19 PM PDT by dila813
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To: bk1000

It’s up to 35 million now?


13 posted on 04/29/2014 7:25:13 PM PDT by SoCal Pubbie
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To: SeekAndFind

“By committing to repeal, Republicans damage their chances in 2016”

I call BS on this one...


14 posted on 04/29/2014 7:25:20 PM PDT by PubliusMM (RKBA; a matter of fact, not opinion. 01-20-2016; I pray we make it that long.)
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To: Texas Fossil

Let it become fully implemented. Let the pain be felt by all the dems that supported it.


15 posted on 04/29/2014 7:25:34 PM PDT by refermech
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To: SeekAndFind

The employer mandate will be implemented before 2016.


16 posted on 04/29/2014 7:26:42 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: dontreadthis

Which is why they will not be Repub leaders for long.


17 posted on 04/29/2014 7:29:10 PM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: dila813
I took a lot of crap here on FreeRepublic from well-meaning people who thought I was crazy for suggesting that the Republican Party has no interest in overturning Obamacare.

This whole monstrosity has always had one major underlying purpose: to begin the transition away from employer-paid medical insurance, thereby eliminating one of the biggest line items from the expense ledgers of major U.S. corporations. The Republican Party made a big political show about unanimously opposing it when it was passed in 2010, but I can guarantee you that the GOP will never, ever do anything to reverse its course. Look at all the nonsense Ted Cruz took last fall from his own fellow Republicans when he proposed minor changes and short-term delays in Obamacare THAT OBAMA HIMSELF LATER INSTITUTED EARLY THIS YEAR THROUGH HIS OWN EXECUTIVE ORDERS.

18 posted on 04/29/2014 7:31:30 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've never seen such a conclave of minstrels in my life.")
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To: SeekAndFind

You’re out of touch, “Avik” (what kind of a name is that anyway?

You’ll see the results this Nov just how hated Commiecare is . . we could care less if a few lose their “insurance” bcoz the jackasses they voted for didn’t care when millions lost theirs.

Get lost


19 posted on 04/29/2014 7:32:28 PM PDT by A_Former_Democrat (Hey 2008, we told you so)
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To: Vince Ferrer

I predict that the employer mandate is going to be so watered down by the time it’s implemented that it will be completely meaningless.


20 posted on 04/29/2014 7:32:29 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I've never seen such a conclave of minstrels in my life.")
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