Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

America's Increasingly Irrelevant 'Unemployment Rate': Inaccurate for measuring labor market health
RCM ^ | 05/14/2014 | Nicholas Eberstadt

Posted on 05/14/2014 6:32:32 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Once upon a time in America, grown men were expected to work a job, women were expected to stay home with the kids, and families were expected to cover expenses with their own earnings. There was no welfare state to step in for the unfortunate, or the feckless. This was the land for which the "unemployment rate" was invented.

The "unemployment rate" was a pretty good tool for measuring the problem of workless-ness in that long-forgotten America. But we don't live in that country any more. Consequently, our old-fashioned "unemployment rate" has become an increasingly inaccurate barometer for measuring the health of the American labor market and the well-being of the American public.

About a century ago - say, at the time of the 1920 Census - women comprised only a fifth of our formal workforce. (Women back then worked very hard-probably harder than men even-but almost all of their labor was unpaid toil at home.) In this earlier era, paid work was more or less a male occupation, and practically all men capable of working were in the labor market: either working for pay or looking for paying jobs. They had to. In a society that lacked not only public welfare guarantees, but even rudimentary social insurance, the prospect of not finding work raised the terrifying possibility of utter destitution- for oneself and one's family.

But that old world no longer exists even though we use that same unemployment rate today. The workplace is no longer a men's club -- in 2014, fully 47% of the civilian labor force is female. And while being without work still entails hardship, it is no longer the financial disaster and source of shame it once was.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearmarkets.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: jobless; jobs; unemployment

1 posted on 05/14/2014 6:32:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
in 2014, fully 47% of the civilian labor force is female

So the labor supply is nearly doubled over what it was when men were the breadwinners.

And what happens to prices when the supply increases?

Anyone? Anyone?
2 posted on 05/14/2014 6:38:02 AM PDT by LearsFool ("Thou shouldst not have been old, till thou hadst been wise.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Most performance rates coming out of Washington have been fudged so many times they are now meaningless. Payroll to population rate means more but are you sure you can trust gallup and rasmussen has gone wacko also.
3 posted on 05/14/2014 6:38:18 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

No kidding?

(s) nully, who is a statistical non-person for unemployment purposes...


4 posted on 05/14/2014 6:45:46 AM PDT by null and void (When was the last time you heard anyone say: "It's a free country"?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LearsFool
And what happens to prices when the supply increases?

Ooooo! Ooooo! I know! I know!!!!

We flood the market with H-1Bs and illegal aliens!

5 posted on 05/14/2014 6:47:27 AM PDT by null and void (When was the last time you heard anyone say: "It's a free country"?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: null and void

Are you associated with NAM (National Association of Manufacturers)?

“There are 600,000 jobs in manufacturing that are going unfilled today. This immigration bill can go a long way toward helping us fill those positions,” Timmons( the president and CEO of the National Association of Manufacturers) said.


6 posted on 05/14/2014 6:55:37 AM PDT by griswold3 (I was born heI're in America. I will die here in a third world country. Obama succeeded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: griswold3

Noooooo, but on my last full time job I was replaced by not one, not two, but three, count ‘em, three H-1Bs.

Does that count?


7 posted on 05/14/2014 7:05:38 AM PDT by null and void (When was the last time you heard anyone say: "It's a free country"?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: null and void

Congrats! Folks we have a winner. Argument over.


8 posted on 05/14/2014 7:27:33 AM PDT by Foundahardheadedwoman (God don't have a statute of limitations)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind; 4Liberty

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3151710/posts

Unemployment Drops to 0% as Last Worker Leaves Labor Force
The People’s Cube ^ | May 3, 2014 | Opiate of the People Posted by 4Liberty

Comrade Barack Obama today became the first to achieve a milestone coveted by enlightened central planners everywhere when the Bureau of Laborious Statistics announced the much-followed totally-meaningless “headline” U3 unemployment rate for last month was ZERO PERCENT! This means that the glorious economic recovery he engineered after the disastrous Bush years has now attained FULL EMPLOYMENT!

It is a tribute to Professor Obama that he was able to find the Holy Grail which eluded history’s greatest economic thinkers such as Lenin, Stalin and Mao. This landmark achievement along with his establishment of free healthcare for everyone via the Affordable Care Act cements his reputation as the Greatest Leader in this or any other universe for all time.

The dramatic moment occurred at 12:03 PM, four weeks to the day after Lyman Yilk, a pipe-fitter from Bittcling, Pa, finally gave up looking for work. Mr. Yilk has been unemployed since 2005 but was on a celebratory bender since the day after Mr. Obama’s first election and did not know that the Keystone Pipeline (which Mr. Yilk was hoping to find work on) had been cancelled due to environmental concerns. When he finally sobered up four weeks ago and learned the project was dead, he abandoned his search to find a job.

Mr. Yilk was the last worker to leave the labor force and turned the lights out as he left. According to the BLS definition:

Quote: U3: Official unemployment rate per the ILO definition occurs when people are without jobs and they have actively looked for work within the past four weeks. Without Mr. Yilk, there was no one actively looking for work any longer, hence the U3 rate was now ZERO PERCENT, praise Obama!

Gloom-and-doom naysayers were quick to note that the labor force participation rate had also dropped to zero percent which (according to them) was not a good thing as it meant no one was employed. Comrade Nancy Pelosi countered their racist, straw-man argument brilliantly by observing that it also meant no comrade was any longer “job-locked” and each was free to be an artist, writer, hooker, etc, and pursue their passion.

“There is no underestimating this tremendous achievement of Barack Obama” said Paul Klugeman, an expert on hiding declines and fudging economic statistics as well being the self-proclaimed “Conscious Liberal”. “Comrade Obama has achieved the socialist dream of freeing all of The People ™ from the slavery of work and permitting them to live off of someone else’s dime as god, if he existed, would’ve wanted.”

Dr. Klugeman was asked if a problem would arise due to the fact that since no one was working, there would also be no one to pay for the benefits that all the non-workers were collecting.

“Nonsense”, he proclaimed. “The Fed will simply print money for artists and writers and hookers to use to buy things from China! What could go wrong?”

It seems so simple now, it’s a wonder no one ever thought of it sooner.

“The genius of Dear Leader Barack Obama lies in his simplicity”, said Dr. Klugeman.

We agree.


9 posted on 05/14/2014 7:46:14 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ( Herr Obama cannot divert resources from his war on Americans!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson