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Elon Musk Announced Another Huge Bet Today, And The Fate Of The Solar Industry Is Riding On It
Business Insider ^ | June 17 2014 | Rob Wile

Posted on 06/17/2014 11:58:19 AM PDT by PoloSec

We recently explained how Tesla needs to build what it is calling a "gigafactory" for batteries in order to survive. The rest of the world is not building enough lithium ion storage to meet what Tesla thinks will be surging demand, so it has decided it must do it itself by making a very costly factory.

Tuesday, SolarCity (Elon Musk's other company) announced it will have to do the same for solar panels. The firm unveiled plans to build one of the world's largest high-efficiency solar panel plants, using technology from Fremont-based Silevo, which they also said they'd acquired.

"We expect to have to install 10 gigawatts [of high-efficiency panels] a year," Chairman Elon Musk said on a conference call announcing the move. "If you look at the current capacity in the world, we're not able to do that right now."

It's not just a supply question. Solar panel prices have been falling in recent years thanks to a production boom in China. But the panels getting produced, though cheap, aren't terribly efficient and prices have begun bottoming out anyway.

They are likely to begin climbing: Government subsidies for renewables start getting phased out in 2016, and the political environment for rebooting them remains unstable at best.

Plus, in a call with BI, CTO Peter Rive said recent U.S. moves to slap tariffs on Chinese panels served as a "catalyst" for looking into building the Silevo plant.

Will the demand be there? The firm's own polling suggests there is. But if you assume that electricity customers are price agnostic, rooftop solar still has some ways yet to go to become cost competitive with fossil fuels. Musk recognizes this and beating fossil fuels at their own cost game remains his ultimate goal.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; china; elonmusk; fremont; photovoltaics; silevo; solarcity
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To: nascarnation

Amazon also did pretty well when W was president.


21 posted on 06/17/2014 3:19:26 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

For a company that hasn’t ever made a profit, they certainly do have investor enthusiasm.


22 posted on 06/17/2014 3:23:21 PM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: nascarnation

For a company that hasn’t ever made a profit,

Are you sure about that?


23 posted on 06/17/2014 3:36:44 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

http://www.ibtimes.com/amazon-nearly-20-years-business-it-still-doesnt-make-money-investors-dont-seem-care-1513368


24 posted on 06/17/2014 3:40:32 PM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: vette6387
TEPCO is/was in competent, corrupt operator. That said, the plant was never capable of withstanding the earthquake that sheared the cooling pipes inside. TEPCO compounded the problem by illegally using MOX fuel that was not certified for use. Three melted cores, a hydrogen explosion and unit 3 with 3 prompt criticalities blowing lots of fuel into the atmosphere was just the start. We have 17 plants using the identical design to Fukushima on US soil. When (not if) the next Carrington type event arrives, those plants will be doing the meltdown in about 3 days as the backup diesel generators for the cooling systems run out of fuel.

Maintenance of the current nuclear generating stations is almost a joke. My now deceased neighbor worked at a shop in Idaho Falls. The shop specializes to building replacement instruments for equipment at nuclear power plants. The failed parts have to be replaced with custom built units that meet the old physical and electrical specifications, but using components of current manufacture. The plants have outlived their OEM suppliers.

25 posted on 06/17/2014 3:56:50 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Myrddin

“TEPCO is/was in competent, corrupt operator.”

Absolutely correct! And I will bet you that the operators here in the US cut corners as well. Nuclear power would be a boon to the world if only the businesses that run them had a modicum of ethics. It is one thing to screw people on the crap they buy so long as no harm become them. But all you have to do is look at how GM responded to known safety issues with some of their vehicles. It’s as though they do a calculus that says “ how many deaths can we afford as opposed to the money it would take to fix the problem.” I believe that the nuclear power companies are likely to be making the same differentiations.


26 posted on 06/17/2014 4:09:51 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: nascarnation

Looks pretty good for a growing company to me, and they are profitable. $90 billion in revenue for a company that had less than $10 billion ten years ago is impressive.

27 posted on 06/17/2014 4:13:16 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

If AMZN has made you wealthy, far be it from me to snark at it. There are a lot of people making big bucks at “non-profit” organizations.


28 posted on 06/17/2014 4:30:25 PM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: Moonman62
Looks like the company knows how to manage operations to limit taxable profits. It would be interesting to see what kinds of expenses fill the gap between revenues and profits.
29 posted on 06/17/2014 5:29:13 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Myrddin

From what I’ve read, Bezos likes to limit profits in order to be competitive and to discourage competitors. Consumers benefit from lower prices. Amazon doesn’t always have the lowest price, but I always check. I’ve found their guarantee and return policy to be top notch and sometimes I’ll pay a bit more for that.


30 posted on 06/17/2014 6:48:30 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

I buy most of my books from Amazon. The nearest bookstore
to my house is 53 miles.


31 posted on 06/17/2014 7:35:08 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: vette6387
"To a large degree the problem was poor management and maintenance practices and not upgrading their plants to avoid catastrophes."

Yeah AND they built it in an area that was always at risk to suffer both large earthquakes AND tsunamis...

Or in engineering terms "stupidity cubed"...

32 posted on 06/17/2014 7:41:59 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: Go_Raiders

>> watermelon tree-huggers

Don’t stand under the watermelon tree.


33 posted on 06/17/2014 7:46:17 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Moonman62
I remember when people were saying Amazon was a slam dunk short back in the late 1990's.

From its peak in 1999, it did drop over 90% by September 2001.

34 posted on 06/17/2014 8:15:06 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Perfect buying opportunity, too.


35 posted on 06/17/2014 8:24:25 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

Sure, much better than before the 90% drop.


36 posted on 06/17/2014 8:33:36 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

A person would have have made a respectable return on the long side either way, one good, one great.

A short seller could have picked several successful tech companies and made money when Amazon was at its late 90’s peak.


37 posted on 06/17/2014 8:37:46 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Moonman62

Hard to argue it wasn’t a slam dunk short.


38 posted on 06/17/2014 8:39:13 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Mad Dawgg

“Yeah AND they built it in an area that was always at risk to suffer both large earthquakes AND tsunamis...

Or in engineering terms “stupidity cubed”...”

But remember they have to kowtow to the NRC. The NRC is like the FAA,. Some of the FAA’s ATC equipment is so old that they have to pay a company to stay in business to make vacuum tubes so they can “maintain” their equipment.


39 posted on 06/17/2014 9:11:47 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Hard to argue it wasn’t a slam dunk short.

Some people were convinced that Amazon was worthless. Had they held on waiting for it to become worthless, they would be cleaned out or faced numerous margin calls by now. Shorting also involves timing. How does one pick the top and the bottom? What if someone had shorted the stock when Blodget made his $400 call? What if someone had added to their short position as the stock fell and kept holding on past the bottom?

Shorting isn't easy. Your maximum gain is 100%, but your potential losses are limitless, just the opposite of going long. Of course, experienced traders can use options, but I don't think the OP I was responding to is one of those.

40 posted on 06/17/2014 9:24:23 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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