Posted on 06/25/2014 5:11:36 AM PDT by cotton1706
Cornyn (TX) - - 88% (Average) - 86% (Heritage) - 93% (CFG) - 96% (ACU) - 76% (FreedomWorks)
Primary winning margin: 59%
McConnell (KY) - - 83% (Average) - 80% (Heritage) - 87% (CFG) - 92% (ACU) - 73% (FreedomWorks)
Primary winning margin: 60%
Graham (SC) - - 59% (Average) - 52% (Heritage) - 65% (CFG) - 68% (ACU) - 52% (FreedomWorks)
Primary winning margin: 56%
Cochran (MS) - - 54% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 56% (CFG) - 60% (ACU) - 41% (FreedomWorks)
Primary winning margin: 50%
Which is why Roberts is likely safe but Alexander may still be in danger.
Roberts (KS) - 08/05/14 - 87% (Average) - 90% (Heritage) - 84% (CFG) - 84% (ACU) - 91% (FreedomWorks)
Alexander (TN) - 08/07/14 - 55% (Average) - 46% (Heritage) - 67% (CFG) - 60% (ACU) - 45% (FreedomWorks)
I bet we’ll see several retirements in 2016, some even after only one term, as Johannes did this year. Look at the bottom ten or so up for reelection next cycle.
Shelby (AL) - 2016 - 76% (Average) - 76% (Heritage) - 82% (CFG) - 76% (ACU) - 68% (FreedomWorks)
Coats (IN) - 2016 - 73% (Average) - 70% (Heritage) - 75% (CFG) - 83% (ACU) - 65% (FreedomWorks)
Thune (SD) - 2016 - 73% (Average) - 65% (Heritage) - 80% (CFG) - 88% (ACU) - 59% (FreedomWorks)
Moran (KS) - 2016 - 72% (Average) - 66% (Heritage) - 75% (CFG) - 80% (ACU) - 67% (FreedomWorks)
Burr (NC) - 2016 - 70% (Average) - 62% (Heritage) - 67% (CFG) - 84% (ACU) - 67% (FreedomWorks)
Boozman (AR) - 2016 - 69% (Average) - 71% (Heritage) - 70% (CFG) - 80% (ACU) - 55% (FreedomWorks)
Ayotte (NH) - 2016 - 67% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 79% (CFG) - 68% (ACU) - 64% (FreedomWorks)
Portman (OH) - 2016 - 64% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 71% (CFG) - 64% (ACU) - 64% (FreedomWorks)
Blunt (MO) - 2016 - 59% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 67% (CFG) - 71% (ACU) - 41% (FreedomWorks)
Kirk (IL) - 2016 - 55% (Average) - 44% (Heritage) - 74% (CFG) - 44% (ACU) - 59% (FreedomWorks)
Isakson (GA) - 2016 - 54% (Average) - 54% (Heritage) - 59% (CFG) - 54% (ACU) - 50% (FreedomWorks)
McCain (AZ) - 2016 - 54% (Average) - 43% (Heritage) - 71% (CFG) - 52% (ACU) - 48% (FreedomWorks)
Hoeven (ND) - 2016 - 51% (Average) - 44% (Heritage) - 58% (CFG) - 60% (ACU) - 41% (FreedomWorks)
Murkowski (AK) - 2016 - 41% (Average) - 36% (Heritage) - 52% (CFG) - 38% (ACU) - 36% (FreedomWorks)
Nice research.
We need to develop good candidates for these races. Some states are impossible, but I thought MS was much more conservative than it is. That federal gravy is just hard to beat. Although, in Cochran’s case I suspect straight up fraud.
>> in Cochran’s case I suspect straight up fraud <<
Maybe, but no evidence so far.
On the other hand, the black vote appears almost certainly to have given Cochran his narrow margin of victory.
Solution? Don’t allow blacks to vote in the GOP primary.
(But something tells me there might be a SLIGHT constitutional impairment to that strategy.)
Solution: closed primaries. But I am not certain that this is the best for every election, particularly in statewide races.
“Nice research.”
Yes, good job, cotton.
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