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Does the Fed Really Believe What it Says?
Townhall.com ^ | July 12, 2014 | Mike Shedlock

Posted on 07/12/2014 2:24:15 PM PDT by Kaslin

In response to BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?" a number of people commented the Fed cannot be so stupid as to think there is no asset bubble. Here are some examples:


As a huge fan of Occam's Razor, I disagree with all of them. Occam's Razor says the simplest explanation (the one with the fewest assumptions) is likely the best.

Alternatives

  1. Members of the Fed is purposely lie to the public. They are in a conspiracy with other Fed governors, some of whom claim they want the Fed to hike sooner than later because they see potential asset bubbles and inflation problems. The whole thing is a setup to convince the public there is discord when there isn't. They all realize there is an asset bubble, because no one could possibly be so stupid as to not see it. Yet, collectively they choose to ignore those bubbles even after the experience of the housing collapse, and in spite of what the BIS says.
  2. Yellen, Paul Krugman, and others live in academic wonderland, devoid of real world experience, and are incapable of recognizing asset bubbles, income inequality, and other problems caused by QE, low interest rates, and monetary printing.


Door number 2 is overwhelming likely to be correct.

In general, when sheer stupidity is one of the choices, then stupidity is likely the best answer or part of the best answer.



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 07/12/2014 2:24:15 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

The Fed is just like the rest of us — they don’t believe a word of it.


2 posted on 07/12/2014 2:27:46 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy ("Harvey Dent, can we trust him?" http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBsdV--kLoQ)
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To: Kaslin

The FED was never set up for America’s best interest but for the manipulation by big world banks.


3 posted on 07/12/2014 2:52:41 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: mountainlion

So, will it be collapse + inflation OR collapse + deflation?


4 posted on 07/12/2014 3:25:34 PM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Why should they?


5 posted on 07/12/2014 3:54:00 PM PDT by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him, and he got them. Now we all have to pay the consequenses)
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To: xzins

So, will it be collapse + inflation OR collapse + deflation?

I don’t know. I heard something about “reset” what ever that is and a new currency of reserve notes.


6 posted on 07/12/2014 4:00:22 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Wyatt's Torch; mountainlion

Ping


7 posted on 07/12/2014 4:04:08 PM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: All
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8 posted on 07/12/2014 4:07:05 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: mountainlion

a new currency of reserve notes.

Could have been Treasury notes.


9 posted on 07/12/2014 4:16:40 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: Kaslin
The Fed was set up to manage laws enacted by the congress that were written to sustain, develop and promote economic activity. Broken into regional banks, each one was to ensure loans were handed out to increase economic activity. The Fed's problems really began in the mid to late 60's when congress mandated that new loans be given to minorities for education and small business, followed by loans to other minorities and even white women.

The Fed is required to break down their loan pool into risk sets in their portfolio of investments (the Fed's investments used to be LOANS) and it was their target to achieve a $12 return one dollar a year if possible. For example, Credit Card loans were regulated so that only a very small percentage could be at the maximum loan rate of 36% while the bulk was at the lowest - this allowed both profits and speculation within a tight band to ensure money supply growth. Growing the money supply was how the Fed served America when operating properly.

Today, the Fed was instructed by the congress to PRINT money to grown the money supply due to the loss of opportunity to make safe loans. In addition, laws enacted by congress to further minority and other other "programs" were passed into law by idiots elected that could not understand a household budget. Making laws to transfer money printed to Green Energy which in turn is passed into DNC coffers as the companies go bankrupt should be collected from the DNC if loans were not repaid - how can a political party pass money to donors and then bankrupt it except for owner profits and political donations?

The Fed is no longer increasing the money supply by economic activity but has replaced economic activity with printed money. Inflation will follow; a new currency for the America's too will follow. All the World's Banks and Governments have together printed a like amount of money so that inflation would be hidden from the people, but at some point with so money in the economies and not jobs or personal wealth, it will become impossible due to the Fed in American to live the American Dream. We are broken as a nation, and broke as an economy. We are morally bankrupted by Liberals like Obama and the DNC.

10 posted on 07/12/2014 5:10:25 PM PDT by Jumper
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To: Kaslin

The unaccountable (socialist) creature should be destroyed.


11 posted on 07/12/2014 5:20:07 PM PDT by PGalt
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To: xzins

Only God knows.

But for sure - it will radically one or the other.

The only reason there is no collapse now is that the forces of both are counter-acting each other. But that will not last.

Things will tip one way or the other.

But all at the Fed know deflation would be the worst. They can do nothing to affect that. They can only influence inflation to a point - once hyperinflation sets in, they cannot influence it either......both are facts proven by history.


12 posted on 07/12/2014 7:21:09 PM PDT by Arlis
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To: Arlis; Wyatt's Torch

The part-time nation and extremely low worker participation rate tell me it’s a depression. So, I’m thinking there’s a strong likelihood of collapse + deflation.

But the Fed wants inflation so badly. It’s talked about it for years. I don’t get it, because it will just cause increased interest payments on the debt. By some calculus, I guess they’ll hope to pay off debt with dollars worth far less?


13 posted on 07/13/2014 2:55:17 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: xzins

Explain the relationship between money supply and money demand and how changes in monetary policy impact price levels given that supply and demand. Now look at the actions of the Fed and give a conclusion on their actions.


14 posted on 07/13/2014 4:47:40 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Kaslin

Occam’s Razor says the simplest explanation is that the author doesn’t understand the monetary system and how inflation and deflation work.


15 posted on 07/13/2014 4:48:32 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Wyatt's Torch

That sounds like a test question. LOL.

Do you teach this stuff someplace?


16 posted on 07/13/2014 5:24:44 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: xzins

The idiots at the Fed - and many others - are convinced that they can control inflation - and they know they cannot control delflation - that’s why they want it.

They believe they can keep things where inflation may go up, but remain under their control.

Fools.

I too think it will be deflation most likely. But I’ve been wrong so many times......


17 posted on 07/13/2014 5:44:25 AM PDT by Arlis
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To: xzins

:-) no I don’t. I’m a corporate finance type but have done a lot of reading and studying monetary policy over the last 15 years. Learned a ton from Jude Wanniski and particularly his book “The Way a The World Works” and his Polyconomics site he had before he passed away.


18 posted on 07/13/2014 9:01:59 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Wyatt's Torch

Great book. A classic that every conservative should read. It’s really a roadmap to victory for us.


19 posted on 07/13/2014 3:30:27 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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