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Question: Does Ebola eventually “burn itself out” over time as the infection spreads? Does it become less virulent? I thought I had read that somewhere but I’m no epidemiologist.


9 posted on 07/28/2014 3:49:19 AM PDT by JPX2011
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To: JPX2011
It can live in dried material on a surface for several days.

This strain is known as Zaire and is the most virulent.


10 posted on 07/28/2014 3:54:47 AM PDT by MarMema (Run Ted Run)
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To: JPX2011

contagious from 3 to 21 days. very high mortality and very contagious and VERY easy to hop the ocean and spread here (one 10hr plane trip)

especially as we invite every diseased ridden moocher on the planet

when kids start dying from these diseases... THAT’S when the people will rise up and demand the blood of those that set it in motion. we just have to insure they remember this was orchestrated by 0bama and crew


11 posted on 07/28/2014 4:12:41 AM PDT by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: JPX2011
Question: Does Ebola eventually “burn itself out” over time as the infection spreads? Does it become less virulent? I thought I had read that somewhere but I’m no epidemiologist.

Infections burn themselves out when they can't spread effectively anymore.

So, if it has a high fatality rate, it runs out of victims and dies out, at least temporarily.

If the weather changes and gets colder (assuming that is a risk factor) or people are able to stop new infections by stopping whatever behavior put them at risk, or if they find a vaccine, it may die out, at least temporarily.

If people are able to slows the spread in any way, it may die out, at least temporarily.

In this specific case, this strain of Ebola is slightly less likely to kill victims than other/previous strains. Some strains/instances have had a 90% fatality rate. This time, is reported to be closer to 60% or so.

This is bad, from the standpoint of how long the period of ongoing infection can last. If it quickly killed more people, those people would be less able to spread it.

Additionally, this time, it isn't just in rural areas. It is in large, heavily populated cities. This is bad for obvious reasons - more people, closer together, easier routes of infection.

I have read that some previous Ebola infections have died out around October, due to cooler weather. October is a long way away.

I would very much like to see a ban on travel out of the area until the infection has stopped. Why this hasn't happened, I can only guess.

14 posted on 07/28/2014 4:21:49 AM PDT by mountainbunny (Faithless is he that says farewell when the road darkens ~ J.R.R. Tolkien)
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To: JPX2011

From what I’ve heard usually ebola starts in the Jungle from an unidentified source... caves? bats? spiders? Then moves to a village. It has a ninety percent fatality rate.

This outbreak was different. It started around the same time in three different cities and has a 60 percent fatality rate. It might be a variation on the original... a mutation. Or maybe these early reports were wrong...


25 posted on 07/28/2014 7:53:28 AM PDT by GOPJ (Liberal elites want Mexicans to be a servant class that supplies cheap drugs and easy women and kids)
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