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The Coming Republican Takeover of... Illinois?
NRO ^ | 7-29-14 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 07/30/2014 7:41:19 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic

How will President Obama feel when a Republican wins the governor’s race in his home state of Illinois?

Gov. Pat Quinn is facing an increasingly uphill battle against Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner, a new We Ask America poll shows.

Rauner is now sitting on a 14-point lead in the poll that was conducted July 28, which is up from his 10-point lead he had in a June poll. Rauner’s boost can be attributed to his economic plan, which includes a state income tax reduction. A poll showed while people don’t believe Illinois can afford this plan, a majority say it makes them more likely to vote for him.

Reboot Illinois, which was founded by hedge fund manager Anne Dias Griffin, commissioned the poll by We Ask America, an independent polling subsidiary of the Illinois Manufacturers’ Association.

Overall, if the election were held today, Rauner would pull in 47 percent of the vote, compared to Quinn’s 33 percent. Of those polled, 20 percent said they’re still undecided.

All 118 seats in the Illinois House of Representatives and about one-third of the State Senate seats will also be on the ballot this year. Democrats have a 40 to 19 seat margin in the State Senate and a 71 to 47 seat margin in the House. But a big win by Rauner could create coattails, and it appears he and his campaign are investing money in an effort to make that happen:

Crain’s Chicago Business columnist Greg Hinz:

Thanks to heavy spending by wealthy gubernatorial nominee Bruce Rauner—and disgust within the GOP that it let the governor’s mansion slip away four years ago despite the Rod Blagojevich scandal—Illinois Republicans appear to be disciplined, organized and moving to win in a way they haven’t been in decades. And the Democrats know it.

One insider tells me that a combination of the state and national parties and the Rauner campaign is prepared to spend as much as $2 million just on an absentee ballot operation—perhaps seven or eight times as much as in 2010, when Republican state Sen. Bill Brady of Bloomington lost to Gov. Pat Quinn.

Another source reports that the party has opened 20 field offices just in the collar counties. In comparison, Mr. Brady had three offices in the entire state.

Notice the momentum and bandwagon effect:

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie came to Chicago Friday and gave Republican Bruce Rauner $2.5 million.

With that the Republican Governors Association more than doubled its financial support of Rauner’s campaign for governor.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Politics/Elections; US: Illinois
KEYWORDS: christie; governor; quinn; rauner
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To: afraidfortherepublic

GOP will of course get in control just in time to take the blame for the big crash-and-burn.


21 posted on 07/30/2014 8:10:20 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The last Illinois Republican governor spent time in prison for his escapades while in office, did he not?

George Ryan (R), governor from 1999 to 2003, was convicted in 2006 of corruption related to his time as Illinois Secretary of State in the 1990s, when commercial driver's licenses were issued to unqualified truckers in exchange for bribes, and one of the truckers was involved in a crash that killed six children. Former governor Jim Thompson, whom Ryan had served under as Lieutenant Governor of Illinois in the 1980s, was manager of the law firm that defended Ryan. Ryan was released in 2013.

22 posted on 07/30/2014 8:14:55 AM PDT by kabar
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Illinois has had Republican guvs before. It is still Illinois!


23 posted on 07/30/2014 8:17:23 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: kabar

It was actually a rhetorical question.


24 posted on 07/30/2014 8:17:39 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The man who damns money obtained it dishonorably; the man who respects it earned it." --Ayn Rand)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

I think the big earthquake in D.C. will happen if Oberweis defeats Durbin.


25 posted on 07/30/2014 8:20:13 AM PDT by twoputt
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I just elaborated on your rhetorical question.


26 posted on 07/30/2014 8:28:40 AM PDT by kabar
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Wouldn’t it be fun if a Rep Gov took Illinois and imitated Scott Walker’s reforms?


27 posted on 07/30/2014 8:37:17 AM PDT by lurk
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Rite of passage...


28 posted on 07/30/2014 8:37:51 AM PDT by karnage
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To: afraidfortherepublic

It doesn’t matter a whole lot, with the Illinois legislature being overwhelmingly rat.

We’ve had republican governors before, most wind up in prison, just like the rat governors.


29 posted on 07/30/2014 8:38:09 AM PDT by Graybeard58 ( A feast is made for laughter, and wine maketh merry: but money answereth all things. Eccl 10,v 19)
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To: kabar

Big Jim Thompson was US Attorney before he became governor. Put a lot of Richard J. Daley’s guys in the hoosegow.


30 posted on 07/30/2014 8:42:18 AM PDT by karnage
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To: afraidfortherepublic

I’m not convinced the Ilinois Demonrat Party can’t steal as many votes as it needs to maintain control. They are seasoned pros.


31 posted on 07/30/2014 8:49:15 AM PDT by luvbach1 (We are finished. It will just take a while before everyone realizes it.)
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To: Graybeard58
We’ve had republican governors before, most wind up in prison, just like the rat governors.

Can you name any other Rep governor other than Ryan who was put in prison?

Six Illinois governors have been charged with crimes during or after their governorships; four were convicted, and of those, one (Blagojevich) was the first to be impeached and removed from office.

Convicted

Otto Kerner, Jr. (D), governor from 1961 to 1968; Stratton's successor and later a judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, was convicted of 17 counts of bribery, conspiracy, perjury, and income-tax charges from his time as governor, and received three years in prison and a $50,000 fine in 1973. He was prosecuted by future Illinois governor Jim Thompson.

Daniel Walker (D), governor from 1973 to 1977, was later involved in the savings and loan scandals and convicted of federal crimes related to fraudulent loans to himself from his own First American Savings & Loan Association of Oak Brook. He was sentenced to seven years in prison with five years of probation following his release.

George Ryan (R), governor from 1999 to 2003, was convicted in 2006 of corruption related to his time as Illinois Secretary of State in the 1990s, when commercial driver's licenses were issued to unqualified truckers in exchange for bribes, and one of the truckers was involved in a crash that killed six children. Former governor Jim Thompson, whom Ryan had served under as Lieutenant Governor of Illinois in the 1980s, was manager of the law firm that defended Ryan. Ryan was released in 2013.

Rod Blagojevich (D), governor from 2003 to 2009, and Ryan's successor, was impeached and removed from office by the Illinois General Assembly in a unanimous vote in January 2009 after being tied to multiple "pay to play" schemes, including attempting to sell the former Senate seat of recently elected President Barack Obama.[1] In August 2010, he was convicted of lying to the FBI in connection with the investigation, but the jury deadlocked on 23 other charges. Blagojevich was retried on 20 counts from his 2010 trial and on June 27, 2011, Blagojevich was convicted on 17 counts of fraud, acquitted on one count and the jury was hung on two. On December 7, 2011, Blagojevich was sentenced to 14 years in prison.

32 posted on 07/30/2014 8:50:03 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel

I agree with your laughing. Gov. Quinn will get 53% of the vote. Since the race won’t be close, I’ll vote for Michael Oberline, of the Constitution Party. If the race would be close, I’d vote for Rauner, since I don’t want to help split the anti-Quinn vote, helping Quinn win. However, that won’t happen.


33 posted on 07/30/2014 8:51:27 AM PDT by PhilCollins
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To: PBRCat
I think Rauner is a RINO also-- especially given his recent flip-flopping about allowing the enormous income tax hike to expire as it should.

However, a significant portion of the Republican combine opposed him during the primaries and some 'Republican' POS state senator ran against him on money raised by the Dems and the public employee unions.

He is widely hated by the Combine, so there's some hope he'll improve things.

34 posted on 07/30/2014 9:17:26 AM PDT by pierrem15 (Claudius: "Let all the poisons that lurk in the mud hatch out.")
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To: afraidfortherepublic

I wouldn’t count these chickens before they come home to roost. Democrats don’t depend on votes to win elections, especially in the Land of Obama.


35 posted on 07/30/2014 9:53:21 AM PDT by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic
Unless the Stupid Party retakes the House and Senate, a Republican Governor Rauner will be grid locked in the House by Mike Madigan and Emil Jones in the Senate. Game, set, match.
36 posted on 07/30/2014 10:23:23 AM PDT by MasterGunner01
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