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“Unless Schweiker would’ve been eligible to run again in 2006 as well, had Rendell run in that bad GOP year and won, he would’ve presided over redistricting for 2010, so that would’ve been worse.”

If Rendell won his first term in 2006, he still would not have been able to veto the post-2010 Census redistricting maps unless he won reelection in very Republican 2010. The Commerce Department does not issue Census statistics until the year after the Census, so it was the governor and legislature that took office in January 2011 that drew the maps.

Is there any polling in WY? It would be good to know which of the two conservative challengers to support. If, say, Haynes is 5% better on the issues than Hill, but only Hill has a chance of beating Mead in the primary, it would be wise to support Hill.

Unless Rendell drew a really strong challenger, I think even in 2010 he would’ve survived (if but narrowly, a la Illinois). Fortunately, we didn’t have to find out. I’m rather shocked how lousy Tom Corbett has been as Governor. You’d have thought he’d have been a safe if not inspiring Governor, and now he’s trailing badly. We can only hope if Tom Wolf wins, he turns out to be a fiasco and we get the seat back in 2018 with someone more substantial (and in time to preside over 2020 redistricting).

As for WY, I have no idea about polling there in the primary, but some other “pundits” have proclaimed his challengers as desultory. Only the general has been polled, with Mead leading the Dem 53-25%.