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Lamar! Win Not Reassuring!
dailycaller.com ^ | 8/11/14

Posted on 08/12/2014 9:16:25 AM PDT by cotton1706

In a piece that came out election night, but reads as if it had been written two weeks earlier after a lunch with Lamar Alexander’s pollster, WaPo‘s Sean Sullivan and Robert Costa write:

“The Tennessee Republican easily won his primary Tuesday against a conservative insurgent who sought to bury him over his vote [for amnesty 'comprehensive immigration reform'] …

snip

The success of Alexander [and 'comprehensive' backers] Graham, Collins and Ellmers could be just the evidence pro-reform Republicans have been desperately searching for to coax House leaders into action.”

On her Friday show, Laura Ingraham rightly held up this piece for ridicule. What’s wrong with it?

snip

4. You don’t need to beat a pol to scare a pol. Earlier this year, as David Weigel noted, supporters of amnesty comprehensive reform were hoping pro-”comprehensive” Rep. Ellmers would decisively beat her little-known underfunded challenger, Frank Roche. But Roche got 41% — enough to scare most incumbents. Then Eric Cantor’s opponent got 55% and actually beat him. There were several factors in Cantor’s loss ( a non-trivial minority in his district always disliked him), but his squishiness on amnesty was a big one. Alexander’s main opponent, Joe Carr, essentially replicated Roche’s 40% feat, except in a statewide race with a multi-candidate field — harder to do.

No actual politician with his or her career on the line is going to be reassured by Sullivan and Costa’s argument that, ‘Hey, sure supporting amnesty might cost you 23 points in the polls but with the right combination of preexisting popularity, money, and deception you might be able to squeak out a 49% victory!” They will think, ‘I don’t want to give up 23 points.” Politicians worry about giving up 2 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; lamaralexander

1 posted on 08/12/2014 9:16:25 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Nice reading for those that think we need 60 Ted Cruz or Mike Lee types in the U.S. Senate. We probably only need 18 or so.


2 posted on 08/12/2014 9:19:05 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: cotton1706

“easily won” his primary? not exactly... he didnt even get 50% of the vote- he just got the most votes (49%)

That’s like “frontrunner” Mitt Romney who ‘won’ his primaries with 30% of the vote.

Why we insisted on running a candidate that 70% DID NOT WANT is beyond me...


3 posted on 08/12/2014 9:21:10 AM PDT by Mr. K (Palin/Cruz 2016)
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To: cotton1706

So what’s the polling saying about Lamar and his opponent right now?


4 posted on 08/12/2014 9:32:52 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: Vigilanteman

bump


5 posted on 08/12/2014 9:47:54 AM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: Mr. K
That’s like “frontrunner” Mitt Romney who ‘won’ his primaries with 30% of the vote.

Why we insisted on running a candidate that 70% DID NOT WANT is beyond me...

Well, because it was his turn, OF COURSE.

6 posted on 08/12/2014 9:53:10 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to Repeal and Replace the Republican Party)
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To: cotton1706

Lamar Alexander Embraces Amnesty Again after Primary Win
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/08/11/Lamar-Alexander-Embraces-Amnesty-After-Primary-Win

Election 2014: Tennessee Senate
Friday, May 02, 2014
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/tennessee/election_2014_tennessee_senate

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Tennessee Voters finds that Alexander earns 50% support versus Democrat Terry Adams’ 26%. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate, while 15% are undecided.


7 posted on 08/12/2014 9:55:20 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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All contributions are for the current quarter expenses.



FReepathon day 42.


Two percent a day keeps the 404 away.

8 posted on 08/12/2014 9:57:15 AM PDT by RedMDer (May we always be happy and may our enemies always know it. - Sarah Palin, 10-18-2010)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Bunch of ignorant inbreds


9 posted on 08/12/2014 10:10:19 AM PDT by WilliamRobert (We are doomed if good men stand by and do nothing.)
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To: WilliamRobert

We had a McDaniel’s situation. Dem cross over voting to make sure the RINO won. The other gop guy got like 1%, as he really did not run a campaign, and is not known outside Shelby Co.

Carr ran a local state rep campaign, not a US Senate one. Totally ignored W TN. The few times he deigned to visit was at night and RSVP to big donors. 1 Day time hours notice, work day event at a local eatery. Huey’s. Which really quashed turn out. Noting designed to draw Military, Retired Military or Seniors. And this 3 county area is heavy with all 3. With lamar’s votes on Veterans Pensions, Carr failed to take advantage of it. Just as he failed to counter lamar’s 0’care ad. He could have pointed out it was lamar’s cloture vote that let the beast out of committee to become law. And that lamar supports it even though he knew it would raise cost.


10 posted on 08/12/2014 10:35:12 AM PDT by GailA (IF you fail to keep your promises to the Military, you won't keep them to Citizens!)
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To: GailA

I live in Desoto County Mississippi. I received a “note” yesterday from Senator corker’s wife asking me to send “bob” a note on a preprinted card for his 62nd birthday. It also had a request for a donation to his 2016 re-election campaign. I sent him a note, no money, just that I would probably contribute to his primary opponent and asked him to “remember Mississippi”.


11 posted on 08/12/2014 12:05:49 PM PDT by duffee (Dump the Chairman of the Mississippi Republican Party, joe nosef.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

OMG - whose ‘turn’ is it this time????

Please tell me it is NOT paul ryan- I want to see some adults in charge

Rubio too - he reminds me of the high school kid who was smart, and got himself elected class president, and then came to school wearing a suit and tie from that day on.


12 posted on 08/12/2014 2:08:26 PM PDT by Mr. K (Palin/Cruz 2016)
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To: duffee

That is as good as the aarp stuff I do. I stuff their prepaid envelope as full as I can get it and mail it back to them, with YOU RUINED MEDICARE! Written on it. LOL

Am going to start doing the same to national gop about the RINOS. I only give to FR, Church, Heritage and a candidate I choose. SS money does not go far.

And it will go even less far as I now have to buy hearing aids this year. You’d think Medicare with a co-pay would pick up at least part of the high $$ cost of them and eye glasses, but they don’t. And I buy new glasses yearly due to vision changes from Fibromyalgia. And those suckers are not cheap either. No box store for me, tricky prescription, and cut, so I have to buy the high end lenses by Ziess.


13 posted on 08/13/2014 4:03:12 AM PDT by GailA (IF you fail to keep your promises to the Military, you won't keep them to Citizens!)
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