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Politico: Obama to Limit Campaigning to 'States Where He's Still Popular'...
Politico ^ | 8-30-14 | Tom Blumer

Posted on 08/30/2014 1:11:11 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic

A Friday afternoon dispatch at the Politico from Carrie Budoff Brown and Jennifer Epstein tells us that "The White House is putting the finishing touches on a post-Labor Day schedule that will send the president to states where he’s still popular."

The list of states where the Politico pair alleges that's the case is quite short: "Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Illinois and California." That's it. Obama, in a situation resembling that of Richard Nixon in the final months of his presidency, when "Tricky Dick" was mocked for being able to find friendly audiences in just a few Southern states, is apparently toxic everywhere else, just in time for midterm elections. Moreover, it didn't take much research to show that the Politico's pair's claim Obama is "still popular" in most of those five states is either false or shaky — especially after considering that such polls are all too often overloaded with Democrat and liberal respondents.

Quinnipiac’s most recent poll finds that just 44% of Pennsylvanians approve of the way President Obama is handling his job while 53% disapprove.

Though slightly higher than February approval rating of 42% released by Quinnipiac, Obama’s approval rating seems to be stagnating at low levels.

Even if Obama has gotten back to above the break-even level in the Keystone State, which is highly unlikely, the statement that he is "still popular" there would be false, because he clearly wasn't popular during the year's first five months.

On to Wisconsin. As of six weeks ago, via the Associated Press:

President Barack Obama’s approval rating is almost unchanged in Wisconsin, with 46 percent of registered voters saying they approve of the job he’s doing.

A Marquette University law school poll released Wednesday says 47 percent disapprove of his performance, and 4 percent don’t know.

Illinois? Here's what Lynn Sweet at the Chicago Sun-Times wrote in late April:

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll put President Barack Obama's approval ratings at a new low — with voters prefering Republicans controlling Congress for the last two years of his second term. The poll helps explains why, in the two big Chicago area House contests it would not be surprising to find Democratic Reps. Bill Foster and Brad Schneider distancing themselves from the White House — they certainly did during the sequestation — as their Republican challengers, state Sen. Darlene Senger and former Rep. Bob Dold make the case for checks and balances in Congress.

Illinois is really two states. One is Chicago and some of its inner-ring suburbs. The other is "everywhere else." Obama is overwhelmingly popular in Chicago, and mostly toxic, as Sweet exemplified, "everywhere else."

Now to California, where the President should still be a runaway fave. Well, he's got the upper hand, but by nowhere near as much as one might think — via the AP in June:

President Obama Still Enjoying Higher Approval Ratings In California Than Most Other States

A new Field Poll finds that half of all Californians approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing, a sharp contrast with his lower approval ratings in the rest of the country.

... Field says public opinion of Obama has remained steady in California over the last year. Half of those polled said they approve, 39 percent disapprove and 11 percent had no opinion.

So just half approve of Obama in a state he carried by 23 points in 2012.

Finally, let's go to Michigan. I could not find anything recent, but this item from December paints the landscape:

PPP Poll: Obama Hurting Democrats in Michigan Races

The Republican candidates for governor and senator in Michigan have made strong gains in a new poll as Democrats continue to feel the backlash over the botched rollout of President Barack Obama's signature healthcare reform law.

... "Democrats who looked a few months ago to be favorites for governor and Senate in Michigan are now on the ropes, casualties of the dip in favor of the Democrats around the country over the Affordable Care Act," says the poll.

PPP is considered a left-leaning polling firm. Anyone who believes that Obamacare has faded as a relevant issue just because the press isn't talking about it, or that Obama's standing in the Wolverine State has somehow improved, is sadly mistaken.

Politico's breezy assumption that Obama is presumptively popular in four of the five states they identified doesn't hold up. Imagine how bad things would look in these pollis if some of them didn't have skewed samples.

Notably absent from the list: Oregon, where Obama would until recentaly have been a shoo-in to help the Democrats' cause, and where there is a competitive U.S. Senate race. But apparently the Beaver State is not on Obama's campaign agenda. I wonder why?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Illinois; US: Michigan; US: Oregon; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: california; campaign2014; democrats; illinois; michigan; obama; oregon; pennsylvania; poll; rating; walker; wisconsin
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To: afraidfortherepublic

A coward’s strategy. He’s ceded ground to the enemy. Almost never a good idea.


41 posted on 08/30/2014 2:07:57 PM PDT by Future Snake Eater (CrossFit.com)
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To: Beagle8U

I’m not sure he’s all that popular in Detroit. At least not popular enough to get people out to vote for Peters without Obama on the ballot.

Ann Arbor and Kalamazoo are his strongholds.


42 posted on 08/30/2014 2:19:51 PM PDT by cripplecreek ("Moderates" are lying manipulative bottom feeding scum.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

There is just no way anyone is giving this clown anything in the 40s. Soetoro will be lucky to poll in the teens..


43 posted on 08/30/2014 3:16:36 PM PDT by cardinal4
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To: afraidfortherepublic

So that narrows it down to Vermont....


44 posted on 08/30/2014 3:19:39 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Rat Party policy;Lie,deny,refuse to comply)
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To: lightman
I thought it was James Carville who described Pennsylvania as "Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with Alabama in between."

As I recall, near the end of his Presidency, Richard Nixon made a trip to Bad Axe, Michigan.

45 posted on 08/30/2014 3:20:19 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: reformedliberal
However, she will continue to vote Dem.

Let me guess...EBT card? Government paycheck recipient?

46 posted on 08/30/2014 3:23:30 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Rat Party policy;Lie,deny,refuse to comply)
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To: M Kehoe
If Baraq and I were on separate sides of a street and he caught fire, I would not cross the street to p!ss on him. Even if I were all, “wee wee’d up.”

I guess I'm more caring than you are. I would eagerly cross the street to perform said service, LOL.

47 posted on 08/30/2014 3:39:16 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: afraidfortherepublic

The states where “Obama” is still popular should be expelled from the Union, so they can form the Communist-Sharia State they really want.


48 posted on 08/30/2014 3:43:45 PM PDT by Arthur McGowan
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To: TheConservativeParty

Ass, ass, ass, Obama.
I dunno, seems fine to me.


49 posted on 08/30/2014 3:46:11 PM PDT by right way right (America has embraced the suck of Freedumb.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

“The White House is putting the finishing touches on a post-Labor Day schedule that will send the president to states where he’s still popular.”

Just another reason that makes him ineligible to LEAD. Whatever shall he do when the few who haven’t caught on to his BS, have their moment? Maybe he can go to the remaining 7-out-of-57 states that he claims we have and campaign himself there, leaving the REAL world to real-world things.


50 posted on 08/30/2014 3:50:10 PM PDT by ourworldawry
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To: afraidfortherepublic

51 posted on 08/30/2014 3:53:59 PM PDT by 4Liberty (Prejudice and generalizations. That's how Collectivists roll......)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Curious to know which of the 57 states he’s on the + side of popular.


52 posted on 08/30/2014 4:11:10 PM PDT by Amagi (Lenin: "Socialized Medicine is the Keystone to the Arch of the Socialist State.")
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Places polled: Student Unions and Faculty Lounges UW-Madison and UW-Milwaukee, Etc etal.
And the Eastside, Northside, and Core area of Milwaukee.


53 posted on 08/30/2014 4:15:00 PM PDT by TaMoDee (Go Pack Go! The Pack will be back in 2014!)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Because the dems don’t want him spoiling the waters. lol


54 posted on 08/30/2014 4:45:24 PM PDT by TribalPrincess2U (0bama's agenda—Divide and conquer seems to be working.)
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To: right way right

Yes, it does fit him.

I have other favorite names for him.


55 posted on 08/30/2014 4:56:47 PM PDT by TheConservativeParty
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To: cripplecreek

I’m surprised NJ isn’t on the list; so many gubmint workfare people here...


56 posted on 08/30/2014 5:59:04 PM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: TheConservativeParty
Well,this forum is good for the releasing of those names, I would explode if I didn't the Free Republic release mechanism.
Long live Jim Thompson!
57 posted on 08/30/2014 6:14:07 PM PDT by right way right (America has embraced the suck of Freedumb.)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

he is not popular in wisconsin.

just in three, maybe four cities, and that’s it. milwaukee, madison, green bay and lacrosse. everywhere else’didn’t vote for him and statewide we have far more repub’counties’than blue. milwaukee cty elected a conservative progun black sheriff dems were gunning to knock off,’to a fourth term. there isn’t love for president sandtrap here.


58 posted on 08/30/2014 6:38:14 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man ( Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: right way right

Jim Thompson for president!
LOL


59 posted on 08/30/2014 6:57:19 PM PDT by TheConservativeParty
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To: Gay State Conservative

No. She and her husband have always been employed. They are in their 50s with no children. Husband just received a promotion from contract to full time employment.


60 posted on 08/30/2014 8:35:09 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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