Posted on 10/08/2014 4:44:16 PM PDT by lbryce
New Fox News battleground polls show a Republican trend in the fight for the U.S. Senate.The GOP candidates -- helped by anti-Barack Obama sentiment and strong support from male voters -- lead in all five states: Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Kansas and Kentucky. The races, however, are still far from settled. None of the Senate candidates has a lead outside the poll’s margin of sampling error. And none of the front-runners hit the important marker of 50 percent support from their electorate. Starting with Kansas, where there are two big turnarounds, here are the state-by-state results
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
“Republican challenger Tom Cotton is up seven points over Democratic incumbent Sen. Mark Pryor among Arkansas likely voters (46 percent vs. 39 percent). Cotton’s lead is right at the poll’s margin of error (± 3.5 percentage points).”
No it’s not. His lead is 7%, which is 3.5 GREATER than the margin of error. Talk about your ignorant bimbette reporter.
Meh.
Margin of error works both directions. Cotton could be at 42.5% and Pryor could also be at 42.5%, 3.5% either direction. It’s not a likely outcome, but it is statistically possible.
I want the GOP to take the senate for one paramount reason - it will allow Ted Cruz to become a dominant figure on the political stage and set the national mood for crushing the commie Clinton.
If you disagree with that - FU.
Tom Cotton PING!
I agree with you!
We have a winner!
I wonder how it will effect the race when Greg Orman declares he will caucus with the GOP....since he is falling behind....
What matters is how he will vote regardless of who he caucuses with....
I smell a rat....
Is it presumed Landrieu will lose in LA?
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Orman (I) | Roberts (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 9/16 - 10/7 | -- | -- | 44.7 | 42.0 | Orman +2.7 |
| FOX News* | 10/4 - 10/7 | 702 LV | 3.5 | 39 | 44 | Roberts +5 |
| CNN/Opinion Research | 10/2 - 10/6 | 687 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 49 | Roberts +1 |
| SurveyUSA* | 10/2 - 10/5 | 549 LV | 4.3 | 47 | 42 | Orman +5 |
| NBC News/Marist* | 9/27 - 10/1 | 636 LV | 3.9 | 48 | 38 | Orman +10 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov* | 9/20 - 10/1 | 2013 LV | 3.0 | 40 | 40 | Tie |
| USA Today/Suffolk* | 9/27 - 9/30 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 46 | 41 | Orman +5 |
| Rasmussen Reports** | 9/16 - 9/17 | 750 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 40 | Orman +5 |
Some recent polls from the LA senate race.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/louisiana_senate_race.html
Thanks. Guess I wasn’t thinking of the 3rd candidate, and LA’s runoff elections. Poor Miss Mary doesn’t have quite the constituency she had pre-Katrina, when she was lagging, and went down to the 9th Pct to beat the bushes to get voters out and pull her ahead. They will find a way, tho, if she gets into the runoff.
Margin of error and the spread are two different things.
Guess I wasn’t thinking of the 3rd candidate,
**************
Actually there are nine (9) candidates on the ballot for Senator in LA on Nov. 4.
No majority then it goes to a runoff with the top two in Dec.
The situation in Kansas is dynamic. The old polls quickly become obsolete. I’m not saying I’m confident that Roberts is now ahead by the average of the just completed Fox and CNN polls, but them’s my druthers.
This is great news! Hopefully winning the Senate will set up the Republicans to win back the White House! :)
Agreed!!!
I’m going to go try to see Ted Cruz this weekend on his Kansas tour with Roberts.
CGato
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