How would a Cochran defeat in MS affect things?
The rending of garments and gnashing of teeth will be of Biblical proportions, and that’s just before the serious drinking starts.
Ain't that the truth. Most vulnerable Senator in Kay Hagan, Tillis as high profile Speaker of the NC House, the most conservative legislature ever in the state - Rove's genius.....and they may blow it.
My hunch is Tillis will sneak through in a squeaker. But he should be 15 points ahead. Awful campaign.
Although I dont live there now, NC is my home state. I hate what has happenned....lil dickie burr is completely worthless and now Thom Tillis! Tillis is Rove/GOPe trash for sure..completely worthless.
The Hag was an easy target....
STROLL DOWN MEMORY LANE Just a few days ago, it was reported that, despite many setbacks, Democrat Mary Landrieu was aggressively in the hunt for that elusive victory....... in Louisiana, no less, which has had it w/ Obama.
But little Mary soldiered on---using the Democrats' tried-and-true "Heart of Gold Strategy." The "Heart of Gold Strategy" means a Democrat will suck-up to anything that moves.
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NO KIDDING--THIS WAS POSTED ON THE LANDRIEU.GOV WEB SITE after her vote on the motion to invoke cloture on the DREAM Act which was defeated by a vote of 55-41.
Landrieu issued this statement: "America is a land of enormous opportunity that is strengthened, not weakened, by the immeasurable contributions of people from different backgrounds. "
"There are 2.1 million young people in this country who were brought to America by their parents as children. They are undocumented, yet they know no other home than the USA. I believe these young adults deserve a chance to earn their citizenship. (SNIP) "Contrary to the rhetoric of its vocal opponents, the DREAM Act, because of its limited scope, will not open the door for future abuses of the system. "
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Does Mary know how many future Dreamers are carriers of TB, Ebola, Chikungunya, Dengue fever, Norovirus. Hantavirus, Swine flu, Varicella. Variola, E-coli.......and carriers of childhood diseases America stamped out years ago.......how many are in Louisiana communities, schools, in stores and restaurants....handling Louisianans' food and merchandise.
DOES MARY KNOW:
<><> the medical conditions of those enrolled in Louisiana schools....
<><> the contagion status of contaminated Louisiana public facilities;
<><> the contagion status of contaminated public transportation used to transport minors.......
<><> the dangers to Americans from contaminated Dreamers in the marketplace, handling Louisianans' food, merchandise.
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Campaign Contributions Ensnare MARY LANDRIEU in IRSs Missing Emails Scandal
Colorado Observer. | June 19, 2014 | Audrey Hudson / FR Posted 6/21 by george76
...... missing among the IRSs internal emails are communications with Sens. Mark Udall, Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu, Al Franken, and a dozen other Democrats who received campaign contributions from the federal agencys union.
Democratic senators who took campaign donations from the IRS union include Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana who received $25,500, Al Franken of Minnesota with $5,000, and Mark Begich of Alaska.
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoloradoobserver.com
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Obama is flying in to save loyal little Mary's ***.
Note FiveThirtyEight and NYT models however. Both paint a more realistic picture. Not sure anyone has it near 95% other than WaPo.
I don’t see how you can find Landrieu winning Louisiana. She’s in trouble, and has been for some time.
The way of the South is to vote Republican. Only a few dems are left in office. Landrieu is gonna be another dem who lost in a Southern state due to this trend.
Now, will it take a runoff to put Landrieu out to pasture? Perhaps. The last poll had Landrieu at 36%, Cassidy at 32 and Mannes at 4. However, the same poll has a head-to-head between Landrieu and Cassidy at Cassidy 47% and Landrieu 41%.
I don’t think she can win unless her number comes up to at least 46%. She’s in a very deep hole.
I’m not breaking out the champagne until they actually call it on election night.
About the only thing going for todays Republicants is that they aren't the party of Obama.
What difference does it make. More executive orders and ball less responses from the Democrat II party.
Since this is not a national election, I can’t really imagine an ‘October surprise’ that would resonate state by state. They are effective in swaying a national election by a few percentage points, and that can be the difference.
But, what really are they going to do in Washington that is going to affect West Virginia? Positively, they could approve total open market on coal, but that’ not going to happen.
Negatively, which is what an October surprise is generally, I can’t think of anything short of declaring that the republican party has secretly signed documents to all become democrats, or all support abortion/amnesty/gaymarriage as soon as the last ballot has been cast. I suppose Priebus and Rove aren’t that stupid.
Does the model factor in voter fraud?
Women and minorities hit hardest.