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Three days ago, I'd have disputed this. But now, the only 3 races I see a chance of us losing is NC, LA and KS. Recent developments tell me that CO will definitely elect Gardner over the Udall idiot. Ernst will be the first woman elected to the Senate in IA. Begich is done in AK. Even though lib publications still say that Mitch McConnell is in a tight race in KY, Alison Grimes has blown any chance of making it a tight race. Her campaign workers videoed saying she's lying about being Pro-Coal and then her, two days ago, refusing to admit that she voted for the Muslim Marxist in the White House..... Put a fork in her she's done. I think Roberts will pull out a win KS. In LA, never underestimate Senator Thunder Thighs. But, Karl Rove's hand picked boy, Thom Tillis in NC.... not so sure.
1 posted on 10/11/2014 4:29:39 AM PDT by Din Maker
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To: Din Maker

How would a Cochran defeat in MS affect things?


2 posted on 10/11/2014 4:33:38 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Din Maker

The rending of garments and gnashing of teeth will be of Biblical proportions, and that’s just before the serious drinking starts.


3 posted on 10/11/2014 4:33:50 AM PDT by SWAMPSNIPER (The Second Amendment, a Matter of Fact, Not a Matter of Opinion)
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To: Din Maker
. But, Karl Rove's hand picked boy, Thom Tillis in NC.... not so sure.

Ain't that the truth. Most vulnerable Senator in Kay Hagan, Tillis as high profile Speaker of the NC House, the most conservative legislature ever in the state - Rove's genius.....and they may blow it.

My hunch is Tillis will sneak through in a squeaker. But he should be 15 points ahead. Awful campaign.

5 posted on 10/11/2014 4:36:31 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (www.FireKarlRove.com NOW)
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To: Din Maker

Although I dont live there now, NC is my home state. I hate what has happenned....lil dickie burr is completely worthless and now Thom Tillis! Tillis is Rove/GOPe trash for sure..completely worthless.

The Hag was an easy target....


7 posted on 10/11/2014 4:39:06 AM PDT by rrrod (at home in Medellin Colombia)
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To: All
LA's Landrieu's got her voter fraud machine going at Mach One speed.

STROLL DOWN MEMORY LANE Just a few days ago, it was reported that, despite many setbacks, Democrat Mary Landrieu was aggressively in the hunt for that elusive victory....... in Louisiana, no less, which has had it w/ Obama.

But little Mary soldiered on---using the Democrats' tried-and-true "Heart of Gold Strategy." The "Heart of Gold Strategy" means a Democrat will suck-up to anything that moves.

==================================================

NO KIDDING--THIS WAS POSTED ON THE LANDRIEU.GOV WEB SITE after her vote on the motion to invoke cloture on the DREAM Act which was defeated by a vote of 55-41.

Landrieu issued this statement: "America is a land of enormous opportunity that is strengthened, not weakened, by the immeasurable contributions of people from different backgrounds. "

"There are 2.1 million young people in this country who were brought to America by their parents as children. They are undocumented, yet they know no other home than the USA. I believe these young adults deserve a chance to earn their citizenship. (SNIP) "Contrary to the rhetoric of its vocal opponents, the DREAM Act, because of its limited scope, will not open the door for future abuses of the system. "

=============================================

Does Mary know how many future Dreamers are carriers of TB, Ebola, Chikungunya, Dengue fever, Norovirus. Hantavirus, Swine flu, Varicella. Variola, E-coli.......and carriers of childhood diseases America stamped out years ago.......how many are in Louisiana communities, schools, in stores and restaurants....handling Louisianans' food and merchandise.

DOES MARY KNOW:

<><> the medical conditions of those enrolled in Louisiana schools....

<><> the contagion status of contaminated Louisiana public facilities;

<><> the contagion status of contaminated public transportation used to transport minors.......

<><> the dangers to Americans from contaminated Dreamers in the marketplace, handling Louisianans' food, merchandise.

============================================

Campaign Contributions Ensnare MARY LANDRIEU in IRS’s Missing Emails Scandal
Colorado Observer. | June 19, 2014 | Audrey Hudson / FR Posted 6/21 by george76

...... missing among the IRS’s internal emails are communications with Sens. Mark Udall, Mark Begich, Mary Landrieu, Al Franken, and a dozen other Democrats who received campaign contributions from the federal agency’s union.

Democratic senators who took campaign donations from the IRS union include Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana who received $25,500, Al Franken of Minnesota with $5,000, and Mark Begich of Alaska.

(Excerpt) Read more at thecoloradoobserver.com

==============================================

Obama is flying in to save loyal little Mary's ***.


14 posted on 10/11/2014 4:46:36 AM PDT by Liz ("Sooner or later everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences." Robert Louis Stevenson)
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To: Din Maker

Note FiveThirtyEight and NYT models however. Both paint a more realistic picture. Not sure anyone has it near 95% other than WaPo.


15 posted on 10/11/2014 4:46:44 AM PDT by paul544
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To: Din Maker

I don’t see how you can find Landrieu winning Louisiana. She’s in trouble, and has been for some time.

The way of the South is to vote Republican. Only a few dems are left in office. Landrieu is gonna be another dem who lost in a Southern state due to this trend.

Now, will it take a runoff to put Landrieu out to pasture? Perhaps. The last poll had Landrieu at 36%, Cassidy at 32 and Mannes at 4. However, the same poll has a head-to-head between Landrieu and Cassidy at Cassidy 47% and Landrieu 41%.

I don’t think she can win unless her number comes up to at least 46%. She’s in a very deep hole.


16 posted on 10/11/2014 4:52:12 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Din Maker

I’m not breaking out the champagne until they actually call it on election night.


41 posted on 10/11/2014 5:57:24 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Din Maker

About the only thing going for todays Republicants is that they aren't the party of Obama.


51 posted on 10/11/2014 6:25:55 AM PDT by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
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To: Din Maker

What difference does it make. More executive orders and ball less responses from the Democrat II party.


52 posted on 10/11/2014 6:26:20 AM PDT by cp124 (Government is value subtracted.)
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To: Din Maker

Since this is not a national election, I can’t really imagine an ‘October surprise’ that would resonate state by state. They are effective in swaying a national election by a few percentage points, and that can be the difference.

But, what really are they going to do in Washington that is going to affect West Virginia? Positively, they could approve total open market on coal, but that’ not going to happen.

Negatively, which is what an October surprise is generally, I can’t think of anything short of declaring that the republican party has secretly signed documents to all become democrats, or all support abortion/amnesty/gaymarriage as soon as the last ballot has been cast. I suppose Priebus and Rove aren’t that stupid.


54 posted on 10/11/2014 6:28:19 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: Din Maker

Does the model factor in voter fraud?


87 posted on 10/11/2014 8:11:57 AM PDT by TruthWillWin (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples money.)
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To: Din Maker
Washington Post's election model gives Republicans a 95% chance of winning the Senate.

Women and minorities hit hardest.

98 posted on 10/11/2014 9:23:30 AM PDT by JimRed (Excise the cancer before it kills us; feed & water the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS NOW & FOREVER!)
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