Posted on 10/19/2014 2:01:06 PM PDT by centurion316
Republicans are bullish that they will win control of the Senate, make small gains in the House and retain many governor’s offices this year. But just over two weeks from Election Day, fears about Ebola and Islamic State militants, along with sudden, surprising scrambles in key states, have added new volatility to the 2014 campaign.
The political climate clearly favors Republicans, buoyed by President Obama’s record-low popularity and a voter-enthusiasm advantage. However, the kind of wave that lifted Republicans in 1994 and 2010 has eluded them, in part because the GOP brand also is damaged.
Voters are restive and dissatisfied with their political leadership, turning what had been a workmanlike slog of a midterm campaign into an unpredictable sprint. More sitting governors and lawmakers are in danger of losing today than just a month ago, while both parties see new opportunities and hazards, especially in the battle for the Senate.
“A lot of pressure is building up,” said Alex Castellanos, a veteran Republican strategist. “The top comes off the pressure cooker on November 4th and — boom! Democrats could surprise in some places and Republicans in others.”
Republicans have little margin for error as they seek the six seats needed to give them the Senate majority. The GOP’s fortunes have improved slightly in a trio of conservative-leaning states with embattled Democratic incumbents — Alaska, Arkansas and Louisiana — and it is expected to pick up Democratic-held seats in Montana and West Virginia.
However, Kansas and South Dakota — races Republicans were expected to easily win — are now in jeopardy. Meanwhile, Democrats are gaining in Georgia and have a slim edge in North Carolina. Both parties see Colorado and Iowa as tossups that could determine the majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
GOP +15 in the House.
And if they don't reverse their position on Amnesty, in 2016 it will be:
Dem +12 in the Senate
Dem +48 in the House
Dem wins POTUS.
Obola just had a 21 yr. old woman from Liberia come in on a FAST-TRACK VISA and is going to live in IOWA....IOWA!!!!
I’m walking to my early voting place tomorrow. Might be first in the door. We usually vote on the actual day but plan to be out of town the 4th.
Yours is a plausible scenario, for both elections.
Will people say "hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm"?
HP:...."now lets see here....couple of quick changes to your voter registration and you are good to go..."
HP (thinks)....."this sure beats patrolling voter booths and polar bear hunting....
....couple of clicks on the keyboard has them spinning all the way to the Hospice......and easier on the knuckles"
Hey Obama, be a MAN - Implement a travel BAN!!
What State?
Kansas
How do you think candidates are chosen? In the case of the Kansas Senate race, the incumbent decided to run for reelection. Incumbents win 95% of the time, so parties only rarely organize challenges of incumbents. When they do it is invariably done behind the scenes and the incumbent announces that they have decided not to run in order to spend more time with the family. Roberts was challenged by a grass roots candidate, Dr. Milton Wolf who claimed the Tea Party label, but was really just a guy with a dream. He ran a terrible campaign and was defeated in the primary. The Republican voters of Kansas chose Roberts, not the GOP establishment.
The Republican voters of Kansas chose Roberts, not the GOP establishment.
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Indirectly they did select Roberts by not saying to him: “Pat, you’re 78 years old. That “residency” thing is gonna be a problem. You need to go ahead and retire before you drop dead in a couple of years. Thanks for your service, now, get your old, wrinkled ass out of here and go home to Virginia.”
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