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To: pepsionice

Hillary killed Obama in the primary elections. She only had problems in the caucuses. I doubt they’ll make that mistake again.


5 posted on 07/19/2015 1:11:20 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

I was looking over the primaries of 2008. At the end....the two were fairly close (2-percent difference). Obama carried most of the southern states, and the vast majority of northwestern states.

The Hillary problem came up in the super-delegates count (where the VIPs of the party each have a vote). Of the seven-hundred-thirty-odd super votes....Hillary only carried 34-percent of the super-delegates. If she’d carried carried 80-percent of the super-delegates....she would have won.

If you ask me....the super-delegates in 2016....could end up flipping this against her again. She needs to win big in the primary period, in order to avoid any power bickering by the super-delegates. If O’Malley and Bernie win fifty-percent of the primary votes and she walks into the convention with just fifty-percent of the primary vote, I could see her losing again.


6 posted on 07/19/2015 2:01:44 AM PDT by pepsionice
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