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RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES IN SYRIA: SEPT. 30 - OCT. 14 (Facilitating ISIS’s Territorial Gains, Assad)
ISW ^ | 10/14 | Genevieve Casagrande and Jodi Brignola

Posted on 10/17/2015 11:09:55 AM PDT by nickcarraway

Key Takeaway: Russia’s involvement in Syria is facilitating ISIS’s territorial gains, while also strengthening Assad. Russia is supporting the Syrian regime’s offensives in Latakia, the al-Ghab Plain, and northern Hama. Russia also intensified strikes on rebel-held northwestern Aleppo, likely to set conditions for an imminent Russian-Iranian-Syrian regime offensive in the area. U.S. defense officials and local Syrian activists reported the arrival of hundreds of Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)-Quds Force fighters and other Iranian proxy forces in Aleppo over the past few days. Russian strikes largely concentrated along the rebel-held supply route leading to the besieged regime enclaves of Nubl and Zahraa northwest of Aleppo City. If the regime can link with these enclaves, they will successfully sever the rebel-held supply route from Aleppo City to the Turkish border. Simultaneous regime offensives in both Hama and Aleppo Provinces will likely fix rebel forces along multiple fronts and prevent them from reinforcing their positions across northwestern Syria, resulting in a loss of terrain for the Syrian opposition.

ISIS is benefiting from Russia’s strikes on the Syrian opposition. On October 9, ISIS advanced 10 kilometers against rebels in northeastern Aleppo, the largest advance by ISIS in the province since August 2015. ISIS continued to conduct probing attacks against rebels northeast of Aleppo City from October 10-14. The Syrian regime and ISIS have historically leveraged one another’s offensives in order to advance against rebel forces in the northern Aleppo countryside. Both ISIS and the regime will likely capitalize on the effects of Russian airstrikes on rebels. Russian airstrikes have thus far failed to deter ISIS from launching new offensives and rather have facilitated ISIS’s seizure of new terrain.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; Israel; News/Current Events; Russia; Syria; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: iran; isis; israel; lebanon; russia; syria; waronterror
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1 posted on 10/17/2015 11:09:55 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: WilliamIII; canuck_conservative; silverleaf; struggle; BeauBo

Ping


2 posted on 10/17/2015 11:14:19 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

As long as islamos are getting wiped out, it’s all good. Get ISIS all bunched up and FOAB them Ivan.


3 posted on 10/17/2015 11:18:55 AM PDT by soycd
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To: soycd

So you support Iran?


4 posted on 10/17/2015 11:21:00 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

“Institute for the Study of War” should be called “Institute for the Promotion of War,” since it is bought and paid for by US defense contractors including
Raytheon, SAIC, Palantir, General Dynamics, CACI, Northrop Grumman, DynCorp, and L-3 Communication.”

Anyone with a browser can determine very quickly that Russian air strikes have hit ISIS facilities heavily in the past two weeks, while US accomplished nothing in over a year. The other groups being hit include Al Qauda, Al Nusra, and the pathetic remnant of FSA that is fighting alongside these terrorist groups.


5 posted on 10/17/2015 11:24:51 AM PDT by marvel5
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To: nickcarraway

And in other news, 0bama’s airstrikes on hospitals in Afghanistan are driving back ISIS.


6 posted on 10/17/2015 11:27:54 AM PDT by Rodamala
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Russian Airstrikes in Syria: September 30 - October 14 -


7 posted on 10/17/2015 11:29:59 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: nickcarraway

This isn’t our first rodeo. Like George Costanza and Donald Trump and their “Opposites” approach to success, my way of thinking is, if whatever anyone is doing is condemned by Barry Obama it’s prolly a good thing.

And Barry doesn’t seem to like what’s happening in Syria now.

He’s wrapped wire around the axle in Afghanistan and Iraq.
He’s had seven years in the Levantine and hasn’t accomplished anything but the current ball of wax, with PO’d Syrians and others spreading through the West now like bacterium.
So yeah—let’s give the black hats a chance to spend their blood and treasure.
Another ten year Iraq-Iran Rock`em sock`em Robot Proxies? If the boys wanna fight, we better let `em.
Russia-Afghanistan Redux? Go for it guys.
Again, only the neo-cons are sad that no one bought their “Let’s jump in with both feet!” lunch box this county fair.
Pass the popcorn. Set a spell, for about a year and half.


8 posted on 10/17/2015 11:40:19 AM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: nickcarraway

“If the regime can link with these enclaves, they will successfully sever the rebel-held supply route from Aleppo City to the Turkish border”

About says it all. We are supporting rebels thru turkey.


9 posted on 10/17/2015 11:49:12 AM PDT by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: DesertRhino

Obama got that from Bush.


10 posted on 10/17/2015 11:49:58 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

So you support Saudi Arabia and “our” Black flag waving sunni jihadis?


11 posted on 10/17/2015 11:50:15 AM PDT by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: nickcarraway

Got what from Bush? Bush did a lot of bad things, but he at least knew Al Qeida wasn’t an ally.


12 posted on 10/17/2015 11:52:53 AM PDT by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: DesertRhino

Israel/Saudi Arabia are our allies. It doesn’t mean they are perfect, but it’s a lot better than siding with Iran.


13 posted on 10/17/2015 11:54:40 AM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Saudi Arabia is not. Iran sucks. But you can be a Jew in iran. There are 9000 of them, complete with Synagogues. There are 600 churches and around 300,000 Christians in Iran.
Saudi Arabia Judaism is illegal. Synagogues and Christian churches are illegal. Women are far better off in Iran.

Saudi Arabia gave us 911 and Boston. They support the wahhabist sect financially. This brought us the Beslan attack, Madrid, London 7/7 and the Soldier beheading. hey brought is ISIS. They brought is Major Hassan.
They have bribed at least the last two presidents.

No,, Saudi Arabia is not an Ally. And I don’t swallow the propaganda to try to stampede America into a sunni vs Shiite vs alawite intramural battle. They all suck and we should not consider any of them an ally.
They do nothing for us.


14 posted on 10/17/2015 12:16:41 PM PDT by DesertRhino ("I want those feeble minded asses overthrown,,,")
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To: nickcarraway

Saudi Arabia’s horse in this race is ISIS. The article is BS, Russia is bombing the crap out of ISIS, and KSA and the neocons are bummed by it.

Our “ally” KSA wants a head-chopping jihadi govt. in Syria. Assad is bad, but not THAT bad. I hope Putin wipes them out.


15 posted on 10/17/2015 12:19:24 PM PDT by Gunpowder green
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To: DesertRhino

Saudi Arabia is Israel’s ally, and our actions have pushed them closer together.


16 posted on 10/17/2015 12:26:12 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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FReepers, Let's go!
Everyone needs to donate!

All contributions are for the current quarter expenses.


17 posted on 10/17/2015 12:47:30 PM PDT by RedMDer (Support Free Republic and Keep FReedom ALIVE!)
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To: marvel5

Aleppp was a Kurd city a couple of years ago. Can you believe the Russians when they say they are hitting Al Qaeda? Who do you think taught our own administration about how to give a press release?


18 posted on 10/17/2015 1:36:13 PM PDT by huldah1776
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To: huldah1776

ooops Aleppo.


19 posted on 10/17/2015 1:37:28 PM PDT by huldah1776
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To: marvel5
The Rise and Fall of Elizabeth O'Bagy

The Institute for the Study of War is headed up by Kimberly Kagan, who is the wife of Fred Kagan, who has a brother named Robert Kagan, who has a wife named Victoria Nuland.

All 4 of them are prominent NeoCons and all four worked for George Bush.

The Institute for the Study of War is a NeoCon thinktank.

20 posted on 10/17/2015 3:19:06 PM PDT by Ben Ficklin
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