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Why Trump Is Now Losing
Townhall.com ^ | February b1, 2016 | Kevin McCullough

Posted on 02/01/2016 9:16:42 AM PST by Kaslin

I hear the words of the establishment coming out of Donald Trump supporters, just like I heard them from Mitt Romney supporters, and just like I heard them from John McCain supporters.

I've even heard them from Donald,s mouth personally.

"People should vote for me because I'm winning and I'm a winner," he has continually said some semblance of over and over throughout his time on the trail.

He then cites a series of always national polls that show him leading in those polls that study opinion via calling people through landlines.

Ask yourself how many people do you know personally that have given up landlines.

When he declared he'd walk out of the debate this past week he sounded off as to his thoughts of how badly FoxNews would suffer in the ratings–because as Trump's thinking went-he was the reason the debates had become so highly rated.

His assumption was calculating that when he left, the epic audience would as well.

His assumption further seemed to imply that his private event would outshine the debate.

And his assumption still asserted that being ahead in the polls in Iowa was enough to not have to work the state for the weekend-that he will merely jet into Des Moines

Monday night, accept the win, and jet right back out again.

Well hold your ears and cover your eyes Trumpsters because you're about to have a very bad few seconds followed by an awful couple of days.

Because Trump lost, is losing, and will lose.

Does that make him electable?

He lost the hearts and minds of Iowans. From the minute he declared he was out of the final debate Iowans couldn't make it to enough microphones to tell networks how disappointed they were. Many of them saying they had been leaning Trump but were firmly against him now. I have publicly speculated for a couple of days now that with his free fall, less than optimum organization in Iowa, and a surging Rubio effort being led by that candidate, The Donald could fall to third on Monday Night.

He lost the debate. It was obvious the stage didn't miss him and he was forced to absorb the things said on stage without any response.

He lost the opportunity to appear Presidential. The take my audience and go home mentality did not impress many.

He lost the ratings battle. FoxNews scored the second highest audience in their history.

Numbers even higher than the debate from the previous week. Meanwhile Trump trying to co-opt past Iowa winners, pretend to be doing something for charity (though the checks were all written to the Trump Foundation, and no information has been revealed as to how much of the 5 million Donald's own people put up), and garnering the cameras of all the other networks scored just less than 2 million viewers nationwide. Fox scored nearly seven times that number and had a monstrous 8.4 share for the night.

He is losing the public opinion in Iowa. His team is trying to show that slipping from an eleven point lead in public opinion to five points isn't a loss. As of this morning the Des Moines register has that number just under 5 and a model that turns out voters in three times the numbers of the biggest turnout on record and counts on Evangelicals to stay home in higher numbers than in 2012. Neither of these things are going to happen.

He is losing in head to head match-ups with Hillary. So his entire argument of "I don't have to tell you my policy plans because I'm the one who can beat Hillary" is out the window.

Trump had already had his worst month of the campaign. He had an atrocious end of the month and did nothing but lose the final days of the final week.

He will be lucky to edge out Rubio in third place in Iowa at this point. And Teams Cruz and Rubio will raise lots of money and gain massive momentum heading into New Hampshire the following week.

The real downside about making your entire campaign about being a winner, is that in politics as in life, NOBODY wins everything-–all the time.

And the question becomes what is your game plan when your are no longer the winner?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; donaldtrump; iowa; stinkofdesperation
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To: riverrunner

If this clown were around 240 years ago he’d e lecturing us all on the folly of independence.


21 posted on 02/01/2016 9:24:03 AM PST by ConservativeWarrior (Fall down 7 times, stand up 8. - Japanese proverb)
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To: Kaslin

A candidate cannot be “losing” until there have been elections in which he does less well than other candidates.


22 posted on 02/01/2016 9:24:11 AM PST by Tax-chick ("Government employees are the single most important Democrat interest group."~Kevin Williamson)
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To: Kaslin

This sounds like a line from the Marx brothers movie “Day at the Races”
Groucho “Well my horse won the race”

Chico, “Why do you say that; Just because he finished ahead of the rest of the horses?”


23 posted on 02/01/2016 9:24:31 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Kaslin
"People should vote for me because I'm winning and I'm a winner," he has continually said some semblance of over and over throughout his time on the trail.

Wait -- is he talking about Charlie Sheen, or Donald Trump? Can be tough to tell the difference on occasion.

Aw, I'm just kidding....

24 posted on 02/01/2016 9:24:34 AM PST by Bruce Campbells Chin
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To: DrewsMum

You’re right - especially in Iowa.

As far as we know, Rubio could win it according to those college polls. (Shudder...)


25 posted on 02/01/2016 9:24:44 AM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Well I don’t have any use for twitter, but you are correct.


26 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:11 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him. He got them and now we have to pay the consequences)
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To: chris37

So you choose the one whom the establishment prefers over the most conservative?

How is that different than Romney or McCain or Dole?


27 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:22 AM PST by DrewsMum (If they wanted a conservative, they'd vote for one.)
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To: Kaslin

28 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:25 AM PST by Heartlander (Prediction: Increasingly, logic will be seen as a covert form of theism. - Denyse O'Leary)
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To: Kaslin

Some people are working so hard to convince us that Trump really isn’t winning, that all those thousands of people who are showing up in the bitter cold are really mirages, that the poll numbers are way off.

I remember a lot of people in 2008 and 2012 saying that 0bama couldn’t possibly be winning because they weren’t calling those with only cell phones. Well, guess what, not calling those with only cell phones didn’t mean a thing.


29 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:31 AM PST by euram
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To: Kaslin

Trump Derangement Syndrome is running wild.


30 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:42 AM PST by McGruff (Are we electing a president or a pope here?)
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To: Kaslin
Have I told you lately that I love you??? lol THANKS for this article update.......exactly what I was suspecting to be the case in IOWA anyway...

The Next Won's sparkle is coming off, and revealing the fools gold...

Iowa is not STUPID as he says.

31 posted on 02/01/2016 9:25:44 AM PST by annieokie
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To: Kaslin

Good to see the Neocon front at Townhall sticking to their plan.


32 posted on 02/01/2016 9:26:02 AM PST by Regulator
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To: bigbob

Unless they blasting cruz, right?


33 posted on 02/01/2016 9:26:04 AM PST by DrewsMum (If they wanted a conservative, they'd vote for one.)
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To: riverrunner

he only got 2 million viewers?

shocked

also shocked that the debate went over so big.

didn’t watch it.

meagan the classy got her marching orders to hurt cruz and propel rubio past trump and cruz, or that is their hope


34 posted on 02/01/2016 9:26:10 AM PST by dp0622
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To: ConservativeDude

We’ll find out, won’t we?


35 posted on 02/01/2016 9:26:45 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him. He got them and now we have to pay the consequences)
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To: Kaslin

And even being that big of a loser, he is still beating Cruz, Rubio, Bush and the rest of them.


36 posted on 02/01/2016 9:27:06 AM PST by sipow
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To: Mollypitcher1; Kaslin
Townhall Salem Communications outlets + Kaslin = Trump Hit Piece

Fixed it ;-)

37 posted on 02/01/2016 9:27:29 AM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: ripnbang

very interesting beating in the polls would seem to hold more weigh than the low turnout for his show for the Vets

but i thought a lot more than 2 million trumpsters would have watched it.


38 posted on 02/01/2016 9:27:31 AM PST by dp0622
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To: DrewsMum

I’m choosing the one that I prefer, and the one that isn’t a creep.

Sorry.


39 posted on 02/01/2016 9:27:56 AM PST by chris37 (heartless)
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To: Kaslin

Wow, this guy sounds like an arrogant drunk in a bar looking for a fight. Fact is, the polls do not bear out his assessment. Here’s the latest:

“A final Quinnipiac poll ahead of the Iowa caucus finds Donald Trump’s support steady at 31 percent while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has dropped 5 points in the last week.”


40 posted on 02/01/2016 9:28:06 AM PST by vekzen
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