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NATE SILVER: Here's who's favored to win the Iowa caucuses (Odds of winning: Trump 54%-Cruz 33%)
Yahoo.com ^
| 2/1/2016
| Andy Kiersz
Posted on 02/01/2016 2:27:33 PM PST by GilGil
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To: mojito
NYT just endorsed her. Like electing the Godfather in a pantsuit.
41
posted on
02/01/2016 4:11:09 PM PST
by
GilGil
To: scooby321
Only Fox News has Marco Rubio surging
They have been. People must be saying they are switching votes to the news people. Because I don’t think that they could talk about it otherwise. He has been doing good since the debate. Well see. Nobody knows anything until midnight (or close to).
To: SamAdams76
I’m pretty sure it’s only the D side that does the whole coercion thing. I think for the R side it’s speeches then a secret ballot.
Don’t quote me on that, though. Haven’t lived in Iowa for 12 years.
43
posted on
02/01/2016 4:37:20 PM PST
by
Luircin
(The difference between lesser evil and greater good is who gets schlonged in the end.)
To: NKP_Vet
What.
What.
Link me to that video.
44
posted on
02/01/2016 4:38:16 PM PST
by
Luircin
(The difference between lesser evil and greater good is who gets schlonged in the end.)
To: GilGil
lol
this guy spent the last 6 months saying Trump can’t win... now he is predicting he will!
ROFL
45
posted on
02/01/2016 4:58:51 PM PST
by
TexasFreeper2009
(You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
To: GilGil
But does Nate Silver know about the ground game?
46
posted on
02/01/2016 5:18:52 PM PST
by
entropy12
(Trump - NOT funded by Goldman Sachs. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!)
To: TexasFreeper2009
In a way can not blame Nate. He uses history a lot, and there never has been a candidate like Trump in living memory.
47
posted on
02/01/2016 5:20:15 PM PST
by
entropy12
(Trump - NOT funded by Goldman Sachs. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!)
To: GilGil
I would not call the 8 point difference between 46% and 54% “slight.”
To: GilGil
Early information seems to indicate Rubio doing better than expected. Manufactured news?
49
posted on
02/01/2016 5:40:03 PM PST
by
CatOwner
(Trump + Cruz greater than 50% = GOPe on suicide watch)
Guess Nate was off a bit on this one.
50
posted on
02/01/2016 8:24:23 PM PST
by
csivils
To: GilGil
Well, Nate Silver’s an idiot.
51
posted on
02/01/2016 8:49:50 PM PST
by
demshateGod
(Trump: We will have to leave borders behind and go for global unity)
To: Georgia Girl 2
I guess Nate talks to the same god Trump talks to.
52
posted on
02/01/2016 8:50:35 PM PST
by
demshateGod
(Trump: We will have to leave borders behind and go for global unity)
To: GilGil
53
posted on
02/01/2016 8:53:39 PM PST
by
SecondAmendment
(Restoring our Republic at 9.8357x10^8 FPS)
To: GilGil
Haha, Nate Silver crashes into the earth, and all the other poll-worshippers!
54
posted on
02/01/2016 9:01:59 PM PST
by
cookcounty
("I was a Democrat until I learned to count" --Maine Gov. Paul LePage)
To: cookcounty
Nate will be washing the his boyfriend out of his mouth this morning and will be back at it later.
55
posted on
02/02/2016 3:14:41 AM PST
by
MSF BU
(Support the troops: Join Them.)
To: GilGil
All these people saying Nate Silver is a genius.... Blah blah blah...
56
posted on
02/02/2016 4:16:48 AM PST
by
petercooper
(All the world's problems are caused by the sandrats, hoodrats, gimmedats, democrats and commiecrats.)
To: GilGil
In addition to the many pleasures of the last twenty-four hours, it is an additional joy to see Nate Silver be wrong.
57
posted on
02/02/2016 5:24:30 AM PST
by
gridlock
(ELIMINATE PERVERSE INCENTIVES)
To: GilGil
Nate needs to find a new schtick.
58
posted on
02/02/2016 5:39:08 AM PST
by
Mashood
To: GilGil
59
posted on
02/02/2016 5:57:53 AM PST
by
CPT Clay
(Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
To: CPT Clay
to be fair, Silver wasn’t “wrong”. He stated that each candidate had a certain “chance” to win. He did not state Trump had a 100% chance to win. He did state that Cruz had a 37% chance to win, which he did. That’s how probability works. It’s a chance of a certain outcome, not a guarantee of a certain outcome.
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