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To: Kaslin
The odds of winning 6 coin tosses is 50-50

Each toss coin event is separate.

It is the gamblers fallacy to count the events as together.

66 posted on 02/02/2016 12:50:46 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

>> It is the gamblers fallacy to count the events as together.

It’s mathematically sound to compute the probability of a particular outcome of a series of random events. Which is what was done when they say “the odds of six coin tosses all being heads is X%”.

However, for any SUBSEQUENT coin toss, what came before doesn’t affect the odds of THAT TOSS, which are still 50-50.


72 posted on 02/02/2016 12:56:52 PM PST by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Your statement is incorrect.


76 posted on 02/02/2016 1:04:42 PM PST by gogeo (If you are Tea Party, the GOPee does not want you.)
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To: fortheDeclaration; Nervous Tick; gogeo
The probability of winning six consecutive coin flips is one in 64. Thats 0.015625, same as 1.5625%. That's 63-to-1 against; not impossible odds, just unlikely. Unlikely events occasionally happen.

Very basic probability arithmetic.

93 posted on 02/02/2016 1:29:04 PM PST by goldbux (CDO / I may have Obsessive Compulsive Disorder, but at least I put the letters in correct sequence.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

The odds of coin tossing and winning all six as heads - is the same as having six kids and all 6 are the same gender. So your statement that the chances are 50/50 is only correct when you only consider each toss individually.

In reality it is .5 x .5 x .5 x.5 x .5 x .5 = .0156 o 1.56%
With fractions you can use 1/2 x 1/2 etc. Taking it to 6 times you have 1/64.


114 posted on 02/02/2016 1:54:02 PM PST by Gumdrop
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