Posted on 02/15/2016 3:33:04 PM PST by BigEdLB
CHART No Text
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Well this one wont get posted 10,000 times.
Basically no real change. Rubio still on-track for the #2 spot.
So what’s the MOE? What these data say is that NOTHING has changed! These “minor movements” are simply jitter.
Trump lapping the field.
Look at the chart. It clearly says MOE 2.8
I don’t think the debates will change many voter’s minds after South Carolina...IF these numbers hold and are accurate, he goes into NV and FL with momentum. I believe he has pretty good leads in both places. From then on it’s the SEC and he’s leading in most of those states, too. Most people will be locked on a candidate by then. The best the others can hope for is an undeclared winner by convention.
He did...he didn’t go up like he usually does :)
You are watching too many Jeb press conferences ;)
But....I thought Trump was going to crash and burn after Saturday’s debate.
He’s finally plateaued.
Above his previous plateau.
Response Rate: 3.42% !!!!!! This must be why the polls don’t seem to be working!
Kind of have to question a survey done on valentines day only. A lot of people are out at movies and restaurants etc. I guess this tells Trump is #1 with lonely hearts :)
I’ve posted this like ten times, but it bears repeating.
SC is unique among all the early primaries.
The winner gets 29 delegates guaranteed.
21 remain, 3 per each voting district.
The winner of a district gets 3 votes.
Trump could sweep and get all 50 delegates.
That would mean the whomever takes 2nd or 3rd, is meaningless.
If Trump wins big, he’d be foolish to go independent. He will have these people shaking in their boots.
He will unite everyone. He will mend the bruised egos. He will retain our HOuse and Senate and we will have a sweep of the governorships.
He will win New York..New Jersey...etc.
The poll on Friday is the one that will tell us.
So, we’re basically still looking at a nomination that will be decided at the convention.
I would really be interested in seeing the breakdown of the ones who didn’t participate. No answer, wouldn’t answer, etc., and what “big data” could tell us about the people who didn’t participate.
I don’t think Trump has any desire to go Independent. He is definitely playing with people’s heads though.
Seems likely with that big a lead Trump would win each district. But that is not a given. I’ll see if I can find info on how each district breaks down. Trump’s demographic support is quite wide.
“Look at the chart. It clearly says MOE 2.8”
Sorry, didn’t look at the chart. That low MOE makes the data even better.
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