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Keyword: 2016polls

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  • Iowa Poll Suggests Dangers for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump’s Strengths

    08/30/2015 9:14:18 AM PDT · by Theoria · 9 replies
    The New York Times ^ | 30 Aug 2015 | Trip Gabriel
    In Iowa, when J. Ann Selzer talks, people listen.Many surprising findings in a new survey by Ms. Selzer, Iowa’s most respected pollster, are sure to be topics of elated or anxious conversations on campaign conference calls on Monday morning.Among the findings, released Saturday night: Hillary Rodham Clinton’s lead over Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont has shrunk to just 7 percentage points; Donald J. Trump’s favorability with Republicans has sharply increased, suggesting he has room to increase his lead; and Democrats are largely untroubled about Mrs. Clinton’s email controversy – suggesting her vulnerabilities are deeper.With both parties’ nominating races entering a...
  • This Iowa poll shows just how amazing Donald Trump’s rise has been

    08/30/2015 7:51:19 AM PDT · by RoosterRedux · 54 replies
    WaPo ^ | Chris Cillizza
    Donald Trump leads the Republican 2016 field in a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics of Iowa voters. But that's not the real story. The real story is contained deeper in the poll. In May, when the Register last polled, 27 percent of likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers viewed Trump favorably while 63 percent regarded him unfavorably. In the new poll, which was released Saturday night, Trump's favorable number is at 61 percent and his unfavorable at 35 percent. Um, WHAT? Let me put it another way: W-H-A-T??? Numbers just don't reverse themselves like that in the space of a few months...
  • Poll disputes Donald Trump claim on black voter support (Quinnipiac: Trump at 3% with black vote

    08/28/2015 9:22:59 AM PDT · by Laissez-faire capitalist · 53 replies
    CNN ^ | 8/28/2015 (6 hours ago) | Eugene Scott
    Republican presidential front-runner said Thursday that his plans to improve the economy for black Americans is why he is leading in the polls with black voters, though at least one recent poll disputes Trump's claim. "I lead with almost every group. including with the African-American groups," Trump told reporters at an event in Greenville, South Carolina. "I have tremendous support." Quinnipiac University released a national poll Thursday showing that while Trump is leading the Republican Party nationally, he is polling poorly with black Americans in the general election. The poll found... When asked "If the election for President were being...
  • Grey Hair, Silver Lining: Hillary Clinton Polls Well With Elderly Voters

    08/27/2015 2:33:49 PM PDT · by lbryce · 28 replies
    Washington Beacon ^ | August 27, 20015 | Andrew Stiles
    The most recent Quinnipiac poll is awful news for Hillary Clinton. Most voters don’t view her in a favorable light, and the first words that come to mind when they think of her are “liar,” “dishonest,” and “untrustworthy,” while “bitch” and “murder” are slightly lower down the list. She’s getting outperformed by Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden in head-to-head match-ups with the leading Republican candidates. Democratic voters seem to be holding out for Joe, because they love him. If there’s a silver lining in the poll, it’s the fact that Hillary Clinton would still win a three-way race against Jeb...
  • New Polls: More Bad News for Hillary, More Good News for Trump

    08/27/2015 2:23:19 PM PDT · by Kaslin · 15 replies
    Rush Limbaugh.com ^ | August 27, 2015 | Rush Limbaugh
    RUSH: There's all kinds of new polls out, ladies and gentlemen. A new Quinnipiac poll. You know what the word most commonly associated with Hillary Clinton is? "Liar." I'm not kidding. The second most closely associated word Hillary Clinton is "dishonest." And the third most commonly associated word with Mrs. Clinton is "untrustworthy." And she is the Democrats' leading nominee. And Joe Biden is getting out that he doesn't know if he's got enough emotional fuel in the tank. He just doesn't know if he's got it. On the Republican side, there's big news with Trump. Trump has told Republican...
  • Quinnipiac poll: Joe Biden stronger against GOP than Hillary Clinton

    08/27/2015 10:10:49 AM PDT · by Laissez-faire capitalist · 51 replies
    CBS News ^ | 8/27/2015 (5 hours ago) | Staff
    A new poll shows Joe Biden performing a little better than Hillary Clinton against the leading GOP candidates in a general election matchup, and his favorability is better than that of any candidate - Democrat or Republican. Quinnipiac University's national poll [link at URL], released Thursday, finds that Clinton remains the Democratic frontrunner with 45%, but her lead over Bernie Sanders has slipped by 10 percentage points. sanders has 22 percent, and Biden comes in third at 18 percent. ... On the Republican side, Trump broadened his lead - he's now at 28 percent, with Ben Carson trailing at 12...
  • Pollsters dumbfounded by Trump

    08/27/2015 6:51:25 AM PDT · by sevinufnine · 45 replies
    The Hill ^ | August 27, 2015 | Ben Kamisar
    Polling experts agree on one thing when it comes to Donald Trump’s presidential run: They’ve never seen anything like it. His dominance of the Republican presidential race is forcing experienced political hands to question whether everything they know about winning the White House is wrong. While political scientists and other experts continue to insist Trump will not win the Republican nomination, he’s converted at least one high-profile skeptic. GOP pollster Frank Luntz had dismissed Trump from the start, and declared after the first presidential debate that his campaign was doomed. But after convening a focus group Monday evening where Trump...
  • POLL: DONALD TRUMP SETS RECORD, HITS 40 PERCENT IN NEW POLL

    08/26/2015 3:27:22 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 42 replies
    Breitbart ^ | August 26,2015 | by ALEX SWOYER
    Donald Trump, the GOP frontrunner, hit the 40 percent marker in a recent Gravis Marketing poll. According to a report, this is the first time a candidate has reached above the 30 percent mark. Since the previous survey done by Gravis Marketing on July 31, Trump increased almost 10 points. Dr. Ben Carson increased 7 points and was named the winner in a Post GOP Debate Poll. Trump, Carson, and Fiorina three of the top five GOP presidential candidates, have never held office. The Gravis results were as follows: Donald Trump – 40.1% Ben Carson – 13% Jeb Bush –...
  • Pollster Zogby: Trump Just Weeks From Running Out of Gas

    08/26/2015 7:48:11 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 108 replies
    Newsmax ^ | August 25, 2014 | Bill Hoffmann
    "I just don't see how he sustains this over a long period of time. Frankly, I give it another month … mid-September," Zogby, CEO of Zogby Analytics, said Tuesday to J.D. Hayworth on "Newsmax Prime." "So much of [Trump's campaign] is based on being outrageous. How long can you be outrageous? And be outrageous every single day is what he's being." "As soon as he puts together two or three days where there isn't anything outrageous, where the press isn't there, where he just doesn't get this kind of attention, he himself may very well just get bored with that....
  • Election 2016: Donald Trump Poll Numbers Surprise, 'Favorable' Views Up, Support Growing

    08/26/2015 2:44:33 AM PDT · by 11th_VA · 50 replies
    Ibtimes ^ | 25 Aug 2015 | Ginger Gibson
    WASHINGTON -- For months there has appeared to be one roadblock standing between Donald Trump and victory in the Republican presidential primary campaign: The large number of people who didn’t like him. While poll after poll found him in the lead, they also found him with some of the highest unfavorable numbers -- meaning people had already formed an opinion of him, and it wasn’t positive. But two polls released Tuesday in early primary states show that dislike evaporating. A South Carolina poll conducted by Monmouth University found Trump with 58 percent holding a favorable opinion and 28 percent, an...
  • Trump leaving rivals in the dust

    08/25/2015 12:39:04 PM PDT · by Biggirl · 13 replies
    The Hill ^ | August 25, 2015 | Ben Kamisar
    Donald Trump’s lead over the Republican primary field is growing, with new polls putting him well ahead of his rivals in two early primary states. The real estate magnate has opened up a 24-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a poll released Tuesday by the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling, with 35 percent of likely GOP primary voters supporting him.
  • Why Polls Alone Don't Show the True Leaders of the GOP Race

    08/25/2015 6:48:17 AM PDT · by conservativejoy · 9 replies
    Newsmachete ^ | 8/24/2015 | Newsmachete
    Who are the leaders in this crowded race for the GOP nomination? If you look at national polls, the top three are Trump, Bush, and Carson. If you look at New Hampshire, it's Trump, Kasich, and Bush. If you look at Iowa, it's Trump, Carson, and Walker, though I don't know how proud Scott Walker can be to be third in a state that should almost be giving him a home-state advantage. But these polls by themselves don't show who the leaders are in the race. To know the answer to that question, you have to look at all the...
  • Trump Up Big in NH; Sanders Leads Clinton

    08/25/2015 6:59:16 AM PDT · by Helicondelta · 21 replies
    publicpolicypolling.com ^ | August 25, 2015
    PPP's new New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump in the strongest position of any poll we've done anywhere since he entered the race. Trump laps the Republican field with 35% to 11% for John Kasich, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 7% each for Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, 6% for Ben Carson, 4% each for Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio, and 3% for Rand Paul. ... Trump's advantage over the Republican field is thorough. He leads with Tea Party voters (44%), men (39%), independents (36%), conservatives (36%), voters who are most concerned about electability (35%), both younger voters and...
  • Trump Dominates GOP Field in S.C. Poll

    08/25/2015 7:05:50 AM PDT · by Helicondelta · 32 replies
    politico.com ^ | August 25, 2015 | NICK GASS
    Donald Trump holds a commanding lead among likely Republican primary voters in South Carolina, according to a new Monmouth University poll released Tuesday. Three in 10 voters (30 percent) said that Trump is their first choice, followed by retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 15 percent. Neither candidate has held elected office, and 61 percent of voters said they would prefer someone from outside of Washington to bring a new approach. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is further back, at 9 percent, followed by former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio at 6 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz...
  • Gallup: Hispanics Frown on Trump, but Not Rest of GOP Field

    08/25/2015 7:16:59 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 126 replies
    Gallup ^ | 08/25/2015 | Lydia Saad
    PRINCETON, N.J. -- U.S. Hispanics are still getting to know most of the Republican contenders for president. At this point in the campaign, less than half have formed an opinion of any Republican candidate except Donald Trump and Jeb Bush. Partly because of this, Hispanics' views of most GOP candidates range from mildly positive to mildly negative. The sole exception is Trump, whose favorable rating with Hispanics is deeply negative.Gallup began tracking the images of all the major announced candidates for president nightly in early July. Since then, 14% of the roughly 650 Hispanics interviewed have said they view Trump...
  • Trump widens lead over U.S. Republican presidential field: Reuters poll (Now 32% pulling away)

    08/24/2015 2:30:39 PM PDT · by xzins · 128 replies
    Yahoo ^ | August 21, 2015 | Emily Stephenson
    Republican Donald Trump is pulling away from the pack in the race for the party's U.S. presidential nomination, widening his lead over his closest rivals in the past week, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed on Friday. Republican voters show no signs they are growing weary of the brash real estate mogul, who has dominated political headlines and the 17-strong Republican presidential field with his tough talk about immigration and insults directed at his political rivals. The candidates are vying to be nominated to represent their party in the November 2016 general election. Nearly 32 percent of Republicans surveyed online said they...
  • Trump triumphs in new Missouri poll; H. Clinton cruises past Bernie Sanders(Trump 23%,Jeb&Ben 11%)

    08/13/2015 3:49:27 PM PDT · by Red Steel · 11 replies
    Donald Trump reigns in Missouri, at least right now. A new poll from Public Policy Polling shows him leading the Republican field in the state with 23 percent to 11 percent each for Jeb Bush and Ben Carson. Mike Huckabee got 10 percent to 9 percent for Ted Cruz, 8 percent for Scott Walker, 7 percent for Carly Fiorina, 6 percent for Marco Rubio and 4 percent each for John Kasich and Rand Paul. Other candidates are at 1 percent or less: Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and George Pataki. Jim Gilmore and Lindsey Graham have no...
  • could ted cruz end up as the establishment candidate?

    08/23/2015 9:57:49 AM PDT · by Steelfish · 94 replies
    The American Spectator ^ | August 23, 2015g | Scott McKay
    COULD TED CRUZ END UP AS THE ESTABLISHMENT CANDIDATE? Strange as it might sound, it’s possible. By Scott McKay – 8.20.15 Have you looked inside the latest CNN poll? You’ll find a very interesting number — namely, that Jeb Bush’s approval-disapproval numbers sit at a devastating 35-57. That doesn’t look like the inevitability we’ve been sold by his surrogates, does it? What seems quite apparent so far is the GOP establishment, and the Chamber of Commerce crowd who forced Mitt Romney down the throats of an unenthusiastic Republican electorate four years ago, cannot produce a nominee in this cycle. Each...
  • Online Exchange Shows Jeb Bush as the GOP’s 2016 Favorite

    08/23/2015 9:58:04 AM PDT · by MitchMadison · 40 replies
    Wall Street Journal ^ | August 21, 2015
    Donald Trump leads just about every public-opinion survey of the Republican presidential field, with one notable exception: PredictIt, the online marketplace for investors looking to buy and sell shares in an expected outcome. Among those prognosticators willing to put actual money behind their predictions, Mr. Trump trades at a lower price than former Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. As of Thursday night, it cost 24 cents to buy shares of the prospect that Mr. Trump will be the next GOP nominee and 41 cents to buy shares that it would be Mr. Bush. In other...
  • 2016 Presidential Polls: Donald Trump Pulling Away As 30,000 Attend Republican Rally In Alabama

    08/22/2015 7:53:36 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    The Inquisitr News ^ | August 22, 2015 | Danny Cox
    Everyone thought that Donald Trump was way in over his head when he decided to throw his hat in the ring for 2016 presidential election. Now, there are not nearly as many people who think the same way, and that was evident when 30,000 people turned out for a Republican pep rally in Alabama on Friday. Now, he’s beginning to pull away from the rest of the field and very well could widen his lead in the 2016 presidential polls. Topped off in a red hat, Donald Trump stepped out before 30,000 supporters in Alabama on Friday night, and it...
  • Why Donald Trump Won’t Fold: Polls and People Speak

    08/22/2015 1:50:50 PM PDT · by NYer · 87 replies
    New York Times ^ | August 22, 2015 | MICHAEL BARBARO, NATE COHN and JEREMY W. PETERS
    In the command centers of Republican presidential campaigns, aides have drawn comfort from the belief that Donald J. Trump’s dominance in the polls is a political summer fling, like Herman Cain in 2011 — an unsustainable boomlet dependent on megawatt celebrity, narrow appeal and unreliable surveys of Americans with a spotty record of actually voting in primaries.A growing body of evidence suggests that may be wishful thinking.A review of public polling, extensive interviews with a host of his supporters in two states and a new private survey that tracks voting records all point to the conclusion that Mr. Trump has...
  • Do You Trust The liberal CNN/ORC polling outfit? How about Rasmussen, ABC News/WaPo or NBC News/WSJ?

    08/22/2015 12:24:48 PM PDT · by Laissez-faire capitalist · 77 replies
    8/22/2015 | Laissez-Faire Capitalist
    I was wondering why a polling outfit (CNN/ORC) is now all of a sudden trusted by conservatives? If not, then say so. If it is all of a sudden now trusted by conservatives...I thought that CNN is a liberal outfit and not to be trusted? Limbaugh seems to be going after CNN for their Morten Downey Jr. documentary on TV as somehow being used to juxtapose against Trump, and for their interviews of Trump supporters, and wondering if they are going to hand-pick the worst of the worst in those interviews to somehow paint all Trump supporters in a negative...
  • Trump widens lead over U.S. Republican presidential field at 32% : Reuters poll

    08/22/2015 12:20:05 AM PDT · by entropy12 · 62 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 08-21-15 | Emily Stephenson
    Republican voters show no signs they are growing weary of the brash real estate mogul, who has dominated political headlines and the 17-strong Republican presidential field with his tough talk about immigration and insults directed at his political rivals. The candidates are vying to be nominated to represent their party in the November 2016 general election. Nearly 32 percent of Republicans surveyed online said they backed Trump, up from 24 percent a week earlier, the opinion poll found. Trump had nearly double the support of his closest competitor, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, who got 16 percent. Retired neurosurgeon Ben...
  • FLA INSIDER POLL: Donald Trump will be on Fla's March ballot, Jeb will win

    08/21/2015 6:53:57 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 91 replies
    The Tampa Bay Times' The Buzz ^ | August 21, 2015 | Adam C. Smith, political editor
    Look out Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, the political world no longer thinks you will be the only real contenders for Florida's March 15 presidential primary. In our latest Florida Insider Poll, nearly 80 percent of the savvy Sunshine state politicos surveyed predict that Donald Trump will be on the ballot as well. "The Trump bubble is certainly not going to burst as early as many of us expected -- he is here for awhile," lamented one Republican. Many Republican leaders had expected Trump's candidacy to fizzle out by now, but he continues to lead in most polls. Trump still...
  • The Secret to Donald Trump's Massive Rise in the Polls

    08/21/2015 4:27:40 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 29 replies
    The National Interest ^ | August 22, 2015 | Matt Purple
    Trump is a deeply ridiculous individual and his presidency would be the stuff of nightmares. But it’s important to understand that he’s offering more than just violations of political correctness.The punditry’s reaction to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign has come in three phases. The first was annoyed indifference, accompanied by invocations of the Manny Ramirez Defense that this was “just Trump being Trump.” Most assumed the mouthy magnate was looking for a boutique issue to exploit so he could make a brief publicity splash and get out of the race, like he did with President Obama’s birth certificate in 2011. Responses...
  • Trump widens lead over U.S. Republican presidential field: Reuters poll

    08/21/2015 4:34:12 PM PDT · by mandaladon · 20 replies
    Yahoo News ^ | 21 Aug 2015 | Emily Stephenson
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican Donald Trump is pulling away from the pack in the race for the party's U.S. presidential nomination, widening his lead over his closest rivals in the past week, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed on Friday. Republican voters show no signs they are growing weary of the brash real estate mogul, who has dominated political headlines and the 17-strong Republican presidential field with his tough talk about immigration and insults directed at his political rivals. The candidates are vying to be nominated to represent their party in the November 2016 general election. Nearly 32 percent of Republicans surveyed...
  • New Poll Shows Trump Leads GOP Race in Illinois (Jeb in 2nd place)

    08/21/2015 5:10:11 AM PDT · by jimbo123 · 12 replies
    NBC Chicago ^ | 8/19/15 | NBC Chicago
    Trump held 23.3 percent of votes compared to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush's 16.5 percent and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's 11 percent New poll results show that businessman Donald Trump has widened his lead over the other GOP presidential contenders in Illinois. Victory Research, a political consulting firm, surveyed 801 "likely Republican primary voters" in Illinois from Aug. 16-18, and many of them chose Trump as their candidate. Trump held 23.3 percent of votes compared to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush's 16.5 percent and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's 11 percent. Rounding out the top six in the poll are neurosurgeon...
  • Why Ben Carson Is Unexpectedly Surging Ahead

    08/19/2015 12:38:47 PM PDT · by E. Pluribus Unum · 46 replies
    ABC13.com (Houston, TX) ^ | 08/19/2015 | RYAN STRUYK
    Second place in Iowa. Top three nationally. No, it's not Jeb Bush or Scott Walker -- it's Ben Carson. The neurosurgeon, who has never held elected office, is emerging from the middle tier as a top contender after the first Republican debate. Carson, the only black candidate in the 2016 presidential field, is polling at 12 percent in a national Fox News poll out Sunday and 14 percent in a CNN Iowa poll out last week -- good enough for second place in the GOP field behind only Donald Trump. Carson is in third place in a national CNN poll...
  • There Goes the Electability Argument!

    08/19/2015 1:00:43 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 13 replies
    Washington Monthly's Political Animal ^ | August 19, 2015 | Ed Kilgore
    One of my working hypotheses this year is the possibility that partisan polarization has made a hash of traditional “electability” arguments for this or that “moderate” presidential candidate for the simple reason that swing voters are harder to find and harder to sway than in the past. The data are a bit unclear on the subject just yet, and the cycle is still young. But new CNN/ORC poll findings today should provide a very rude shock to those who think Republican voters will finally wake up and realize Donald Trump would be a disaster as a general election candidate and...
  • POLL: Trump Pulling Away From GOP ...

    08/18/2015 8:18:48 AM PDT · by Cringing Negativism Network · 38 replies
    CBS News Iowa KGAN Channel 2 ^ | Updated: Tue, Aug 18 2015, 09:59 AM
    Washington (CNN) -- Donald Trump has won his party's trust on top issues more than any other Republican presidential candidate, and now stands as the clear leader in the race for the GOP nomination, according to a new CNN/ORC poll. The survey finds Trump with the support of 24% of Republican registered voters. His nearest competitor, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, stands 11 points behind at 13%. Just behind Bush, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has 9%, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker 8%, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul 6%, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, former tech CEO Carly Fiorina...
  • Donald Trump leads Alabama primary poll (30%, Bush 15%)

    08/13/2015 4:05:34 PM PDT · by Will88 · 48 replies
    al.com ^ | August 13, 2015 | Howard Koplowitz
    Donald Trump has a wide lead over his Republican presidential campaign rivals in Alabama, with the businessman and "The Apprentice" star picking up the support of 30 percent of GOP primary voters in the state, according to a poll released Thursday. Trump's closest opponent, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, had 15 percent of support in the poll conducted by Strategy Research on behalf of WKRG.
  • Poll: Bernie Sanders surges ahead of Hillary Clinton in N.H., 44-37

    08/12/2015 6:13:04 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 12 replies
    Boston Herald ^ | 08/12/2015
    Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders has rocketed past longtime front-runner Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, a stunning turn in a race once considered a lock for the former secretary of state, a new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows. Sanders leads Clinton 44-37 percent among likely Democratic primary voters, the first time the heavily favored Clinton has trailed in the 2016 primary campaign, according to the poll of 442 Granite-Staters. Vice President Joe Biden got 9 percent support in the test primary match-up. The other announced Democrats in the race, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln...
  • Trump leads with primary voters in Michigan

    08/12/2015 12:17:53 PM PDT · by BigEdLB · 39 replies
    Mitchell Research ^ | 8/12/15 | Mitchell Research
    EAST LANSING, Michigan --- Donald Trump is leading his Republican hallengers among those who would vote in the Michigan GOP Presidential Primary next year according to a Mitchell Poll of Michigan conducted last night. Trump with 20% leads Carly Fiorina at 15% with Jeb Bush and Ben Carson tied for third place at 12% . Marco Rubio is fourth at 10 % with Ted Cruz and John Kasich both at 8 % tied fo r f ifth.
  • Echelon Insights post-debate poll: Trump 29, Carson 10, Fiorina 9, Rubio 9, Bush 9

    08/12/2015 12:44:40 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 19 replies
    Hot Air ^ | August 12, 2015 | ALLAHPUNDIT
    On the one hand, as noted by my pal Karl, this poll was conducted using Google Consumer Surveys. If you’re wary of online polls, especially ones like this that attempt to “infer” important demographic data about respondents based on their browsing history and IP, then discount these results accordingly. On the other hand, Echelon Insights is operated by Kristen Soltis Anderson and Patrick Ruffini, two of the right’s brighter lights in political data crunching. They wouldn’t have published this poll if they didn’t have good statistical reasons to think it’s accurate, I’m sure. Pop the champagne, Trump fans. And make...
  • CNN / ORC Poll: Trump tops in Iowa as Scott Walker drops

    08/12/2015 1:22:27 PM PDT · by CaptainK · 43 replies
    cnn.com ^ | 08/12/2015 | Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
    Washington (CNN)Donald Trump has a significant lead in the race to win over likely Iowa caucus-goers, according to the first CNN/ORC poll in the state this cycle. Trump tops the field with 22% and is the candidate seen as best able to handle top issues including the economy, illegal immigration and terrorism. He's most cited as the one with the best chance of winning the general election, and, by a wide margin, as the candidate most likely to change the way things work in Washington. READ THE POLL RESULTS Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson follows Trump in overall preference with 14%,...
  • Donald Trump Still in the Lead After Debates: New NBC News/Survey Monkey Poll

    08/10/2015 9:19:44 AM PDT · by Biggirl · 23 replies
    NBC News ^ | August 10, 2015 | Shawna Thomas
    If Donald Trump's comments about Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly are hurting his standing in the Republican primary, it's not showing in the numbers. According to the latest NBC News Online Poll conducted by SurveyMonkey, Trump is at the top of the list of GOP candidates that Republican primary voters would cast a ballot for if the primary were being held right now.
  • Trump way up in post-debate poll

    08/10/2015 10:58:14 AM PDT · by RoosterRedux · 92 replies
    thehill.com ^ | Neetzan Zimmerman
    Donald Trump saw his lead over his Republican presidential rivals grow substantially in the days following both the first GOP debate and his controversial comments about debate moderator Megan Kelly. Trump’s support increased by 7 points to 32 percent, according to this week’s Morning Consult tracking poll. The real estate mogul’s closest rival — Jeb Bush — lost a point, dipping to 11 percent of the vote among self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. Support for all other candidates was in the single-digits.
  • Post-debate poll finds Trump still leading pack, Carly Fiorina winner of debates (29% say Trump lost

    08/10/2015 10:58:44 AM PDT · by Laissez-faire capitalist · 56 replies
    MSNBC ^ | 8/10/2015 | Dr. John Lopinski & Allsion Kopicki
    Following Thursday's Republican debates, an overnight poll shows Donald Trump maintaining his edge over the crowded field of Republican candidates. ... The NBC News online poll conducted by SurveyMonkey over Friday night and Saturday showed possible movement among the candidates following the debates, as well as Republican primary voters declaring Carly Fiorina the overall debate winner. Donald Trump has the support of 23% of Republican primary voters following the debate ... Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina were the candidates with the most gains in support, 7 points and 6 points respectively ... Among Republican and Republican-leaning voters who watched either...
  • Trump Still Leads in Iowa; Fiorina on Fire; Paul Tanking

    08/10/2015 11:05:31 AM PDT · by Will88 · 93 replies
    Public Policy Polling ^ | August 10, 2015 | Tom Jensen
    Raleigh, N.C. – PPP's newest Iowa poll finds Donald Trump leading the Republican field in the state even after a weekend of controversy. He's at 19% to 12% for Ben Carson and Scott Walker, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 9% for Ted Cruz, and 6% for Mike Huckabee and Marco Rubio. The other 9 candidates are all clustered between 3% and having no support at all (George Pataki)- John Kasich and Rand Paul are at 3%, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum at 2%, Chris Christie at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, and Pataki all...
  • Trump way up in post-debate poll [32%]

    08/10/2015 11:43:17 AM PDT · by wrrock · 51 replies
    The Hill ^ | August 10, 2015 | Neetzan Zimmerman
    Donald Trump's lead over his Republican presidential rivals grew substantially in the days following the first GOP debate and his controversial comments about moderator Megyn Kelly. Trump’s support increased by 7 points, to 32 percent, according to the latest Morning Consult tracking poll. Read More...
  • Trump Up, Bush and Walker Down in First Big Post-Debate Poll [23%]

    08/10/2015 11:45:11 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 23 replies
    Mediaite ^ | 10 Aug 2015 | Matt Wilstein
    If you thought Donald Trump’s boisterous debate performance and subsequent comments about Fox News’ Megyn Kelly might hurt his standing in the polls, you might be very wrong. In the first major poll to be released since Thursday night’s debate, NBC News and Survey Monkey found Trump holding onto his first place position with 23% of the hypothetical vote. Jeb Bush and Scott Walker, who were each at 10% in the same survey a week earlier, both dropped three points to 7% each, tied for a disappointing fifth place. Ted Cruz saw the biggest post-debate bump, up seven points to...
  • (Monmouth) Poll: Obama wouldn't win third term (Actually, he would get crushed in a landslide!)

    08/10/2015 11:53:03 AM PDT · by Zakeet · 26 replies
    The Hill ^ | August 10, 2015 | Neetzan Zimmerman
    In a Monmouth University poll released Monday morning, President Obama’s claim that he could win a third White House term if he were to run in 2016 is put to the test — and fails. [Snip] According to the Monmouth poll, Obama should be glad he can’t run again. Sixty-eight percent of respondents said they would vote for someone else, while only 26 percent said they would be willing to give the president four more years.
  • Cruz, Fiorina Are Big Winners In First Post-Debate Poll

    08/09/2015 6:22:21 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 22 replies
    Mother Jones ^ | August 9, 2015 | Kevin Drum
    A new NBC poll has gotten a lot of attention today for suggesting that Donald Trump won the Republican debate on Thursday. And maybe he did! But I'd take the results with a grain of salt. Here's why: â—¾As the chart on the right shows, Trump's support didn't increase. It stayed where it was. The big gainers were Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, and Ben Carson.â—¾It was an overnight poll. So it might reflect what viewers thought of the debate itself, but it doesn't take account of the weekend fallout over Trump's post-debate treatment of Megyn Kelly. Nor does it take...
  • Camille Paglia: John Kasich Won the Debate (Guest Column)

    08/09/2015 5:16:18 AM PDT · by dontreadthis · 40 replies
    hollywood reporter ^ | 8/7/2015 | Camille Paglia
    (snip) Jeb Bush Is there a blander, more boring personality in American politics? The guy looks like the runny yolk of a fried egg. He's trying to be assertive tonight because he's been told he needs to project "passion." But when his lips move, there's still a big blank. Why the heck the major media hails him as the GOP frontrunner is beyond comprehension — except that big money has been showering down on him like powdered sugar on a donut. Why do Jeb's smiles remind me of a dimply grandmother? He could and should have been a high school...
  • Trump Loses Zero Ground After Fox’s Unfair, Unbalanced Attack In Debate

    08/09/2015 7:59:39 AM PDT · by COUNTrecount · 113 replies
    Breitbart ^ | August 7, 2015 | by Alex Swoyer
    CLEVELAND, Ohio: A Wall Street Journal report suggests that despite critics’ opinions predicting GOP frontrunner Donald Trump’s poll numbers would fall, two early – though unscientific – polls predict that may be wrong. “Time Magazine found that Mr. Trump took 47% of nearly 55,000 votes. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) of Florida was in second place with just 10%. The Drudge Report’s poll found more than half of nearly 362,000 voters favored Mr. Trump, well above everyone else,” the Wall Street Journal noted. After Frank Luntz’s made his opinion on Trump’s performance suggesting “tonight his act wore thin,” conservative talk radio...
  • Post-GOP Debate NBC Poll: Trump still leads.

    08/09/2015 8:55:58 AM PDT · by kara37 · 122 replies
    Twitter ^ | 8/9/15 | ian bremmer
    Post-Debate Poll (NBC) Trump 23% Cruz 13% Carson 11% Fiorina 8% Rubio 8% Bush 7% Walker 7%
  • Vanity: Great News in New NBC WSJ Post-Debate Poll (Trump #1, Cruz #2)

    08/09/2015 8:56:34 AM PDT · by jimbo123 · 134 replies
    Post Debate Poll just released. Trump 23% Cruz 13% Carson 11% Fiorina 8% Rubio 8% Bush 7% Walker 7%
  • 2 under-the-radar Republicans won big at the debate

    08/09/2015 10:20:34 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 18 replies
    Business Insider ^ | 08/08/2015 | Brett LoGiurato
    Four years ago, at a Republican presidential debate moderated by Fox News host Megyn Kelly, a gay soldier asked GOP candidates a question. "Do you intend to circumvent the progress that's been made for gay and lesbian soldiers in the military?" the soldier asked. The crowd booed. Fast forward four years to the first Republican presidential primary debate of the 2016 election — moderated, again, by Fox News host Megyn Kelly. "Gov. Kasich, if you had a son or daughter who was gay or lesbian, how would you explain to them your opposition to same-sex marriage?" Kelly asked Ohio Gov....
  • Vanity-Wanna bet we get a dozen Viewer's view videos before we get debate poll numbers?

    08/09/2015 11:01:06 AM PDT · by Cats Pajamas · 7 replies
    Where are poll numbers from Thursday's debate? Did the mouse fall off the wheel down at the printing press?
  • Trump Leads GOP Outsiders Surge in First Post-Debate Poll (Trump 23%)

    08/09/2015 11:10:51 AM PDT · by Red Steel · 138 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 9 Aug 2015 | Mike Flynn
    The survey, conducted Friday and Saturday, finds Donald Trump holding his lead with 23 percent support among Republican primary voters. This is consistent with a Gravis Marketing poll taken after the debate, where 19 percent of Republicans said Trump won the debate. The Gravis poll found that more Republicans, 22 percent, felt Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon and political rookie, won the debate. In the NBC poll, Carson surged into third place in the nomination contest, earning 11 percent support. Texas Senator Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) was the second choice in the NBC Poll, receiving support from 13 percent of Republican...