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Frank Newport, editor-in-chief at the Gallup Poll, on Monday said that data analyst websites, not national polls, were the ones incorrect in their 2016 presidential election predictions. “The national polling was actually one of the more accurate years where they correctly predicted the popular vote,” Newport said to Hill.TV's Joe Concha, referring to national polls. “But one of the things that happened was an overreliance on these models where various individuals and various companies put together these scientific-sounding probabilistic models,” he continued.

CNN recently rolled out an ad implying that President Trump tries to tell the American people that an apple is a banana, but that CNN is dedicated to “facts first.” The ad has been met with ridicule, as in the Daily Caller parody seen in this article. You’d think that any self-respecting journalist would run from the ad. But there was good CNN soldier Chris Cuomo echoing it on his show today. Arguing with Trump surrogate Jason Miller regarding the reliability of polls during the 2016 election, Cuomo said, “it’s apples and bananas, my friend.” View the video here.

As they investigate the forces behind the party’s stunning losses in November, Democrats are coming to a troubling conclusion. The party didn’t just lose among rural white voters on Election Day, it may have failed to capture them in its pre-election polling as well. Many pollsters and strategists believe that rural white voters, particularly those without college degrees, eluded the party’s polling altogether — and their absence from poll results may have been both a cause and a symptom of Donald Trump’s upset victory over Hillary Clinton in several states. Determining what exactly happened is one of the most pressing...

Rasmussen has had Trump's approval steady at 52%-55%

http://www.politico.com/states/massachusetts/story/2017/01/polls-shows-warren-is-no-sure-bet-for-re-election-next-year-108924

Not everybody made a lousy prediction on this year's election results. In introducing Penn Professor David Eisenhower at the University Club on January 19, 2017, Hadley Arkes of the James Wilson Institute noted that the man for whom Camp David was named was confident in April of last year that the Donald could win. Professor Eisenhower noted that "all the women I know are defending Trump." That turned out to be a more scientific barometer than whatever the mainstream media were using. It should be noted that Professor Eisenhower is the grandson of one president and the son-in-law of another—Richard...

Even most Democrats want Donald Trump to succeed as president, but voters are far less confident that things will play out that way. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 39% of Likely U.S. Voters think Trump’s presidency is more likely to be a success. Thirty percent (30%) say it’s more likely to be a failure instead, while 26% believe the Trump presidency will fall somewhere in between the two. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Republicans think Trump is likely to succeed, a view shared by only 17% of Democrats and 35% of voters not affiliated with...

More Americans identify themselves as conservative than as liberal or moderate, a new Gallup poll says. While the percentage of conservatives has stayed about the same since the early 1990s, the percentage of liberals has increased and the percentage of moderates has fallen. The poll found that in 2016, 36 percent of Americans said they are conservative, compared with 25 percent who identified as liberal (up from 17 percent in the 1990s); and 34 percent who identified as moderate (down from 43 percent in the early 1990s). Since Gallup started to routinely measure Americans’ political ideology in 1992, conservative identification...

Journalism, by definition, is simply presenting facts. But, for many current “journalists,” the job involves more than merely transferring information. This video from MSNBC shows just how inaccurate these so-called “news” networks can be. Steve Kornacki uses the network’s absurdly inaccurate polls to creates his own delusional narrative for the presidential election, getting EVERY prediction wrong! One thing is for sure. Nobody will ever consider this guy to be a prophet. In Biblical times, he’d be lying in a pit being pelted with rocks. Actually, these poor predictions were more of a team effort, than that of just one man....

In a year when there were hundreds seismic shifts amid the tectonic plates within the body politic, one of the most important was the revelation that Media Polling is just as brutally biased as the media entities who present the polling results. With election 2016 behind us, and before 2017 arrives, the truth behind the intentionally constructed deception must not simply fade back into the shadows. Never again should the American voter trust the polling presented by corporate media. Everything about it is a financed and manufactured fraud.

22% name Barack Obama as most admired man; 15% name Donald Trump Hillary Clinton is the most admired woman 9th time Obama has won; 21st time for Clinton PRINCETON, N.J. -- Americans are most likely to name President Barack Obama as the man they admire most in 2016. Twenty-two percent mentioned Obama in response to the open-ended question. President-elect Donald Trump was second at 15%. It is Obama's ninth consecutive win, but the seven-percentage-point margin this year is his narrowest victory yet. The results are based on a Dec. 7-11 poll. Since 1946, Gallup has asked Americans to name the...

Multiple national polls revealed this week that American optimism and good feeling is on a marked upswing as the nation heads for 2017. Now voters appear to be warming to President-elect Donald Trump as well.A new Rasmussen Reports survey released Tuesday finds that 51 percent of likely U.S. voters have a favorable opinion of Mr. Trump — a number which includes 29 percent who view him “very” favorably. The landmark finding follows weeks of rising poll numbers for the incoming president. His favorability numbers among all voters have increased on average from the low-30 percentage point range to the...

A few notes from this week's pre-Christmas, post-election nationwide survey from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal. As a point of reference, the final poll in this series in November gave Hillary Clinton a four-point national lead. She won the (irrelevant) popular vote by two percentage points. Anyway, a few data points from their latest numbers -- which are gathered from American adults, not registered voters: (1) Donald Trump's favorability rating has jumped 12 points since mid-October, from an abysmal 29 percent (which was an outlier, even by Trump's historically-low pre-election standards) to 41 percent today. More Americans, 47 percent, view him...

Two-thirds of Americans surveyed, including four out of 10 evangelicals, believe physician-assisted suicide is morally acceptable, according to a new poll, Christianity Today reports. “If they are facing a slow, painful death, Americans want options. Many believe that asking for help in dying is a moral option. They don’t believe that suffering until they die of natural causes is the only way out,” said Scott McConnell, Executive Director of LifeWay Research, which conducted the poll. Among faith groups, whether Catholics and evangelical Protestants who are traditionally pro-life or no specific denomination identified, more than 50 percent in all demographics support...

Top pollster Frank Luntz – who was not a Trump supporter – told Sean Hannity tonight that Trump could create a permanent Republican majority. Frank Luntz: I did not think Trump had a good chance. But I thought he was absolutely viable because of what he said and how he said it… If Trump can keep this majority of these new voters who have never voted Republican before and bring back some of those Republicans from the suburbs who voted for Clinton but voted Republican all the way down the line this is a long term majority. He has a...

After one of the most politically divisive elections in recent history, voters are generally in agreement about what should be at the top of Donald Trump's and the new Congress' agenda once they are sworn in next year, according to the first post-election IBD/TIPP poll. The poll asked the public to name which of seven agenda items should be the highest, second-highest and third-highest priorities for the new administration. Infrastructure spending came out on top, with 23% saying it should be Trump's top-most agenda, followed by "drain the swamp" (18%), lowering taxes (16%), and repealing ObamaCare, at 13%. However, when...

A recent survey by the non-partisan Pew Research Center found that a large majority of Americans are skeptical about the prevailing scientific understanding of climate change, with only 27 percent saying they believe there is a consensus that human activity is its main cause. That belief is at odds with the scientific community, Pew noted, citing a 2013 report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that concluded “with 95% certainty that human activity is the dominant cause of observed warming since the mid-20th century.” …

In the wake of an election in which Hillary Clinton won the popular vote but Donald Trump was elected president by winning the Electoral College, a survey showed the lowest percentage of people ever in a Gallup poll saying they would support amending the Constitution to eliminate the Electoral College and decide presidential elections by the popular vote. “This year, for the first time in the 49 years Gallup has asked about it, less than half of Americans want to replace the Electoral College with a popular vote system,” Gallup said in an analysis of its poll results. Gallup’s latest...

A new Gallup survey shows that support for the Electoral College system is stronger today than it has been in many years. Following a controversial election that gave Hillary Clinton the popular vote while giving Donald Trump the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, many on the left have championed a constitutional amendment to abolish the system. But if liberals are more eager than ever to get rid of the Electoral College, Republicans have renewed faith in the system. According to the poll, 47% of Americans want to keep the Electoral College while 49% want to get rid...

President-elect Trump's favorability rating has increased significantly since his victory last month, and most voters now believe the incoming Republican president will deliver on his promises to reform healthcare and other issues, a new poll shows. Forty-five percent of voters in the latest George Washington University battleground poll said they have a positive opinion of the president-elect, marking a 9-point increase from mid-October. The percentage of voters who continue to view Trump negatively has declined 12 percentage points – 61 to 49 percent – in the same period. Defeated Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton, who recently joined the Green Party-led...