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Poll: GOP voters divided as April primaries loom (WI - Cr+6), NY (Tr+31), PA (Tr+16)
CBS News/YouGov ^ | 4/3/2016 | Anthony Salvanto, Fred Backus, Jennifer De Pinto, Sarah Dutton

Posted on 04/03/2016 7:39:48 AM PDT by NYRepublican72

Ted Cruz has the lead in Wisconsin as its primary nears, up 43 percent to 37 percent over Donald Trump in an electorate that plays to Cruz's strengths, where Republicans are apt to call themselves "very" conservative and Cruz seems poised to take advantage.

He dominates among the voters looking for the most "consistent conservative" as their next nominee over other attributes, taking eight in ten of them.

The endorsement of Republican Gov. Scott Walker has been a bit of a boost as well, with Republicans more likely to say it helped Cruz more than hurt.

In Trump's home state of New York, however, Trump has a dominant lead over the field, 52 percent to 21 percent for Cruz and 20 percent for Kasich. The billionaire leads by wide margins as best to handle multiple issues including terrorism, bringing back jobs, and the ability to defeat Hillary Clinton if she is the Democratic nominee.

And in Pennsylvania, coming up at the end of April, Trump also enjoys a strong lead at 47 percent while Cruz and Kasich are well back at 29 percent and 22 percent respectively.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; ny; pa; wi
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No surprises here. Trump > 50% in NY.
1 posted on 04/03/2016 7:39:48 AM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: NYRepublican72

The crossover vote in the WI open primary may be just enough to get Trump over the top.

If he wins WI, it’s all over. I haven’t done the math in a while, but I think with NY, RI, CT, DE, MD, WV, OR, WA and CA he is there. I didn’t include IN, NM, ND, SD, or MT because I haven’t seen polls-—although Trump’s team said it was very pleased with the delegate selection in ND (which is very strange in how it does delegates.) Nor did I do anything with PA, because all of its delegates are technically free agents regardless of who wins.

So even if Trump walks away with 6-7 delegates from WI, I think he is around 1230.


2 posted on 04/03/2016 7:44:03 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: NYRepublican72

“Ted Cruz has the lead in Wisconsin as its primary nears”.......

Got to be true, we read it on the internet. Well, it MAY be true if ONLY those who remain republican are canvased but what about those who WERE AT ONE TIME republican but has since become independents like my wife and myself. I no long consider myself a republican and there is no reason to waste time explaining that, it should be pretty obvious. At one time I thought the demodummies were the only “evil doers” of politics, boy was I wrong about that, the republican are just as dirty and perhaps worse. No, I am NOT a republican.


3 posted on 04/03/2016 7:45:04 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: NYRepublican72

What division? Cruz is in the margin of error for a Trump sweep.

Pray America wakes


4 posted on 04/03/2016 7:45:23 AM PDT by bray (Trump/Pain 2016)
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To: LS

I hope trump wins Wisconsin just to piss off the little Cruz ankle biters.


5 posted on 04/03/2016 7:45:56 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: NYRepublican72
There's no divide. Trump is the clear favorite. The ONLY reason that Cruz is close in Wisconsin is that he has the GOPe establishment, the entire campaign apparatus of Scott Walker and the entire campaign apparatus of Paul Ryan working for him.

After Wisconsin, IF he wins, Cruz won't win a thing.

6 posted on 04/03/2016 7:48:24 AM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: bray

Seems Cruz lost 4 percent already and trump is getting a good amount of news coverage today. Prayers for the trump family, an American success!


7 posted on 04/03/2016 7:48:26 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: NYRepublican72
Poor Ted, the only state he may win in the entire month of April is Wisconsin.

Which is why the Cruz campaign and the Lügenpresse are pretending only it matters.

8 posted on 04/03/2016 7:48:31 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: LS

I think at worst Trump gets 12 delegates in WI, and has a shot at winning it. He seems to be closing the gap.

Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from 1,237 after NY, but despite his promise to leave the race when that happens, Mr. Consistent will renege on that.


9 posted on 04/03/2016 7:49:17 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: napscoordinator

If he does, Cruz is finally finished. He really has been skating on thin ice since IA, winning just enough (KS, OK, ME) to keep him afloat.


10 posted on 04/03/2016 7:49:41 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: over3Owithabrain

Lyin’ Ted has lied about that too.

His masters in the GOPe will not allow him to leave. They need him to continue to split the conservative vote long enough for them to cook up some delegate hijinks at the convention.


11 posted on 04/03/2016 7:50:39 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: over3Owithabrain

Cruz will be mathematically eliminated from 1,237 after NY, but despite his promise to leave the race when that happens, Mr. Consistent will renege on that.
***************************************

He doesn’t have renege on that, because he never said that.


12 posted on 04/03/2016 7:51:13 AM PDT by kara37
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To: LS

Yep. I can’t stand Cruz so I couldn’t be happier.


13 posted on 04/03/2016 7:53:19 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: NYRepublican72
PA (Tr+16)

47 - 29 = 18

14 posted on 04/03/2016 7:53:55 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: NYRepublican72

Cruz supports TPP and other trade deals.

Wisconsin is a major manufacturing state that has been ravaged by these trade deals.

So, Wisconsin is really hurting because of sellouts like Cruz. How the hell does Cruz win anything in that state??


15 posted on 04/03/2016 7:54:08 AM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: canuck_conservative

Because Wisconsin is a hub of GOPe and Milwaukee is full of Establishment Republicans and its a talk radio state. Milwaukee is where Cruz is doing the best and it’s more of GOP vote.


16 posted on 04/03/2016 7:57:15 AM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: Trump20162020

It’s hilarious to watch Cruzies claim a Cruz win in liberal WI is the greatest victory since Omaha Beach. Never mind he was humiliated on Super Tuesday going 0 for 6 while being blown out of the water in OH and FL.


17 posted on 04/03/2016 7:59:03 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Trump20162020; Sidebar Moderator; Admin Moderator
PA (Tr+16) 47 - 29 = 18

That's what I get for rushing. Math fail. Pass it on.

18 posted on 04/03/2016 8:04:37 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: Trump20162020

I have been pondering who benefitted most from the Nat Enq story. I believe it is Ted (at least for the moment). I believe his team planted the story, first with Rubio then with Nat Enq Previsely so Ted could have his moment of outrage to derail trump

I suspect ted’s crew was too clever by half and this will come back to haunt them


19 posted on 04/03/2016 8:05:30 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: NYRepublican72

It may be distasteful to a lot of people, but I’m getting the feeling that if Trump and Cruz don’t somehow unite soon, Hillary wins. No one can put hopes in The Indictment ever coming.


20 posted on 04/03/2016 8:08:17 AM PDT by ReaganGeneration2
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