Posted on 04/29/2016 12:22:09 PM PDT by xzins
Poll Date Sample MoE Trump Cruz Kasich Spread
RCP Average 4/18 - 4/28 -- -- 39.2 33.2 19.0 Trump +6.0
ARG* 4/27 - 4/28 400 LV 5.0 41 32 21 Trump +9
Clout Research (R) 4/27 - 4/27 423 LV 4.8 37 35 16 Trump +2
CBS News/YouGov 4/20 - 4/22 548 LV 6.6 40 35 20 Trump +5
FOX News 4/18 - 4/21 602 LV 4.0 41 33 16 Trump +8
WTHR/Howey Politics 4/18 - 4/21 507 LV 4.3 37 31 22 Trump +6
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
RCP calling Trump the leader in a winner-take-all state with an open primary.
Trump will take IN with over 50 percent.
That will get him the 30 at large delegates who go to the winner of the state, and probably pick up another 5 or more of the 9 congressional districts. He might end up with 45 or more delegates.
The open primary gives Trump blue collar voters a chance to bump his numbers. Cruz not so much.
The open primary gives Trump blue collar voters a chance to bump his numbers. Cruz not so much.
The open/closed primary stuff is nonsense. These are historic landslides. Trump won every county but one in FL against a sitting US Senator. Last week he won EVERY county in FIVE states in one night. Historic....
No it isn’t nonsense. The point is that if the race were to tighten, that Trump would have an advantage.
I’m in favor of that.
So, these polls are after the Carly Fiorina bump?
But it should be noted that RI was his biggest margin of victory and that was a "semi-open" primary in that Independents could take a Republican ballot (but not Democrats).
ARG, which greatly skews this poll, had Trump up by 10 in Wisconsin. We all know how that turned out.
RCP averages so it doesn’t matter. The average stayed roughly the same. In. Fact, the clout poll at +2 for Trump actually did balance the average.
The IPFW/Downs Center Poll almost has to be an outlier IMHO.
Y’all are both right.
Trumps turnouts and percentages in his wins are record period even better than Magnus
It’s historic whether open or closed and against such a huge field
Yet the GOP and talk radio even more so cling to the old guard from fear I guess and refuse to acknowledge what we all see
I can look at democrats on CNN and MSNBC or watch dreamers and occupy rioters and know immediately they know what’s coming
A reckoning for them.
It’s why Ted Cruz looks so desperate right now campaigning
Trump is also way ahead in all-important California
Regarding Cruz politically, “HE’S DEAD, JIM”
I think he has sleazed himself out of the USSC too.
from here he will go and work for some mega-lawfirm as an ex-senator.
You are,right. SCOTUS is a place where a judge “wins” arguments through calm reasoning, not verbal bomb-throwing .
Not a place for Cruz.
I’m not even sure about that.
Most of these plush jobs go to expoliticos so the firm can exploit their connections to people still in Congress.
It’s not like Cruz would have a lot of friends there.
The design of it was 400 LV from 13 Apr to 27 Apr
They ended the day after the NE primary which was the week after the NY primary. IOW about half of their poll was when Cruz was high after Wisconsin and the media was playing his rules based wins from out west.
The other polls are a max of 3 days to get 4 to 6oo respondents. This one is 14 days to get their 400. I don’t like the design in a changeable thing like candidate support.
too funny!
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