Posted on 09/03/2016 5:00:13 AM PDT by Nicojones
45.3 to 42.3!!! Sharp uptick probably linked to yesterday's fbi data dump!
It makes those stupid NeverTrump ads where they urge him to drop out because he cannot win look all the more stupid, and disingenuous.
They are both tried to within the margin of error, and have been for months. Trump needs a breakout.
This is where Jonah Goldberg, Bill Kristol, John Podhoretz, and Erick Erickson start to sound a bit apologetic.
#NeverTrustThem
Trump’s lead is growing... when early voting starts, he’s gonna build a head of steam.
The trend is your friend and the FBI data dump is damaging Hillary’s campaign, possibly beyond repair.
As long as Hillary could stay on the low, she had a chance.
Now, its zip, zero, zilch and nada because anything she says in her defense would be nowhere close to the truth.
And even her media enablers know it.
The FBI news has probably not even figured in, yet! Others here on FR (who know more about polls then I do), believe this is a “lagging” poll, i.e. something in the methodology means the results are usually a few days behind events.
Wondering if this is all about him going to Mexico?
Perhaps. Could the poll be that quickly responsive to news?
My guess (only a guess) is that this recent bump actually is the reaction to Trump’s Mexico visit/Phoenix rally. I’m assuming two days to fully reflect a news item.
If that’s the case, Friday’s news won’t really be seen until Monday. That would be awesome as Trump’s lead will widen!
It looks like Trump will widen his lead and after Labor Day, he’ll never have to look back.
Hillary must cursing Obama for sticking the proverbial knife in her back when she’s down.
I can only image the rage she’s feeling in Chappaqua. I would love to be a fly on the wall in her campaign hq.
I'm not sure that can happen. Now that he's so well-known, earning new supporters will take more work. What he needs is this constant assault on hillary's competence, achievements, judgement, and health. At the same time, Trump continues to showcase that he has the leadership and problem-solving skills to be a great President.
This past week was PERFECT!!
This is a 1 week rolling poll. Look back 8 days to see the day that dropped off. They should also post today’s actual number.
Nonsense. Voters just aren't that fickle. They are not bouncing back and forth like ping ping balls between Trump and Crooked Hillary based on the news of the day.
The "ups and downs" we are seeing are just statistical noise and the polls themselves are often weighted based on false premise of how turnout will be in November.
Many polls are weighting D+9 which means that they are predicting that the Democrats will outnumber Republicans at the polls this November by nine percentage points! Again this is nonsense. Even in 2012, an Obama election, the Democrats were +6. Does anybody seriously think that Crooked Hillary will energize Democrat voters even more than Obama did? Does anybody seriously think that Donald Trump will depress Republican turnout more than Mitt Romney did?
The real reason pollsters are weighting D+9 (and even more!) is because it's the only way they can maintain the fiction that Crooked Hillary is ahead or at worse in a dead heat.
Nobody really knows how the actual turnout will be but it's far more likely to be R+2 than D+9 and then you have the Independents going for Trump by double digit margins (Romney won Independents by just 5 points in 2012).
Even those voters currently assigned to Johnson and Stein will eventually come home to their regular parties. (Johnson and Stein combined for barely one percent of the vote in 2012). This too favors Trump.
So it's nice to see a "good day" for Trump in this daily poll that many of us pay attention but I would pay more attention to the long term trend (provided the internal weightings are kept consistent) and disregard the daily spikes.
In case you haven’t noticed, Trump now leads in one poll or another in VA, OH, FL, NC, NH, IA, and tied in PA. That’s the electoral college right there.
But ALL the polls are trending Trump and he will get 300 electoral votes at least.
Its happening.
Rule of thumb - candidate who leads by Labor Day usually goes on to win in November.
This isn’t the position Hillary wanted to be in.
It gives a whole new meaning to the phrase, “leading from behind.”
And she’s not even in public view.
Maybe so. However I read that this poll calls their sample daily, up to 12 midnight est. If that is the case, the data dump would have factored in to yesterday’s calls. In any event, the trend is our friend and, combined with the ipsos, ibd, Rasmussen, and Reuters, polls, it is clear Trump is ascending and currently has a slight lead, but that lead is surging (Fox Poll with Hill six point lead is an outlier). Go Trump!
“I would love to be a fly on her wall”
Not to worry—some hacker is probably listening in on some computer in the room.
You may just have to wait a few days for the Wikileaks release. ;-)
Yup.
I’m thinking monster Republican turnout.
If Hillary looks like she’s going to lose, her weakest supporters will stay home. Chop off a few points from her current poll standings for the true picture.
People like to go with the strong horse. Fill in the rest of the picture with down ballot race losses for the Rats.
People have been talking about GOP prospects should Trump lose. No one has been considering what could happen to the Democrats should Hillary lose.
It could turn out to be a realignment election like 1980.
If I recall correctly, you were predicting that Trump would easily get to 1300+ delegates back in the "dark days" following the Wisconsin primary, when pretty much every pundit in America was declaring (more like chortling) that it was "impossible" that Trump would get to 1,237 needed for nomination and telling us that we would have a contested convention in which Trump had no chance of winning.
Now we are faced with those same discredited pundits telling us that Trump has "no path" to win the electoral college on account of Crooked Hillary being "so far ahead" in the critical battleground states.
I have no doubt that these pundits will be wrong yet again. However, in four years time, we are going to have these same "pundits" spewing their nonsense on all the TV networks. I mean, if they are still paying good money to have discredited "know-nothings" like Karl Rove and Bill Kristol polluting the airwaves with their asinine commentary, they will never learn.
I’m thinking monster Republican turnout
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This and a MONSTER anti-Hillary turnout.
I live in Massachusetts and I still have only seen one, ONE I with the Islam whore bumper sticker since the entire race began. No yard signs, no anything!
I bet her negatives are at 90%
The FBI Director & the entire FBI has disgraced themselves, where they have willingly failed the American people and ourentir justice system. Director, Comey is simply the tool and lackey of Obama, Clinton, Lynch and the entire “crooked” Dmocrat Party. They should all be fired and charged with treason to the United States of America!!! Mr. Comey has neither backbone, sense of justice, dignity, dedication or loyalty to his country and its people.
If Comey has any sense of histroy and self worth left,....he will immediately reverse his call, and charge Hillary Clinton with the criminal felony charges, she so richly deserves
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