If Trump is doing so much better in Ohio, then how is it that he’s still so far behind in Pennsylvania?
While I watch the polls, I can’t help but note various contradictions. Hillary is up overall, we are told. Hillary is ahead in every battleground state, we were told recently. Trump is ahead in some particular battleground state, but still far behind in other similar battleground states. Things just don’t quite add up with the polls this election cycle.
I think all one needs to do to figure where/how the race stands is to look at the reception Mr. Trump received today at the Canfield Fairgrounds in Ohio!!!
He was mobbed. The crowd roared and chanted their love for him. The cheering was deafening!!!
I don’t believe the polls can possibly capture the enormous enthusiasm for Trump and how he connects with real people!!!
He’s not. Latest Ipsos has him either leading or tied in PA. But look at IN: he’s running 8 points (!) ahead of Minion Romney. So I think it’s sweeping through the midwest.
Pennsylvania has teased Republican candidates for 20 years now, but the overwhelming Democrat vote from Philadelphia always keeps it out of reach.
Trump may well win Pennsylvania, but Pennsylvania will not be the State that tips it for Trump. If Trumps wins Pennsylvania, then he will win Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Hampshire, Virginia and likely Michigan as well. If he wins Pennsylvania, it will be part of a 320 EC night for him.
I was listening to the formerly semi - right leaning station Fox news (or Faux news as it should be called) on the satellite car radio coming home from work and they were saying that, Hillary leads in all the battleground states, blah blah. It’s all baloney. Nobody is going to convince me that a guy who fills stadiums is behind a woman who fills gymnasiums. This is their boss, Rupert Murdoch - the punk who endorsed Obama, calling him a “rock star” - who wants to keep corruption in Washington so he is playing the same game as the leftists - ordering his newscasters and commentators to put out false information to help the multiple felon who is above the law, Hillary Clinton.
Trump has made significant gains in the past three weeks. The DNC media is using several techniques to obscure this, including old polls, slanted polls, aggregates such as RealClearPolitics which are dated by definition, and flat-out ignoring the polls they don't like.
If Trump is even or slightly ahead in PA, as seems to be the case, it's very likely he has leads in FL, NC, and OH, and is within striking range in WI.
Still to come is the impact of Hillary's increasingly dubious health.
Pennsylvania is where major fraud has and will take place.
I'd bet Trump isn't behind in PA, but rather than be angry at the MSM, embrace their propAgenda. As Trump turns on the jets, the "Hillary is inevitable" strategy will backfire by depressing the D turnout.
The expression too cleaver by half comes to mind.
Things seldom add up precisely, because there’s a lot of apples to oranges polls - especially at this stage.
Adults vs register voters, vs likely voters?
How old is this poll vs that?
Was this poll before or after that event?
Did the pollster ask who the pollee supported, or give a list?
Did the pollster allow undecided or push pollees to choose?
What’s the expected turnout?