Posted on 09/08/2016 8:59:51 AM PDT by Ravi
We're ahead. We're behind. No we're ahead. No we're behind. All MOE.
(Excerpt) Read more at upi.com ...
GO TRUMP!
Thank God!!!
This tracker had been showing her up by 3 points lately.
Now, today with L.A. Times showing her up 1.1 and
People’s Pundit saying it’s TIED, it’s strange but oh so wonderful to have this beautiful news!!!
Thank God!!!
This tracker had been showing her up by 3 points lately.
Now, today with L.A. Times showing her up 1.1 and
People’s Pundit saying it’s TIED, it’s strange but oh so wonderful to have this beautiful news!!!
The overall trend is favoring Trump. GO TRUMP GO
sorry for the accidental double post.
Ignore all media
Get Out The Bote
I thought the new USC poll came out at midnight, but yesterday’s is still up there.
Trump 44-41 in NC. Almost certainly a lot bigger, esp. given new Republican registrations.
The tracking poll is of 200 people per day (or 1400 over a 7-day period), yet they report the percentage results to two decimal places. Journalists are people who flunked their stats & math classes, evidently.
From the source:
“Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points.”
Yep. But since it’s nightly and rolling, it does become a pretty good indicator because it weeds out “one-timers.” Maybe not perfect, but certainly no worse than Reuters or Fox.
Credibility interval similar to MOE. Probably no better or worse than all the other polling.
It’s good to be ahead but too close for comfort.
This is all margin of error stuff. If the margin of error is 3, then the polls will pretty well stay there.
I’m so anti-Clinton that I can’t imagine anyone supporting her. I also can’t imagine anyone liking rocky mountain oysters, but there are people that like nuts.
At this point, voting is becoming an exercise in futility. If 47% of people in America really favor Hillary Clinton, the country is a done deal.
Nah. These are pretty bad. For ex., NC’s poll today, with Trump up 3, is +9 D sample. Just silly, especially since NC has shifted more R since 2012.
ALL these polls are still oversampling Ds.
Cankles will finish with about 44% of the vote, depending on how much Johnson/Stein still get.
Now to make it look even closer they are showing down to the Hundreths.
In the past it would be reported T 47 C 46, then tenths would show 47.2-46.8 so they could say only a .4 lead, but now they can say it is only .35!!!!
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