The current police attack, in my opinion, all but solidified a Marine Le Pen WIN!
With at least a quarter of the population undecided...I don’t think anything is really sure at this point.
Even if you get Le Pen and the Communist Party candidate down for the final election on 7 May...it’s possible that forty-percent of the public may just stay home and NOT vote. It’s be awful hard to use any poll and make an outcome prediction based only on sixty-percent of the population.
And let’s not forget....this only fixes up the Presidential race....you have to wait five weeks after that for the legislative election in June. You could easily have some very different results in the legislative election.