Posted on 09/05/2017 11:50:23 AM PDT by Kaslin
RUSH: The hurricane is what I want to lead off with, though, folks. And Ive gotta be very careful here because I am not a meteorologist, and nothing I say today should be considered to be a forecast or a prediction. I am not the National Hurricane Center. I am not a climatologist or meteorologist. All I do is analyze the data that they publish. Just as I am the go-to tech guy in my family and here on the staff, when it comes to a hurricane bearing down on south Florida, Im the go-to guy.
Everybody says, What do you think is going to happen? The reason for that is that Im not biased and I have no agenda with my analysis of the data. The data is what it is. But and I dont want to overdo this but I do want to share with you the way I react to and listen. Do you realize here in south Florida, from where we are all the way down to Miami, you cannot buy bottled water. This hurricane, if it hits us, is not supposed to hit us until Sunday. It was never going to hit us before Sunday.
Even last week when it first popped up and when the first forecast models appeared and then the Hurricane Center track forecast, it was always a-ten-day-out event from the first day they started forecasting it. So how in the world does panic get created? How in the world is it that there isnt any bottled water? And why does that cause a panic? Has anybody ever heard of the tap? Im sure you have some empty water bottles from previous usage. Just put them under the faucet and fill it up. In many ways, its the same stuff youre buying at the grocery store. You may not know that, but it is.
Tap water and entirely safe, and nobody can hoard it away from you. Its in your house every day in whatever amounts that you want. But people have been conditioned to believe that tap water is dirty, is dangerous, and might cause them to get sick. So they avoid it.
You know, if I were the Big Oil guys Id be so jealous of the Big Water guys. The Big Water guys dont have to drill for it. The Big Water guys do not have to spend any research and development money. They dont have to go through the environmentalist wackos. They just plug into some lake or some tap and fill up some water, put a label on it, put it in grocery store and sell it for more than gasoline costs, in many cases. Thats a side issue.
The reason that I am leery of forecasts this far out, folks, is because I see how the system works. Now, I dont mean this to be a personal attack on anybody, but the one thing thats undeniable throughout our culture is that everything has been politicized. And in that sense much of our public information system, including from the government, from the Drive-By Media, has been corrupted. It has been corrupted by the individual biases and whatever present bigotry of the people who hold these positions.
You can see it in the way the Deep State deals with Trump. You can see it with the way the intelligence community and the Washington establishment deal with Trump. So in the case of a hurricane, what happens? Well, there are many levels here. When a hurricane pops up and we cant forget Hurricane Harvey because Hurricane Harvey and the TV pictures that accompany that go a long way to helping further and create the panic.
Now, in the official meteorological circles, you have an abundance of people who believe that man-made climate change is real. And they believe that Algore is correct when he has written and he couldnt be more wrong that climate change is creating more hurricanes and stronger hurricanes. And, of course, when Harvey hit, it was the first hurricane that had hit in 12 years. There havent been more hurricanes and no more dangerous than any others in previous years.
But it doesnt matter because the bias is built in. So there is a desire to advance this climate change agenda, and hurricanes are one of the fastest and best ways to do it. You can accomplish a lot just by creating fear and panic. You dont need a hurricane to hit anywhere. All you need is to create the fear and panic accompanied by talk that climate change is causing hurricanes to become more frequent and bigger and more dangerous, and you create the panic, and its mission accomplished, agenda advanced.
Now, how do you do this? Well, any number of ways. Lets take south Florida television, for example. There is symbiotic relationship between retailers and local media, and its related to money. It revolves around money. You have major, major industries and businesses which prosper during times of crisis and panic, such as a hurricane, which could destroy or greatly damage peoples homes, and it could interrupt the flow of water and electricity. So what happens?
Well, the TV stations begin reporting this and the panic begins to increase. And then people end up going to various stores to stock up on water and whatever they might need for home repairs and batteries and all this that theyre advised to get, and a vicious circle is created. You have these various retail outlets who spend a lot of advertising dollars with the local media.
The local media, in turn, reports in such a way as to create the panic way far out, which sends people into these stores to fill up with water and to fill up with batteries, and it becomes a never-ending repeated cycle. And the two coexist. So the media benefits with the panic with increased eyeballs, and the retailers benefit from the panic with increased sales, and the TV companies benefit because theyre getting advertising dollars from the businesses that are seeing all this attention from customers.
And in that sense, folks, I mean, look, its the way the world works. Im not accusing anybody of anything illegal here, its just the way the world works. I dont want mention brand names because thats not the point. Lets call it Basement Depot. Basement Depot huge, huge business, Basement Depot spends gazillions of dollars every year in local advertising in hurricane forced areas.
Here comes a hurricane, local media goes on the air, Big hurricane coming, oh, my God! Make sure you got batteries. Make sure you got water. It could be the worst ever. Have you seen the size of this baby? Its already a Cat 5. Oh, my God, oh, my God, its bigger than the island of Haiti. Oh, my God. People run to the stores, they stock up everything, and they hoard. And they end up with vacant stores, nothing there. And its a big success. TV stations got eyeballs, the advertising businesses have sold out of business, gotta restock, and the cycle repeats.
This is exactly whats happening. You cannot find a case of bottled water here in Palm Beach. You cant. Miami, probably even worse. Now, a hurricane center. How does this work? Well, there are a lot of things involved in this. The models for computer hurricanes come from meteorology departments all over the world. The U.K. meteorology office has a bunch of computer models. Theres whole bunch of people. Universities have them. And these model runs happen four to five hours apart, six hours apart multiple times a day.
The models are publicly available. Anybody who knows how to log on to hurricane websites can see the models. And you can track which way the hurricane center, which models they believe and which ones they dont believe.
Now, my theory and its only a theory is that because of the biases, because of the politicization of everything, because you have people in all of these government areas who believe man is causing climate change, and theyre hell-bent on proving it, theyre hell-bent on demonstrating it, theyre hell-bent on persuading people of it. So here comes a hurricane thats 10 to 12 days out and here come the initial model runs, and if its close sometimes its not close, sometimes the hurricane will turn to the north out in the mid-Atlantic and theres no way you can fake that. But if, if they are going to approach a hit on the U.S., you will note that early tracks always have them impacting a major population center.
Unlike UFOs which only land in trailer parks, hurricanes are always forecast to hit major population centers. Because, after all, major population centers is where the major damage will take place and where we can demonstrate that these things are getting bigger and theyre getting more frequent and theyre getting worse. All because of climate change. Ive got the audio sound bites to support. I cant tell you the number of media people and elected officials all talking about this hurricane, Hurricane Irma, its no doubt due to climate change. And it never ends, it just never ends.
Im constantly on guard against it. Ive lived here since 1997, and I have developed a system that I trust, my own analysis of the data. And Im not a meteorologist. Im not gonna tell you what mine is because I dont want to be misinterpreted as giving you a forecast. Well, Im tempted to, though, because Ive been exactly right since last Friday. I am tempted to tell you. Cause I had people asking me back then. Im tempted to tell you. But my better judgment says dont go there.
Let me just put it this way. The latest National Hurricane Center forecast map, the track, which was released at 11 a.m. puts the Sunday target exactly where I told my buddies on Saturday and Friday night that it was gonna go, while the models all had it turning north up to North Carolina and Washington, D.C., and the Northeastern coast. That was just one data point that I kept looking at that told me where I thought this thing was gonna go.
My prediction of where it was gonna go was not shown on but two or three outlying models. The point is, we still dont know where its gonna go. The Sunday impact in south Florida is to be Sunday, so thats six days, five days. They still cant tell us. And not that they should be able to. I mean, these things, theres too many variables, atmospheric conditions, sea surface temperatures, and unknown. Theres just no way to predict where these storms are gonna go until probably the day before. (interruption) What do you mean, were sitting ducks? What, are you in Key West? Youre not a sitting deck unless youre in Key West. What do you mean? Why are you a sitting duck? What are you talking about?
My point, youre not a sitting duck. You could be a sitting duck tonight or tomorrow depending on what they do with the track. This is another thing. At the current speed, we know the day is Sunday. Saturday night, Sunday morning, we know that. Unless something happens to slow it down like happened with Harvey. Once it came to shore, it stopped and thats why Houston flooded. And nobody predicted it. Well, they did predict it was gonna stop. The models did predict that once it came ashore it was gonna stop for a while. They knew that. But they didnt know this a week in advance. They knew it days in advance.
Heres another thing. Have you seen the graphics of these hurricanes as depicted on TV or on the internet? Theyre these giant, flaming red, Oh, my God, Mabel, look, its bigger than the Gulf of Mexico. We dont have a prayer, Mabel. Even if it strikes 300 miles away, we are dead!
Folks, what do you think the bright red area in the satellite imagery, radar imagery of a hurricane is? Mr. Snerdley, do you know what it is? No, no. What does the red represent, that giant blob of red? Not the center. No, no, no, no, no. Im talking about the whole diameter, the red and the yellow and the green, what are those colors? What do they represent? No. Everybody thinks it represents rainfall. Thats not at all what it represents.
Cloud top temperature is what those colors mean. Bright red means coldest temperatures at the top of the clouds. It has nothing to do with precip. But people dont know this, and they look at these giant graphics of these hurricanes, its moving up, it looks bigger than Cuba. When in fact the eye of the storm, any hurricane on average the real damage occurs in the 20- to 30-mile radius, circle around the eye. Thats where when you hear Category 5, thats where the Category 5 winds are. Theyre not throughout the whole thing. Theyre not throughout the giant, big blog.
Another thing Ive found, folks, these storms, once they actually hit, are never as strong as theyre reported. If you look at graphics, the data you can find from sea buoys and on the ground in spots in the Caribbean where hurricanes hit before they get here, its amazing that the actual wind speeds are never or very rarely as high as what they would be if its genuinely Category 4, Category 5.
Now, somewhere in the storm they are, but not the whole thing. The eye wall and within, thats where these things are killers. Its bad. I mean, its not a piece of cake when youre not in the eye wall, but the whole thing is not Category 5. The whole thing is not 30 inches of rain. Its a much more compact area of the storm. But the graphics have been created to make it look like the oceans having an exorcism, just getting rid of the devil here in the form of this hurricane, this bright red stuff.
So, anyway, I gotta take a break. Im up against it right before I get to conclusion.
BREAK TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: To wrap up the hurricane business, folks, is simply that I wish that not everything that involved news had become corrupted and politicized, but it just has. And Im just sharing all this with you cause this is the way I look at this stuff now, and I see people being led to panic. I see people being led to hoarding. I see all of this being, if not created, encouraged. And its extremely frustrating. Time will tell, as it always does, on these storms. And where it goes and how much damage it causes and what its eventual strength actually is.
The point is, you ought to see the model tracks from Saturday. I was showing them to Snerdley today. The model tracks from Saturday, it doesnt even get to the Bahamas. They dont even get close to the Bahamas. It curves northwest and barely, only a couple of models have it touching the United States at all. And then by Sunday, its gonna eat Florida. And hello runs on the grocery stores and hello no water available, hello no batteries available and so forth.
But, Rush, but, Rush, what are people supposed to do? Thats my whole point. You cant blame people. Theyre reacting to what theyre seeing. And Im just telling you that theres a vested interest on the part of a lot of people. Folks, the hurricane doesnt even need to strike land. The hurricane doesnt even need to hit in order to for the agenda to be advanced. All they have to do is create the panic and then show you that graphic of this giant red blob that, Oh, my God, is gonna eat the country, you see this thing, is horrible, Mabel, look at how big And they create the fear and panic after theyve already told everybody climate change is responsible for these bigger and more frequent storms.
And the image is powerful, the picture, the graphic is powerful, and the fear that it might hit is all it needs. If it ends up not hitting where you are, hits somewhere else, you might temporarily breathe a sigh of relief, but youre still gonna think, Man, there might be something to this climate change, which, do not doubt me, with everything being politicized, of course it is an objective of some, not everybody, of course, but some of the people involved here.
He’s right. You will have plenty of time to get out.
The daughter tells me that Walmart is selling water at not more than 1 cent per oz deep in the heart of Texas.
My daughter lived in Toledo, Ohio when some sort of algae bloom shut down the city water plant. Same thing happened. Prices shot through the roof and then none to be found. She came back to Pittsburgh and loaded-up.
Tell ya whut, get two glasses, fill one with tap, the other with filtered/bottled. See which one for yourself tastes better/cleaner!
Its a hurricane. That means LOTS OF RAIN. That’s water, lots of it.
I like putting pans out to collect rain, then run it thru a paper coffee filter. Good clean stuff, free, distilled.
Kinda dumb to fuss about lacking water precisely because there’s so much of it falling from the sky.
Rush had a really novel idea today. Drink your bottled water and don’t throw away the cap. Then go to the sink and find the thing called the “faucet”. Put the empty bottle under the faucet thing and fill the bottle with water. Put the cap back on.
“fill one with tap, the other with filtered/bottled. See which one for yourself tastes better/cleaner!”
It depends on what water comes out of your tap. At our last house, the water tasted better than bottled. At this house, it’s worse than bottled.
Actually, I missed that paragraph in the original post; I see it’s been covered. :(
Rush was being foolish today. Millions of people will be without tap water for a week at minimum. It’s 90 degrees with no air conditioning. A gallon per day per person, which in my opinion is low, for 7 days, for ~5.5 million people in Miami-Ddate, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, would be more than 38 million gallons. That’s the shortfall that must be stored ahead of time. Rush will get on his Gulfstream and leave the area. He has no idea what he’s talking about.
If you live in Pinellas Country - surrounded by water you need to get out sooner if you’re leaving... Wait until Saturday and you won’t be able to leave.
Better that people prepare BEFORE HAND.
If they all waited until the hurricane hit,people would die from more than the storm itself.
The panic buying would become a nightmare.
I know what it’s like even around here when a nor’easter is on its way. We’re in the teeth of the blizzard and idiots are out trying to stock up at the last minute, causing traffic jams and accidents everywhere.
Prep early and sit back out of harms way.
Forget that....for Desani and Aquafina the source is printed on the bottle. Most are municipal water supplies.
I do like Fiji water, but it’s a little pricey.
They need Amazon Pantry, food delivery right to the front door.
Sure, the alarmists will milk this storm for all it's worth, but it is still a bad @$$ storm.
Rush is quite the @$$-h@t. He often Spews for 15 minutes what could be said in 2 or 3.
Orlando had 3 consecutive hurricanes in about 25 days in 2005. When you consider how far inland Orlando is Hurricane Charlie was still packing a strong punch. Of course if you are 15 or 20 miles from the major damage you can squawk all day about how it was no big deal.
Bottom line is that everyone is responsible for their own safety, and it is prudent to prepare early.
As for Mr. Limbaugh - he could help by being less of a mocker when the possibility of a crisis is so real and so near.
Rush is quite the @$$-h@t. He often Spews for 15 minutes what could be said in 2 or 3.
Orlando had 3 consecutive hurricanes in about 25 days in 2005. When you consider how far inland Orlando is Hurricane Charlie was still packing a strong punch. Of course if you are 15 or 20 miles from the major damage you can squawk all day about how it was no big deal.
Bottom line is that everyone is responsible for their own safety, and it is prudent to prepare early.
As for Mr. Limbaugh - he could help by being less of a mocker when the possibility of a crisis is so real and so near.
Here in Florida it’s so flat that the water treatment plants flood when we get a hurricane. You get runoff from septic systems in the drinking water and it’s not safe to drink. I plan on filling as many containers as I can with tap water before the storm hits.
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