Well, I *do* like this post, but will also note that the storm’s position this morning is _exactly_ on the line forecasted by the hurricane center early last evening. So in other words... Irma is tracking as expected thus far.
So at some point Saturday the turn should begin. “When” and “how much” will determine everything.
SE Florida is now within the 72 hour window when models tend to have good agreement. The best they can hope for, IMO, is a track slightly off the coast that keeps the worst of the eyewall just offshore. The coastline above Florida is basically screwed, IMO. Surge is gonna be a bear.
Caveat: if you have choices, take Talladega... the forecasted path might make camping a bit rough near Atlanta by next Tuesday or so.
A very bad hurricane for the tip of Florida, a very bad storm for the southern third of the peninsula, a bad storm for the rest of the peninsula. Irma could boogie right up the middle of the peninsula, but petering out as she goes for lack of additional water. Prayer can’t hurt; the Lord ultimately determines through His sovereign control over all nature where the storms will go. I pray that Irma will head out to sea, but would it be better overall if she runs square aground and is quickly sapped of her power that way?
It is interesting for me because I am supposed to be headed into northern Florida (Gainesville) as of late next week. They said hotels were booked out to Georgia, but I had no problem booking Friday-Friday as of next week.
Thanks for your helpful info!
The NHC track is still predicting a westward bend to the track before the north turn. SO far, it isn’t happening.
If this continues, it gives Miami a much better chance of an eastern “Skirt by”... It’s still going to be an interesting day on Sunday, but... that would be a LOT better than a direct hit.
Correct. If Irma turns prior to 80° west, that would be better. All the meteorologists are going to be watching the turn.