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Are Republicans Doomed? What do Demographics tell us?
American Thinker ^ | 06/30/2018 | By Thomas O'Malley

Posted on 06/30/2018 7:57:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

For the past several years, political pundits on both sides of the aisle have been predicting a future with a permanent Democratic majority in the United States. As evidence, they point to increasing immigration of races that consistently vote over two to one for Democrats, and to the fact that young people overwhelmingly lean left. Republicans have won the popular vote only once in the past seven presidential elections, and Texas, the jewel in the Republican crown, is forecast to go blue in a decade or two because of its growing Hispanic population. These predictions have led to jubilation among Democrats and foreboding among Republicans.

So is the Republican party doomed? Not necessarily. A permanent Democratic future is preconditioned on all demographic groups continuing to vote for the two main parties at the same rates they do currently. I don't think this will be the case. Specifically, I believe that white voters will begin voting for Republicans in larger numbers than they do now. The reason why is simple: identity politics.

Since the 1960s, the white share of the Democratic vote has steadily been decreasing. Just over half of Hillary Clinton's votes in 2016 came from whites. The Democratic vote will probably be majority-nonwhite in the 2020 election and onward.

In the past, Democrats couldn't afford to alienate whites, because they couldn't win elections without either a majority or near majority of the white vote. Times have changed, and now they can. Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton lost the white vote, but by small margins. Barack Obama lost the white vote by much larger margins – first by 12 points, then by 20. This shows that Democrats can now win elections without the white vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; election2018; election2020; gop; incometaxes; republicans; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trends; whitevote; whitevoters
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As the Democratic Party becomes more and more nonwhite, it will essentially become a nonwhite racial advocacy party that is strongly anti-white.
1 posted on 06/30/2018 7:57:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Probably so if we continue to allow the communist left import demographics changers.


2 posted on 06/30/2018 8:00:32 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Don't pass up the opportunity to use the Second Amendment today! IT'S FREE!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Does any subgroup of white people give the Democrats a majority of their support? It’s the POC party.


3 posted on 06/30/2018 8:00:58 AM PDT by cdcdawg
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To: SeekAndFind

Hillary Clinton only won 37% of the white vote.


4 posted on 06/30/2018 8:01:42 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: Shadow44

Hillary Clinton only won 37% of the white vote.
/
/

Which is why the left want to import people from shitholes who love big socialism and identity politics.


5 posted on 06/30/2018 8:02:43 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SeekAndFind

At the current time, the GOP:

Has the House.
Has the Senate
Has the White House
Soon will have the Supreme Court
Has the majority of state governors
Has the majority of state legislatures

Doesn’t sound like a party in trouble, to me.


6 posted on 06/30/2018 8:03:40 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: SeekAndFind

In my opinion the dems would be nuts to run anyone but a minority, at least for 2020. I don’t think a lot of dem white voters have all the racial guilt voted out of their system yet. Later on maybe that becomes a loser for them. Probably they would do much better with a male minority than a female minority, not sure male minorities turn out for a woman like they would for a man.

Freegards


7 posted on 06/30/2018 8:04:33 AM PDT by Ransomed
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To: Signalman

Just wait until Trump demonstrates that he can get more than 10% of the black vote for the GOP!


8 posted on 06/30/2018 8:05:12 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Yes, I get it - racism is bad and mutual respect and inclusion is good. But value Truth too.)
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To: cdcdawg

But there are plenty of white liberal women protesting today about Trump’s immigration....


9 posted on 06/30/2018 8:05:59 AM PDT by GuavaCheesePuff (I want to thank the Good Lord for making me a Yankee-Old Yankee Stadium (1923-2008))
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To: snarkytart

They have to...

Democrats cannot win with only American votes......


10 posted on 06/30/2018 8:06:08 AM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
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To: Signalman

This is normalcy bias.


11 posted on 06/30/2018 8:06:21 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: SeekAndFind

A very good point. I wonder if the white Democrat leadership knows that too. The defeat of Joe Crowley should open their eyes very wide to this fact.


12 posted on 06/30/2018 8:06:52 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: SeekAndFind

All these projections (like the fake global warming predictions) assume everything will remain status quo. How can it when the DemocRATic party has shown itself to be so virulently anti-white, anti-middle class, anti-capitalist? Hey DUmmies, 2016 showed you the future blueprint of your dwindling electorate.


13 posted on 06/30/2018 8:08:31 AM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: GuavaCheesePuff

Sure, but Hitlery assures us that they’ll do as their husbands and boyfriends tell them.


14 posted on 06/30/2018 8:09:40 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (www.tapatalk.com/groups/godsgravesglyphs/, forum.darwincentral.org, www.gopbriefingroom.com)
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To: Ransomed

Black women voted 95% for Hillary. Black men only voted 78% for her. So I guess the vast number of black women voters are dolts and would go for a female politician. A minority woman even more


15 posted on 06/30/2018 8:10:11 AM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: Shadow44

In 2020 I think that number will dip down to 30% and maybe lower. Whites in this country are being targeted, and not just conservatives. White leftists better be wary that these new militant nonwhite Democrats resent them too!


16 posted on 06/30/2018 8:10:27 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: SeekAndFind

As the Democrat Party becomes dominated by radical black and Hispanic leftists, the GOP will have a great opportunity to attract support from all kinds of Asian immigrants who despise lazy bums and are coldly pragmatic about their politics.


17 posted on 06/30/2018 8:10:28 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I saw a werewolf drinking a pina colada at Trader Vic's.")
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To: dp0622

Black women have no problem voting for a black man, they turn out in much higher numbers than black men no matter what, at least to my understanding. But I bet black men are more reticent to turnout for a black woman than a black man. So running a black man gets them more minority turnout to my thinking.

Freegards


18 posted on 06/30/2018 8:13:20 AM PDT by Ransomed
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Those who control the media, the banks, and the non elected government have a target date of 2045 to make the US a white minority nation.

Considering that whites currently make up 62% of the population, that’s a pretty ambitious goal for these scumbags, they would have to bring in about 100 million non whites with zero growth in the white population over the next 25 years.

That’s 4 million a year, and they are VERY upset that Trump has sounded the alarm about their crafty scheme.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_the_United_States

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2018/03/14/the-us-will-become-minority-white-in-2045-census-projects/


19 posted on 06/30/2018 8:16:33 AM PDT by Rome2000 (SMASH THE CPUSA-SIC SEMPER TYRANNIS-CLOSE ALL MOSQUES-GOD WITH US)
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To: SeekAndFind

There’s been a racial cold war, fomented by Democrats, since the end of WWII and likely before.


20 posted on 06/30/2018 8:18:32 AM PDT by farming pharmer
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