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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Unless you incorporate every single variable your model will fail by a greater and greater margin as you extend your timeline.

Even that won't help. Chaos theory put all thought of large-scale climate prediction and/or control firmly into the realm of science fiction. The key term is "sensitive dependence upon initial conditions". You don't hear much about the 'butterfly effect' any more, because it makes 'climatologists' look like fools.

18 posted on 07/26/2018 11:25:12 AM PDT by zeugma (Power without accountability is fertilizer for tyranny.)
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To: zeugma

I was going to mention chaos theory and initial conditions, but the very fact that you can only know a small fraction of the variables is reason enough to say computer models are bunk.


19 posted on 07/26/2018 11:59:17 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (<img src="http://i.imgur.com/WukZwJP.gif" width=600><p>https://i.imgur.com/zXSEP5Z.gif)
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