Posted on 10/14/2018 3:26:31 AM PDT by SMGFan
WASHINGTON — It was this week two years ago that Hillary Clinton’s victory looked assured, when the infamous “Access Hollywood” tape of Donald Trump bragging about sexual assault appeared all but certain to end his campaign.
Jesse Ferguson remembers it well. The deputy press secretary for Clinton’s campaign also remembers what happened a month later.
It’s why this veteran Democratic operative can’t shake the feeling that, as promising as the next election looks for his party, it might still all turn out wrong. “Election Day will either prove to me I have PTSD or show I’ve been living deja vu,” Ferguson said. “I just don’t know which yet.”
Ferguson is one of many Democrats who felt the sting of unexpected defeat in 2016 and are now closely — and nervously — watching the current election near its end, wondering if history will repeat itself. This year, instead of trying to win the presidency, Democrats are trying to gain 23 House seats and win a majority. The anxiety isn’t universal, with many party leaders professing confidently and repeatedly that this year really is different.
But even some of them acknowledge the similarities between the current and previous election: President Trump is unpopular and beset by scandal, Democrats hold leads in the polls, and some Republicans are openly pessimistic.
(Excerpt) Read more at pjstar.com ...
uh-oh...some nother body’s internal polling numbers just came in....
President Trump is unpopular and beset by scandal, Democrats hold leads in the polls, and some Republicans are openly pessimistic.
You are likely to end up with the wrong assumptions.
I’m not sure how it happened but yesterday I watched 3 hours of ABC election night coverage. I could watch it now because........well, liberal tears and all. It was pretty fascinating to watch with hindsight and goes directly to your comment. They were completely and utterly baffled about who we are.
The bubble up there (in Ny) and on the coast is real. Sad Martha interjected a few lucid comments about having spent time with we normals during the election but, of course, came to the wrong conclusions.
The very best part of watching was seeing these knuckleheads list the “impossible” promises that he’s made during the election and how we voters don’t understand that it isn’t how it works in American politics. It read like a freaking checklist of his accomplishments in the first two years, the notable exceptions being Obamacare and the wall.
If you can stomach it, you should watch.
The LIBs must be crushed to dust. No quarter. They are intolerant, uncivil, anti-Free-America malignancies.
Amen
Stated differently, there canbe no co existence
There must be no kumbaya
Prison sentences will be pardoned and are thus ineffective
Post kavanaugh the polls are missing the same thing they missed in 16.
Folks who are generally filtered out as “unlikely” voters who are going to show up.
Make NO mistake, the Kavanaugh circus didn’t just fully engage the right finally... it far more importantly engaged and enraged and enraged the middle! And no party, let me repeat, no party can anger the middle and not pay a heavy heavy price.
The MSM and pundits keep trying to present this as red v blue... when in reality the Behavior of the Dems over Kavanaugh assaulted the very nature of fair play that most Americans have.. they saw right through it and are going to show up to punish the Dems... and because many of those folks. Aren’t routine voters they will not show up in polling but will show up at the polls. What is coming is a not a Red tide, these folks, it’s a decency storm surge! It will favor the GOP greatly, but it is not a sudden shift of the electorate, it’s a punishment of a party for its repugnant behavior.
I personally see ZERO path for the Dems to take the house post Kavanaugh... pre Kavanaugh, with an apathetic GOP base and a disengaged middle, the dem enthusiasm gap was certain to hand them the house... now? I don’t see any path to that reality... and depending on the. Size of that decency storm surge, the GOP may even gain seats.
The biggest failing this cycle IMHO is the GOP hasn’t been fighting for this, the election was nationalized on the right in spite of the GOP, the GOP should have been nationalizing the election from the start.
The dems are twitching hard. They are torn. They want to riot and burn everything to the ground, but their polling is already dropping like a rock. They are in a desperate search for a message and a freebee they can ride on. Everyone they tried has gone over like a lead balloon. And Trump is taking advantage of the universal health care freebee they floated with the retort that he will save medicare from the dems.
Karl Rove on FNS said the house and governorships will go Dems...Karl Rove needs to retire...
You betcha!
Get out the vote, Republicans!
Exile the Demonrats to the political desert on November 6!
“Articles like this mean the Dems think they’re going to lose.”
There have been a few of these articles lately. Quite the departure from the past when the dimoKKKRATS could do no wrong and were 100% going to win.
Correct, a total lie.
Trump was generalizing about the Hollywood culture. Sounds like he was explaining Weinstein, Lauer, Rose, Cosby at al.
Yes. Don’t remember any similar articles hedging their bet from 2 years ago.
By the looks of folk turning out at President Trump’s rallies poeple are stroked and that enthusiasm is spreading like wild fire to the other republican candidates. Last night Ted Cruz came to our local DEEEEEP BLUE city for a complete SOLD OUT school gymnasium rally!! Folks something happening out there and it feel like VICTORY!! DON’T GET COMPLACENT GOTV!!!!
Everybody voting for a republican Senator will also vote for a republican house seat.
I worry that the economy is doing so well that people feel it is “safe” to vote DemocRATic again...
I’m sure going to try to strike disaster with my vote.
“Polls have been useless since Clinton, when the Dems started using them to shape voting and cover for fraud.”
They have been doing that or much longer than Clinton.
Their polls showed Carter beating Reagan by a wide margin all the way to the end.
Polls have been a manipulation tool from the beginning.
Da Nang Dick and Sheldon Whitehouse have recently joined that list, as well.
EXACTLY!! Too much commotion on the ballot..people just want to sink one hole and split!!
Comment and quick ping for my list:
This is about the 3rd or 4th article starting to let the DemoKKKrats down easy for the election disaster that is coming.
First, there was an article saying “We might not know on election night who has won the House?”
REALLY? If the DemoKKKrats don’t win at least 2 of the NY and 2 of the NJ districts, I’m pretty sure it’s over. Also, watch Comstock in VA, FL26 and 27. If we come out of those nine total races and have only lost 3, they are toast.
That would mean even if they get 3 redistricted seats in PA, they have to get 17 more without OH or TX, while losing four flips in AZ, NV, and MN. (That moves their “must have” number to 21 more). I don’t see it. I think this warning tells you they KNOW they aren’t going to win the House, but don’t want a freakout on Wed.
Second, there are all sorts of “split decision” kinds of articles. So they have started preparing the lefties for losing the Senate (they just aren’t telling them how big a blowout it will be).
Third, Politico now has the House at Ds +”24.4” seats, or “1.4” more than needed. Given Politico’s track record (off by an average of SIX POINTS in WI in 2016) this suggests Rs are in really good shape.
Fourth can’t give you a number (prohibited) but Rosendale is up a little in MT now; McSally by 7 in AZ (it isn’t that big, but I’m guessing she wins by 4-5); Renacci within 2 in OH; and TX, MO, ND put away. TN is NOT a “14 point Blackburn” lead, but probably 4-7. Still, I think that race is over. Scott’s race is tight, particularly because of disruptions due to the hurricane in red counties, but so far, FL absentees look EXACTLY like 2016, so that’s a very reassuring pattern.
Dino Rossi (WA8), a must have district, now up 10 according to multiple sources; Faso (NY19) apparently ok; Katko (NY) ok. There are two seats that are still iffy in NY, Tenney and Collins. No info on Collins, but Tenney is in a red district and is hanging tough.
Early polling showed Comstock with a tiny lead in VA.
WATCH THIS SEAT ON ELECTION NIGHT. If they can’t call Comstock’s race early, that means she’ll likely win.
I think the two seats in NC are safe; I think both Salazar and Curbelo will hold FL27 and FL26. There is a chance for one FL flip to us. TX is save, all three districts. OH is safe for all Rs.
Trott in MI is questionable, Blum in IA appears gone. But Bishop in MI, once thought dead is now in the lead. Coffman in CO is like Roarke’s Drift. He just holds on against overwhelming odds.
Hearing info from the ground that in MN they think they can win the AG race with the Jihadi Abuser Ellison.
HOUSELY’S senate race is closer than polls show.
Baris just released ND polling that shows the Kavanaugh affair just destroyed Heitkamp, and suggests that it will bleed over to Testicles and Donnelly.
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