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The Drive For 25: An Updated Seat-By-Seat Analysis Of The House
Center For Politics ^ | Oct -8, 2018 | Kyle Kondik

Posted on 10/18/2018 6:34:59 AM PDT by 11th_VA

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Somewhat balanced (if you cut thru it) but they have the McSally seat as ‘leans Democratic’ - I don’t think so ...
1 posted on 10/18/2018 6:34:59 AM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

I think a lot of people are going to be surprised in November. IT might be even worse than 2016. Or better, depending on which party you favor.


2 posted on 10/18/2018 6:37:05 AM PDT by cuban leaf
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To: cuban leaf

I will not be surprised at all. The elections have been nationalized from multiple angles, and the Republicans have every reason on earth to be energized, as is evidenced by Trump’s rallies. Harry Truman who?

The snowflakes are turning off the rank and file Democrats with their disgusting behavior, and blacks are walking away and favoring Trump by a large plurality.

This is going to be a red tsunami, or I’ll know the reason why. Where is my absentee ballot, dammit.


3 posted on 10/18/2018 6:52:22 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: 11th_VA

I think both sides are going to be disappointed.

I think the GOP will be disappointed that they did not gain as much in the US Senate as they hoped. 55 seems to be the cap on modern GOP possible Senate seats.

I think the Dens are going to be raging because their “Blue Wave” turned out to be Media manufactured nonsense and they do not take back the US House. The GOP will have a much smaller majority but it will stay in control.

The big winner in Nov is most likely to be President Donald Trump. Given the large number of die hard Never Trumpers who retired from both the US House and Senate, the next Congress, if the GOP holds, is going to be a much friendlier place for the President.


4 posted on 10/18/2018 6:54:09 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: 11th_VA

There’s a story going around political circles here in Minnesota that the DCCC cancelled a $1.2 million dollar ad buy in CD-8.

It looks like they’re gonna re-direct the money into CD 1 (open seat) as well as CD 2 (incumbent GOP 1st term Rep Jason Lewis).

Jason Lewis is in a tough race this year. The district has a GOP lean to it but there are a lot of suburban soccer moms in Dakota and Scott Counties who feel like Jason is a “meanie”.

Here’s a map of the 2nd CD
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minnesota%27s_2nd_congressional_district#/media/File:Minnesota_US_Congressional_District_2_(since_2013).tif

It’s a weird combo of suburbia and rural small towns.

For those interested and able to do so, Jason’s campaign wouldn’t mind a campaign donation:

https://www.jasonformn.com/

Trust me, folks. There’s no one bit of RINO in Jason.


5 posted on 10/18/2018 6:55:17 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: 11th_VA

Speaking of MartyMac, we may have a shot at her fellow Jet Jockey, Wendy Rogers, knocking off (D) o’halleran, the shape-shifter, in AZ 1. The rez votes will be the X factor. She’s working them hard.


6 posted on 10/18/2018 6:58:32 AM PDT by Migraine
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To: MNJohnnie

this is my position, as well.


7 posted on 10/18/2018 7:00:07 AM PDT by QualityMan (The Adults are back in town)
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To: 11th_VA

Sabato has shattered the old crystal ball in the past few elections as he continually undermiscalculates (lol) the republican forces. It appears that this time around he is covering all contingencies to a point where is vision of the future means absolutely nothing. Kind of like a weatherman predicting intermittent sun, partly cloudy with a chance of showers.


8 posted on 10/18/2018 7:18:52 AM PDT by Kahuna
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To: cuban leaf

Our worst domestic enemies remember that they got clean away with all the violence they desired after the last election....


9 posted on 10/18/2018 7:28:30 AM PDT by treetopsandroofs
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To: MplsSteve
Trust me, folks. There’s no one bit of RINO in Jason.

I agree. Then we have Tom Emmer in CD-6 who is in the most solidly conservative district in Minnesota, but only has a CR score of 69% vs Jason's 80%.

10 posted on 10/18/2018 7:29:41 AM PDT by DrDavid (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: cuban leaf

Everything depends on Republicans going to the polls whether a tight election or not. When Republicans do not vote in safe districts, or perceive they are safe, it provides an opportunity for an upset and it allows the Dems to claim we got the most votes nationally so Senate, House etc is non-legitimate. Worked hard last evening after 5 PM going door-to-door encouraging neighbors to vote early and why it is so important. In my district fighting complacency in house race but the Governor’s race is so important for the state.


11 posted on 10/18/2018 7:29:46 AM PDT by georgiarat (The most expensive thing in the world is a cheap Army and Navy. - Carl Vinson)
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To: treetopsandroofs

Our worst domestic enemies remember that they got clean away with all the violence they desired after the last election....


Yes they did. And Obama was president.

It’s different now. :)


12 posted on 10/18/2018 7:34:01 AM PDT by cuban leaf
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To: georgiarat

Your point regarding not voting because your district is safe is a strong one and, I hate to admit, one I had not considered.

Thank you.


13 posted on 10/18/2018 7:35:15 AM PDT by cuban leaf
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To: MNJohnnie

The wildcard in this election, which makes it different from a lot of other ones and favors Republicans, is the very strong economy. Additionally, there are no raging conflicts to make people nervous.

Normal people tend to like stability. The question is will they turn out to vote in large numbers?


14 posted on 10/18/2018 7:43:20 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: MplsSteve

Did the attacks on Republican candidates get reported in any local news?


15 posted on 10/18/2018 8:01:52 AM PDT by Pining_4_TX (..Do not be frightened, and do not be dismayed, for the Lord your God is with you.. Joshua 1:9)
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To: 11th_VA

This Larry Sabato — who leans Democrat. So take it with a grain of salt.


16 posted on 10/18/2018 8:08:54 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
See you all at the ballot box.

17 posted on 10/18/2018 8:14:49 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (and btw -- https://www.gofundme.com/for-rotator-cuff-repair-surgery)
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To: 11th_VA
Somewhat balanced (if you cut thru it) but they have the McSally seat as ‘leans Democratic’ - I don’t think so ..


It's probably correct since it's her old Congressional seat they are talking about rather than the AZ Senate seat.

18 posted on 10/18/2018 8:37:07 AM PDT by az_gila
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To: All

There is going to be a red wave that will stun the world.


19 posted on 10/18/2018 8:45:05 AM PDT by TheTimeOfMan (A time for peace and a time for war)
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To: MNJohnnie

Winner! I think you nailed it.


20 posted on 10/18/2018 8:47:07 AM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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