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What if North Korea Collapsed?
The National Interest ^ | October 18, 2018 | Jamie Metzl

Posted on 10/18/2018 9:24:36 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

"North Korea is a historical relic, destabilizing force, and human rights abomination. The Korean people and the world will be far better off without it."

The good news is that this collapse has the potential to be a win-win for nearly everyone. The North Korean people will end their terrible suffering, North and South Korea will be reunified under South Korean law, potentially following a UN-administered transitional period and referendum, the specter of a rogue nuclear nation at the heart of Asia will be removed, and China will gain a valuable trading partner in a unified Korea and access to Seoul’s high tech economy and northern Korea’s natural resources through high quality rail, road, and communications links.

As a member of the U.S. National Security Council staff in the later 1990s, I worked with colleagues on plans for responding to the potential collapse of the North Korean government. As a self-induced famine ravaged the country, we considered what we might do when the regime finally succumbed to the inevitable consequence of its own insanity. Almost twenty years later, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea is still there and those predicting its imminent collapse have continually been proven wrong. But today, the North Korean madness may well be nearing its endgame. I predict it will be gone within a decade....

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalinterest.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: china; korea; reunification; trump
Tongil!
1 posted on 10/18/2018 9:24:36 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Castro outlasted 10 US Presidents.

They’ve been predicting the demise of Asian communist states since the fall of the Berlin Wall.

I gave up trying to gauge how societies there work. I thought the Chicoms were going to fall with Tianamin Square.


2 posted on 10/18/2018 9:29:01 AM PDT by PittsburghAfterDark (The American media: We do what the Soviet media did without the guns to our head.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If NK collapse, the Chinese would immediately invade to stop the NKians from flooding China. They’d also turn NK into a sweatshop state much like their western provinces.


3 posted on 10/18/2018 9:32:11 AM PDT by struggle
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...potentially following a UN-administered transitional period and referendum...

Yeah what could possibly go wrong under that scenario? </sarcasm>

4 posted on 10/18/2018 9:32:15 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
There is a LOT of valuable minerals in what is now North Korea. The Chinese would love to have unfettered access to that mineral wealth--and that means many northeastern Chinese with mining experience could get new, high-paying jobs.
5 posted on 10/18/2018 9:32:53 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: RayChuang88

We should make a deal with the Koreans for those minerals. We’ll ship quality pork, chicken, rice, cabbage, soybeans and spices in exchange for majority ownership.


6 posted on 10/18/2018 9:34:52 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: PittsburghAfterDark

“They’ve been predicting the demise of Asian communist states since the fall of the Berlin Wall.”

Who has?

I haven’t seen much of that.

And, the experts didn’t predict the collapse of the European communist states either.


7 posted on 10/18/2018 9:40:46 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: struggle

“If NK collapse, the Chinese would immediately invade to stop the NKians from flooding China.”

No way.

“They’d also turn NK into a sweatshop state much like their western provinces.”

Definitely N Korea would become a manufacturing place. But I don’t think it would be China running it.


8 posted on 10/18/2018 9:42:46 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

a chinese problem,, not ours..
watch SK build a wall .. lol


9 posted on 10/18/2018 9:43:12 AM PDT by ßuddaßudd ((>> M A G A << "What the hell kind of country is this if I can only hate a man if he's white?")
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To: RayChuang88

“There is a LOT of valuable minerals in what is now North Korea. The Chinese would love to have unfettered access to that mineral wealth”

For unfettered access, what’s stopping them now?

ChiComs would be better off regarding this with Communist N Korea intact.


10 posted on 10/18/2018 9:44:24 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What if North Korea Collapsed?

then Kims fat ass could fill the hole


11 posted on 10/18/2018 9:46:16 AM PDT by aces
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
North Korea is a historical relic, destabilizing force, and human rights abomination. The Korean people and the world will be far better off without it.

Ture, but the Chinese like things the way they are so North Korean and its people will continue to suffer.

12 posted on 10/18/2018 10:23:14 AM PDT by Last Dakotan
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To: ßuddaßudd

Young South Koreans do not want unification and do not want anything to do with North Korea fiscally.


13 posted on 10/18/2018 11:05:14 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

May it be so.


14 posted on 10/18/2018 12:05:05 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: shanover

The problem is that the North Koreans can’t take care of themselves. They’ve become so used the government running everything in their lives that it may well take several generations until they can take responsibility for all the little choices we make every day. Much of South Korea knows that and doesn’t want to deal with it.


15 posted on 10/22/2018 11:00:27 AM PDT by utahb52
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