Posted on 10/20/2018 4:20:18 PM PDT by Hojczyk
If Republicans pick up both seats, they may only net a gain of one, however, or perhaps even a wash. Another NYT/Siena poll taken in the middle of the Kavanaughcalypse put incumbent Republican Jason Lewis down 12 points to DFL challenger Angie Craig, 51/39, in a rematch from 2016 in MN-02.
That one looks more outlier-ish; a Survey USA poll from mid-September only had Craig up three, 48/45. The 2nd CD was a Republican stronghold while John Kline held the seat, but the district has been drifting politically to the DFL for years. More of the state legislative seats in this district have gone to Democrats. Lewis’ long history as a provocative radio talk-show host has given Craig more soundbites, and she’s running heavy in the ad cycles so far in the Twin Cities market. Lewis is far from out of it, but he’s got a tough road to hoe.
Similarly, Scott Johnson and John Hinderaker are sounding warning bells in MN-03, where incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen faces a tough challenge from Dean Phillips. Paulsen’s a more experienced candidate than Lewis, with more of a track record of beating expectations in his suburban district, which has also begun to drift away from the GOP.
The NYT/Siena poll that put Phillips up nine was taken in early September, well before the Kavanaugh debacle and the resurgence of Republican enthusiasm. The later Survey USA poll — still before the big shift in enthusiasm — put Phillips up five. Both of these seats are still winnable, but it will take a lot of work.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
If there are enough Republican votes to overcome any amount of cheating the Dimms will do, yes.
There may be some surprises on Election Night. Likely outcome will be a wash or perhaps a slim Democrat House majority.
But nothing like the Blue Wave some pundits have been talking about.
Either of these scenarios would be in keeping with mid term election history.
I went with the conventional wisdom. All the stars would have to be aligned for the GOP to hold the House.
If it does, Trump will get the credit. And he was the guy everyone wrote off for dead in 2016.
Just like they’re writing off the House GOP for dead in 2018. I would love to be proved wrong.
If we hold the House it is not a ‘wash’ it is a huge win for us! Especially if we add some Senate seats.
The ‘stars’ are what men make them, Trump is leading the way for a huge upset. This reminds me of Truman upsetting Dewy in 1948. The issue was always getting our vote to reach 2016 levels, which it will.
“or perhaps a slim Democrat House majority.”
Disaster, if the Rats get the house by one vote it will be the same as a hundred. You can say this about these bastards they are in lockstep. They will not allow a McCain or a Flake. If they get the House it is going to be the biggest sh*t show this country has ever seen.
I was a witness and participant in the switch of the Solid South (Democrat) to the Solid South (Republican). It took a number of election cycles and there were bumps in the road along the way. But, once it got started, the Democrats were doomed long term. The same thing is happening in the Upper Midwest. The Democrats will become the Coastal and Urban Island party.
I have no problem with the conventional wisdom about mid-terms with one caveat: The events leading up to this election are not conventional.
Even a one-vote Democrat majority means worthless impeachment votes and blocking any new Trump bills.
Can a cat eat lutefisk?
What is a DFL. That is unfamiliar to me. Democrat Football League?
Minnesota dem party: Democratic-Farmer-Labor party.
Demonic Fascistic Liberals
No, Republicans will flip three Democrat seats CD 1 CD 7 And CD 8 all won by double figures by Trump. They good as gone.
Not buying the poll numbers in this article.
Angie Craig is an obnoxious lesbian, and a weak candidate IMO, and Lewis is well liked by many on both sides.
Same polling groups had Hillary as president.
Trump supporters are the least likely to talk to pollsters..
The only poll that counts is Nov 6
We just moved to the 8th..
That’s more votes for stauber
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.