I’ll suggest that within two weeks...May wakes up to find no path ahead for her, and the Crown has to call for a new election (probably mid-January). If that follows through...BREXIT occurs with no signed deal.
Do you think a vote of no confidence is in play?
CC
I’m not sure Theresa May will make it past the end of November. It takes, if I recall correctly, 48 letters of no confidence from Conservative MP’s to trigger a leadership challenge.
When that happens all bets are off.
The Queen no longer has the ability to dissolve Parliament and call for new elections since the passage of the Fixed Term Parliaments Act. The present Parliament has four years to go. The 2017 election only occurred because the leaders of of other parties agreed to it an passed a bill to dissolve the last Parliament.
A no-deal Brexit would definitely be better than May’s Faux-exit.
If the Conservative Party changes its leader, that doesn't necessarily mean a General Election. There have been plenty of examples of the PM changing mid-Parliament with no General Election.
By the way, it's a mistake to see this as 'May's Deal'. It's a proposed deal thrashed out between British and EU Commission officials after months of negotiation, in which the EU held virtually all the cards. This is the only deal the EU might be prepared to accept (would still have to get through the EU Council of Ministers and the EU Parliament, both doubtful).It's got little to do with what the British were asking for