Posted on 02/25/2019 10:29:47 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
OSLO - Evidence for man-made global warming has reached a gold standard level of certainty, adding pressure for cuts in greenhouse gases to limit rising temperatures, scientists said on Monday.
Humanity cannot afford to ignore such clear signals, the U.S.-led team wrote in the journal Nature Climate Change of satellite measurements of rising temperatures over the past 40 years.
They said confidence that human activities were raising the heat at the Earths surface had reached a five-sigma level, a statistical gauge meaning there is only a one-in-a-million chance that the signal would appear if there was no warming.
Such a gold standard was applied in 2012, for instance, to confirm the discovery of the Higgs boson subatomic particle, a basic building block of the universe.
Benjamin Santer, lead author of Mondays study at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, said he hoped the findings would win over skeptics and spur action.
The narrative out there that scientists dont know the cause of climate change is wrong, he told Reuters. We do.
Mainstream scientists say the burning of fossil fuels is causing more floods, droughts, heat waves and rising sea levels.
U.S. President Donald Trump has often cast doubt on global warming and plans to pull out of the 197-nation Paris climate agreement which seeks to end the fossil fuel era this century by shifting to cleaner energies such as wind and solar power.
(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...
Santer created this gold standard through judicious peer review. For example: "I'm really sorry that you have to go through all this stuff, Phil. Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting, I'll be tempted to beat the crap out of him. Very tempted." --Dr. Ben Santer, Climategate emails (Phil Jones was getting critiqued by Michaels)
I spent decades applying statistical methods to industrial processes in large companies and I don’t buy this for a second.
Good news!
Can’t wait to see the evidence! CO2 is still heavier than air, as EVIDENCED by the billions of tons of plant matter in the world’s oceans, lakes, streams, and ponds.
It will be amazing to see this evidence. Too be able to build an experiment in a lab, in many labs, and see the results all correlated to one another.
Oh happy day!
Where is it?
Science is like an Obamacare health plan.
Bump #21
Utter BS.
When I see these climate scientists” have taken their collectivists thumbs off of the scales of their data, I might look less skeptically at their fudged and biased data. . . but so long as I see them arbitrarily “adjusting” historically collected and current data, and selectively choosing to ignore data that does not comport with their approved and desired results, I will remain skeptical of their breathless, unproved, and dire predictions about a disastrous cataclysmic future that can only be prevented by adopting socialistic governmental and economic policies despite every socialist societies in the world demonstrating the worst ecological and climatological policies of all nations.
Im really sorry that you have to go through all this stuff, Phil. Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting, Ill be tempted to beat the crap out of him. Very tempted. Dr. Ben Santer, Climategate emails
No credibility.
It’s really quite simple....God said the earth shall wax old ‘like a garment’ in Isaiah 51.....so of course it’s going to buckle and weaken where it once was firm. Therefore the usual climate patterns will cause greater damages where the ‘fabric’ is weakest and thin.
Which is just another way of saying they are lying again. The big lie...say it enough and people eventually start to believe it.
JoMa
Never trust a person that says “I’m being honest”
Aristotle’s view of the natural world was once a ‘gold standard’ in science. And challenging Aristotle could get you in a bit of trouble, as Galileo found out.
Yet today we know that Aristotle was mostly wrong. So much for the value of a ‘gold standard’.
Repeatability and a model that matches reality is the gold standard of science not statistics
Good, because we are going to need all artificial warming we can produce in the coming years. Cooling period started in 2016 and will last for quite while.
And they ain't scientists either. At least not good or honest ones.
Yep, 15-20 years.
They never tell you why, never state the facts, cite the evidence. This is as close as they get:
Mondays findings, by researchers in the United States, Canada and Scotland, said evidence for global warming reached the five sigma level by 2005 in two of three sets of satellite data widely used by researchers, and in 2016 in the third.
Lol. Such Garbage. They clearly dont even know what Six Sigma really means.
Oooh. Five sigma. I could create five sigma data - vine a desired result - for anything.
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