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“ Today demographers estimate that about 40 percent of first marriages and 60 percent of second marriages will end in divorce”

“ in a way aptly phrased by NR’s Kyle Smith: “Warning: Do. Not. Get. Divorced. But since you can never be sure your partner won’t dump you, really, you shouldn’t get married. Or fall in love in the first place. Best bet: Don’t be born.””

1 posted on 11/23/2019 1:16:39 PM PST by RomanSoldier19
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To: RomanSoldier19
As is usual, the research is wrong on this subject.

If you dig in, you'll find the quoted statistic is 2.9 divorces for every 1000 people in 2017. That's fine...except single people can't get divorced.

Since divorce is at the state level, and many states don't report this data, we need to make some assumptions.

While the 2014 divorce total of 814k excludes data for California, Georgia, Hawaii, Indiana, and Minnesota, let’s be conservative and gross up 814k by 20%/close to the percentage of electoral votes those states represent...about one million divorces versus about 68.5 million marriages (using IRS data, there are 54MM MFJ filers and 29MM MFS). Doing the math, that’s 1MM divorces / (54MM plus 29MM/2) is 1/68.5 or 1.5% divorce rate.

That's clearly not 0.29% but it's also not the erroneous 50% rate quoted.

2 posted on 11/23/2019 1:32:25 PM PST by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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To: RomanSoldier19

The only marriage that counts is yours

I treat my wife like a queen. And she wants to spend her life with me


3 posted on 11/23/2019 1:36:34 PM PST by Truthoverpower (The guvmint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: RomanSoldier19
I've been married twice, widowed once. Both marriages very happy. Choose wisely and you're not likely to get burned.
4 posted on 11/23/2019 1:52:55 PM PST by JoeFromSidney (Colonel (Retired) USAF.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Given the current state of affairs, the advice is correct.

Especially for men.


7 posted on 11/23/2019 2:25:03 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Wife and I had our 50th in July.


8 posted on 11/23/2019 2:29:32 PM PST by arthurus (,/'^'\, ==|_|)
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To: RomanSoldier19

“Divorce rates falling, women and children hardest hit.”


10 posted on 11/23/2019 2:49:19 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats only believe in democracy when they win the election.)
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