No, not if Trump and the national GOP pressure the locals to leave him alone for this switch.
Right now, this is about votes. We need about 20 seats. Figure UT4 and OK5 and perhaps Peterson’s MN seats are pretty good bets to flip, we are looking at 17 more.
A(monster)mash’s seat should flip, and Torres-Small is in trouble. Andy Kim is highly beatable, and Tom Kean looks strong for the other NJ seat, so perhaps now 13. One by one is how we get the House back.
The future is the future. What matters most is right now and the party switcher is giving a big club to POTUS to beat the Dems with over impeachment. Not even Fake News will be able to ignore this one.
Don’t forget the two additional seats the Demonrats stole (or will steal, effective 1/3/2021) via “Judicial Fiat” in NC from the current minority, since they can’t do it legitimately.