Polls this far out from an election are worse than meaningless. They are pure propaganda.
Ignore opinion polls.
Posted on 01/28/2020 10:10:59 AM PST by Kaslin
According to Real Clear Politics, in spite of the economy and everything else going well in the United States of America, almost every current national poll has President Trump trailing a hypothetical Democrat opponent. Whether Biden; Sanders; Warren; or even Buttigieg, Bloomberg, or Klobuchar, President Trump trails them all in nearly every poll. As of this writing, the latest general election national poll by CNN, IBD/TIPP, Emerson, Fox News, Quinnipiac, and SurveyUSA has President Trump behind almost every possible Democrat candidate.
In 32 different matchups from the six polling agencies previously mentioned, President Trump leads in only two scenarios. The latest IBD/TIPP national poll has Trump beating Warren 47% to 46%, and the latest Emerson poll has Trump beating Buttigieg 51% to 49%. According to these polls, even Democrats who have since dropped out of the race were beating President Trump.
The latest SurveyUSA national poll (at the end of November, 2019) had Kamala Harris beating the current president of the United States 47% to 42%. At the point Harris dropped out of the race, the Real Clear Politics average had her at plus six over President Trump. Out of 42 polls reported by Real Clear Politics — from June of 2018 until November of 2019 — Trump topped Harris only six times. Again, remember that this is a candidate who couldn't outlast even Julián Castro and Marianne Williamson.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Polling doesn’t reveal voters too bummed out to go vote.
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Any poll that doesn’t rely on polling those 4 out of the last 5 election voters is very unreliable.
The irony for me is how garbage the Fox News polling service is. The Dimms love when Fox anchors cite this data showing the President losing to even Klobuchar.
You have to be kidding me.
The most important thing is that we must vote for President Trump in the States primaries and then on November 2nd
I lost interest in polls four years ago when the results of the only true poll was taken, in November.
In my view MOST polls (1) are truly not scientific, (2) most often skew, with bias, the demographics of who is/was polled, (3) underplay how the poll may be affected most by mere current events and cannot know or determine future events’ role in the polls (the last is more the case the further into the future the poll is trying to predict; and (4) even when the poll is only telling the mood of the day, those reporting the poll try to pretend the poll is a crystal ball on the future, which it cannot be.
Every poll you have ever seen oversamples Democrats by 10%. Every one of them. Read the fine print.
I read the latest WashPost/Ipsos poll that said that “8 in 10 African-Americans think that Trump is Racist”. But there’s a little nugget all the way in the last page. The sample was of 1,088 non-Hispanic Black Americans, out of which 900 were Registered Voters, 856 were Leaned Democrat and 769 were Leaned Democratic Voters. So you’re going in already with 93% of those polled as being Democrats. Wave a few questions like: “Is Donald Trump Racist?” in the Southside of Chicago or in Baltimore City - and voilá - you’ve got your results. Now this is precisely the reason why Ipsos/CBS/NBC/NYT/ABC/WashPost, etc. DO NOT conduct nationwide polls of non-Hispanic Black Americans who are registered across the spectrum - Republican, Independents & Democrats - with just the word “BLACK” in the poll. This is why they use the term “NON-WHITES”, in order to disguise the races and for the public to have a hard time deciphering ‘who is who’ in the melting pot of voters. The only poll doing this is Rasmussen, and the Left discards these results and accuses Rasmussen of being right-wing or alt-right. The other question in the poll that I thought was interesting is #24, which asked if it’s a good or bad time to be a black person in America. 30% said that it’s a “good time” and 4% said they had no opinion. 30% PERCENT of these ‘Leaned Democrat’ voters polled said that it’s a good time to be a black person in America, living under Trump. Let that number sink in.
Best! Silvie in Waldorf
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