[null and void]

Just a flu, nothing to see here...

Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.

[yldstrk]

My veterinarian said this morning the test animals from the Wuhan lab were being sold at the animal market. Makes sense.

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

Prepper/Infectious Disease Ping - Supply Chain Interruption (China)- expect interruptions and delays.

(From the article) :

"What would this mean for the closely followed China manufacturing PMI? As Nomura added, "even adjusting for seasonality and expected progress in business resumption in the coming week, we estimate the official manufacturing PMI could drop to a range of 30-40 in Feb.".

"In retrospect, it turns out that Nomura's dire forecast was optimistic, because moments ago China's National Statistics Bureau reported the latest, February PMIs and they were absolutely catastrophic .."

How long will it be to full recovery ?
That issue remains unknown at present !
The Chinese government realizes the extent to which they supply much of the worlds medication, electronics, and fabricated parts (including automotive), they have ordered much of their population to return to the workplace.
As dependency on the Chinese labor market has allowed the Chinese to garner much of the world's manufacturing production, they wish to protect their control of the market.
If the Chinese government had been forthright and honest about the virus in the first place, we might not be so mindful of our industries dependence on Chinese products.
However, forthright and honest figures on industry, trade equity, monetary exchange, and diseases is relatively unknown.

Change from this dependence requires industrial relocation, buildings modifications and expansion, a ready labor supply, job training & re-training.
All this takes time and money both by government, industry and consumers.
Expect delays and interruptions in the supply chain from this adjustment, which will occur in the meantime; stability will occur with minor interruptions based on the financial value to the Chinese government economy.

Hat tip : blam and nullie !