Sometimes, like now, the data point in many directions: it's a tossup. But what I've seen is incredible arrogance on both sides of the flubro/exponential bro divide. Worse yet, I've seen more raw displays of authority bias in the past few months from people with medical degrees than ever. And none of them agree on anything. This article, as well, fits right in with that lot.
I have many great friends and guests on my national TV and radio shows who are medical experts. Half believe this is the pandemic to end all pandemics. They quote Centers for Disease Control and Prevention models that report as many as 1.7 million Americans could die. So people are rightfully scared out of their minds. American business is shutting down. But the other half of my medical friends and expert guests say this is an overreaction. They predict fewer Americans will die than during the flu season of 2017-18 that killed about 80,000 people. They don't believe we need to close down American business and lock ourselves in our homes. The problem is we won't know who's right until it's over.
“The problem is we won’t know who’s right until it’s over.“
And we’ll forget who was right the next time, like we did after the Swine Flu of 1976, heterosexual AIDS of the 1980s, the Y2K scare of 2000, SARS of 2002, and H1N1 a decade ago.
Check out some of the Covid-19 videos from Ecuador, where they are going for herd immunity by default, before you decide which side is right.
‘But the other half of my medical friends and expert guests say this is an overreaction.’
it certainly is, or, I should say it appears to be; but that’s as moot a point as has ever existed, since the decision to shut it all down has been made, and must be played out to the end to avoid losing face...
Really? I think not. We will NEVER know because the same two groups will continue to argue. If deaths are far less, the panic group will say, "see, our response measures worked." The other group will say, "over-reaction." Nothing will be resolved. The real problem is that we have allowed the "experts" and their leftist progressives to have free reign to now leverage the fear of death for political gain. This happened right under our noses. . .and, sadly, this genie ain't going back into the bottle. Stay tuned for the next panic. . and the one after that!