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SWING-STATE ODDS: BIDEN WIDENS FLORIDA GAP; MICHIGAN NARROWS
bookies.com ^ | August 12, 2020

Posted on 08/14/2020 7:22:24 PM PDT by 11th_VA

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Even if Trump were to win the four states in which he is less of an underdog than the others (Florida, North Carolina, Arizona and New Hampshire), he would fall short.

But if he flips VA (2A vote) with those four states above, he wins

1 posted on 08/14/2020 7:22:24 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Yeh I remember a certain bookie site paying out bets on Hillary before the 2016 election didn’t go to well


2 posted on 08/14/2020 7:24:05 PM PDT by Lod881019
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To: 11th_VA

Biden will not win Florida


3 posted on 08/14/2020 7:24:39 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Nifster
Biden will not win Florida

Probably, but he could end up stealing it and a few other states. Same for a handful of House seats. California 2018 is the roadmap in 2020.

4 posted on 08/14/2020 7:25:51 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: 11th_VA
Number of Guns Ranked by State (Top 10)

1 Texas 725,368

2 Florida 432,581

3 California 376,666

4 Virginia 356,963

5 Pennsylvania 271,427

6 Georgia 225,993

7 Arizona 204,817

8 North Carolina 181,209

9 Ohio 175,819

10 Alabama 168,265

5 posted on 08/14/2020 7:25:56 PM PDT by 11th_VA (May you live in interesting times - Ancient Chinese Proverb)
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To: 11th_VA

Virginia is gone.


6 posted on 08/14/2020 7:27:24 PM PDT by workerbee (==)
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Trump won back what Romney lost


7 posted on 08/14/2020 7:30:22 PM PDT by Gene Eric (On Don't be a statist!)
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To: 11th_VA
The polls are worthless right now. Too many polls are ovhweighted registered voter polls.

My analysis of the polls has President Trump with a probability-weighted average of about 188 Electoral Votes right now, which I don't believe for a second.

-PJ

8 posted on 08/14/2020 7:31:57 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Freedom of the press is the People's right to publish, not CNN's right to the 1st question.)
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To: workerbee

The strategically placed Libertarian lost VA


9 posted on 08/14/2020 7:32:20 PM PDT by Gene Eric (On Don't be a statist!)
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To: 11th_VA

Biden is starting to capture the Alzheimer’s vote.


10 posted on 08/14/2020 7:34:36 PM PDT by TigersEye (Wear Your Mask-Stay In Your Home-Do What You're Told-Vote Democrat)
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To: 11th_VA

Never trust bookies and gamblers.

They have no idea about politics.


11 posted on 08/14/2020 7:37:39 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: workerbee
Virginia is gone

Have you been paying attention to VA this year ? In 2019, the RATs secured a 'narrow' victory; that momentum is gone.

The 2A community struck back and passed, 2A Sanctuary laws in 95% of counties in VA.

And in sleepy off year special elections this year, the 2A 'good ol boys' came out and flipped local official seats that the RATs have held for decades.

The silent 2A community is awake, and can't wait for Nov 3rd.

12 posted on 08/14/2020 7:38:39 PM PDT by 11th_VA (May you live in interesting times - Ancient Chinese Proverb)
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To: 11th_VA

So you’re expecting CA to go to Trump?


13 posted on 08/14/2020 7:46:47 PM PDT by dp0622 (I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE COVID GODFATHER I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO. YOU CAN ACT LIKE A MAN!)
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To: 11th_VA

With 60% to 70% of Trump supporters refusing to tell pollsters who they support, what the f-— good are any of these bullcrap “polls?”

It’s just a way for the media aholes to upset and depress conservatives, yet so many freepers fall for this BS EVERY election cycle.

By the way, Florida has more registered Republicans in 2020 than it did in 2016.


14 posted on 08/14/2020 7:48:05 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Wipe ANTIFA off the face of the Earth. Indict Soros, too...their sugar daddy.)
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To: 11th_VA

Were these guys around 4 years ago? How’d they do?


15 posted on 08/14/2020 7:48:19 PM PDT by dp0622 (I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE COVID GODFATHER I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO. YOU CAN ACT LIKE A MAN!)
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Trump may win Nevada, but will lose Virginia and Colorado again.


16 posted on 08/14/2020 7:50:42 PM PDT by TakebackGOP
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To: Nifster
Biden will not win Florida

I don't know, all those people moving there from New York. Idiots don't understand why they felt the need to leave New York.

17 posted on 08/14/2020 7:51:32 PM PDT by ozarkgirl
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To: 11th_VA

Is there a digit missing from those numbers? Here is Arizona we have at least twenty guns each. :)


18 posted on 08/14/2020 7:53:09 PM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: 11th_VA

I don’t think NoVA (plus Richmond) can be overcome. Sucks, but I think it’s just gone for the foreseeable future.


19 posted on 08/14/2020 7:54:36 PM PDT by workerbee (==)
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To: Nifster

I don’t see him winning FL but what do I know? I’ve seen maybe 2 Biden signs and lots of Trump signs.


20 posted on 08/14/2020 7:56:38 PM PDT by pnz1 ("These people have gone stone-cold crazy")
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