Posted on 08/14/2020 7:22:24 PM PDT by 11th_VA
President Donald Trump was able to flip six states in the 2016 election that voted for Barack Obama in 2012 Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio. Oddsmakers see four of the six flipping back to blue in 2020 enough to flip the Electoral College.
Odds to win Florida and its 29 electoral votes have moved from -182 for Democrat Joe Biden to -200. Trump and the Republicans slumped in the state to +140 from +130. Additionally, Biden improved in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, where he is an all-time best -335 now, as well as in Maine, which saw an uptick to -715 from -560.
Biden is already favored to flip North Carolina to the Democrats. Barack Obama won that state in 2008 but lost in 2012. Democrats are just +110 underdogs in Ohio, +110 in Iowa and Georgia and +160 in Texas. To put that in perspective, oddsmakers give Biden a better shot at winning Texas than Trump has of winning New Hampshire, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.
There was some good news for Trump, though. In Michigan where he was a +325 underdog, the President is now +275. Biden dropped from -560 to -455 in the state. Trump also moved to +325 in Minnesota, where he was +350, as Biden fell to -560 from his high of -715. And in Ohio, Trump ticked up from -148 to -155 to keep the Buckeye State in his column.
Of the 16 key swing states for 2020, Democrats and Biden are favored in 12 of them. Trump is favored in four, and hell need to flip at least three or four more in order to win a second term. If the odds hold in terms of actual vote, Biden would win the Electoral College 334-204.
Even if Trump were to win the four states in which he is less of an underdog than the others (Florida, North Carolina, Arizona and New Hampshire), he would fall short.
Fake polls is truly scientific and must be trusted. Trump is looking at a landslide victory.
These aren’t polls.
Trump won’t won CA but he could pick up some house seats. The rats stole CA seats.
-PJ
Polls are IIA.
Watch “Shadow Gate” documentary to learn what that means.
GIGO
We saw how accurate the polls were in 2016.
I dont believe it. Its not too scientific, but I scanned the comments to a Facebook ad by the Biden campaign. 90 percent seemed to be derisive about Biden or Harris.
... a way for the media aholes to upset and depress conservatives, yet so many freepers fall for this BS EVERY election cycle.
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Just ignore them. They can shiver over the certainty of a commie USA in November. Maybe they’ll cancel their Internet and spend 4 years in their bunker. The lack of whining Eeyores would be welcome.
I just don’t care about them anymore.
what democrat fantasy is this?
BS : Bookies Bullshit article
Or Minnesota, or the three he pulled over last time — Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Not to mention Ohio.
Or a surprise like New York.
“Strategically placed Libertarian”?
Except for Greater New York, Erie County, Monroe County, and the Capital Region, New York is a red state. Even in those areas, there are a fair number of conservatives.
Rich, Upper West Side liberals don’t feel the need to leave and the poor people can’t.
VA should have gone to Cuccinelli, but Sarvis inevitably gave VA to Terry “The Punk” McAuliffe...
Libertarian Robert Sarvis Drew Record High Votes in Virginia
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3089157/posts
Lots of New Yorkers moving there
I recall Hillary winning BIG! MSM LIE PPL LOSE
Sarvis is a LINO anyway.
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