Early vote trend in Michigan looks encouraging for repeat victory, Trump says at rally

Washington Times ^ | Oct 17, 2020 | By S.A. Miller and Dave Boyer - The Washington Times

[11th_VA]

MUSKEGON, Mich. — President Trump told supporters here Saturday that early voting trends in Michigan show that he’s defying polls and will win the state, while he tangled with Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, the target of an alleged kidnapping plot, calling her an aspiring “dictator.”

“We’re leading,” Mr. Trump said at a campaign rally in this town on the shores of Lake Michigan, calling it an early signal of his comeback. “We’re supposed to be way behind, until Election Day when all the Republicans go and you’re going to have a ‘red wave’ like you’ve never seen before.”

White House officials said Saturday that mail-in balloting and early voting totals in Michigan show that 41 percent of the 1.4 million votes so far were cast by Republicans, and 39 percent by Democrats. Another 20 percent of the vote was by independents...

[SmokingJoe]

Lots of cops? Yes.
Largely cops? Nope.

[Coop]

He’s probably quoting from his internal polling which is more accurate than what we see in the media.

Or you could have read the article...

[Ravi]

22.9% of 4.8 million total votes cast by Wayne/Washtenaw and Ingham in 2016. These are the bad blue counties.

Thus far, 2.9 million ballot REQUESTS total. These 3 counties represent 25.16% of all ballot REQUESTS and 23.8% of 1.4 million ballot RETURNS.

At the end of election night, what % of the vote will come from these 3 counties. I would wager less than 22.9%.

If that's the case, then the only way Biden wins MI is to do much better in Oakland and Macomb than Clinton did in 16.

[FLT-bird]

I listened to an analysis of the VBM and early voting today. Michigan and Wisconsin are looking really good.

Florida and North Carolina look pretty good.

Something strange is going on in Pennsylvania. Republicans have closed the gap tremendously in voter registration but the VBM/early voting has been overwhelmingly by registered Democrats. People expected the Democrats would have a large advantage early on but this one is particularly large. We need Republicans in the state to show up to the polls heavily to close the gap in early voting or we need an absolutely monster Republican turnout on election day.

So far the signs are this is going to be a heavy turnout election.

[MAGAthon]

Tweet: Ronna McDaniel, GOP Chairwoman
Nearly 4 years since he took office, and @realDonaldTrump is still drawing new voters.
From tonight’s Muskegon rally:

11,842 voters matched

Only 48.3% Republican

36% who did not vote in 2016

Thank you, Michigan!!
17 Oct 2020
https://twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/status/1317595614859898880

[MAGAthon]

Tweet: Ronna McDaniel, GOP Chairwoman
Wisconsin helped put @realDonaldTrump over the top in 2016, and data from the Janesville rally shows an even broader base of support:

13,850 signups

47.5% not Republican

24.1% did not vote in 2016

Thank you!
17 Oct 2020
https://twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/status/1317633177163386880

[RoseofTexas]

Well you never know!! That poll was all over the net! Even I got excited about it! Geez just saying!!

[Lod881019]

This is not surprising at all PA is pretty much home of the Reagan democrats that are still around the amount of rallies for trump when he was in the hospital on all the news stations was insane the only reason Joe has a real shot in pa is because he pulls that crap that he’s from Scranton

[carton253]

How long have you been a Freeper?

[KC_Conspirator]

I would be careful about trusting in “internal polling”. Lots of times it may be not much different from the info you can get here on FR.

[FLT-bird]

Yes. The big unknown of course is how many registered Democrats are voting for Trump. I doubt many Republicans are voting for Biden. The registration gap has been closed considerably. So if a bunch of traditional blue collar types who are registered Democrats in fact voted for Trump and Republicans then turn out, Trump would win easily.

[carton253]

Sure. Lol!

[cowboyusa]

I think the Dems may be cannibalizing their vote. It's don't want to mail in ballots. I know I will likely vote absentee in person.

[Jeff Chandler]

More than good numbers. The race in Michigan is OVER.

BUT GO OUT AND VOTE ANYWAY.

[Jeff Chandler]

Everything I’ve read says that PA is problematic.

[flamberge]

...we need an absolutely monster Republican turnout on election day...

Which is precisely why I would expect there are planned operations to disrupt the polls in swing states election day and whole truckloads of fresh ballots waiting to be "found" after election day.

I got my ballot in as soon as vote-by-mail and "early voting" procedures allowed this. It has already been accepted for counting.

I did not see much benefit in waiting.

[Coop]

How long have you been a Freeper?

Almost 12 hours.

[Coop]

If I understand after a quick perusal, right now during VBM MI Dems are holding serve or maybe have a slight advantage compared to 2016. That strikes me as a very good news. If the GOP outperforms during in-person voting and ups its game in GOP counties, as expected, MI could be an early call for the GOP (Trump and John James) on 11/3.

[deport]

Almost 12 hours.

++++++++++++++

LOL. Interesting that a long timer doesn’t
know how to find that info.

[Ravi]

PA has no real in-person early voting. Only VBM for now. Won’t know much about PA until election night.