Posted on 10/30/2020 5:40:58 AM PDT by bort
Folks, the Democrats have set themselves up for the biggest ***-whipping since 1988. Want some more evidence that the media polls are wrong? Check out New Mexico, where roughly half of all registered voters have already voted:
2020 NM early vote data from TargetSmart:
Non-college whites: 41.5% of all early voters
College-educated whites: 24.9% of all early voters.
Non-white vote: 34.6% (vs. 66.4% white)
2016 comparison from NM exit polling per CNN:
Non-college whites: 21%
College-educated whites: 29%
Non-white vote: 51% (vs. 49% white).
Translation: Trump's base is turning out in huge numbers, and the leftist base of college-educated Millennials and liberal Hispanics is not showing up. The polls that are showing leads for Biden are way over-sampling "suburban women" and grossly under-sampling working-class white voters. Folks, this is with HALF of New Mexico's 2016 vote total in. The demographics of the ACTUAL voters who are showing up are incredibly pro-Trump.
Our dopey media still has not picked up on the story of this election: the surge of white, working-class voters all around the country in places like Nevada, SW Florida, Arizona, Colorado, Virginia, etc. This is REAL DATA. That's why The Freeper Decision Desk Crew (Speedy,Ravi,LS,Coop,byecomey and others) keep harping on REAL DATA vs. polls. It's also why we keep harping on DEMOGRAPHICS.
If these NM demographic numbers stay anywhere close to where they presently are, Trump and the down-ballot will win. FYI, most of these NM voters voted BEFORE Biden's "I'm going to phase out oil" debate comments, which will hurt him more in oil-rich NM.
ping
Anyone? Tijeras Slim? Bueller? That would be awesome. We’re trying here in NV to go back to red but Vegas and Reno may screw that up again. Vegas alone has more population than the rest of the state so...............
“””””Vegas alone has more population than the rest of the state “”””””””””””
But maybe a bunch of those people would like the economy to open up again so they could earn a living.
Hate doesn’t motivate the independents like it does the left.
Excellent News Bort! Thanks.
Every day, you make the sun shine a little brighter. :-)
Let’s not just focus on white working class. It’s ALL working class voters. Trump doing better with Hispanics will help narrow the gap in NM.
Great 2020 numbers. But, for a true comparison, can we consider CNN exit polling in 2016 to be “real data“?
Thank you
Oregon has around 75% of the vote in.
AGREED.
How can all the CASINO/Hospitality workers want anything except for the economy to OPEN up???
My late Father told me when Jimmy Carter won: “NEVER underestimate the STUPIDITY of the American voter.”
I hope Nevadans don’t make his comment true.
Excellent this is confirmed by what my friend and I have been seeing!
How do you reach that conclusion?
What are you seeing in Oregon?
Someone on Fox last night said that to young males, Trump is seen as the ‘get back to normal, no lock downs’ candidate, while Joe isn’t.
Considering the mood of the nation, being pro-normal is a good place to be.
Same thing happening in Nevada. A key tell will be the Nv Secretary of State numbers at 9am PST. The Dem firewall based on 2016 numbes is 87,000. It dropped like a rock to 45k yesterday from 60k. Check the difference here:
https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054
The Rats are holding back votes so they can dump the “found” ballots a week after election day. Vote! Don’t get complacent, the Rats are planning on cheating and the margin’s on election day must be very big.
Concerning the Pacific NW, my daughter lives outside of Seattle and the buzz out there is how many Trump rallies have taken place.
Lifelong residents said they have never seen anything like it.
Washington will go Democrat for sure but, her point was there is NOTHING for Biden. Any ENTHUSIASM is with Trump.
Do people in Vegas really want to be locked down and turned off until Fauci says they can open up again?
Consistently longer lines than any election I’ve seen throughout the early voting period. Lot’s of mail in too.
Seen 1 Biden sign in my area.
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