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October Surprise: This Race Is Over⅖
American Thinker ^ | 11/02/2020 | By Jerry Cave and Bill Thomas

Posted on 11/02/2020 5:52:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind

We now know -- thanks to October -- who will win on November 3. The reason we know is found in early voting data.

October voting is no longer the exclusive domain of the Democratic Party. Both parties vote early and in ever-increasing numbers. Which makes the October vote an early “action report” on the election outcome that’s more reality based than the polls or the mainstream media.

Who you vote for is a secret. When, where, and how many voters cast their ballots is not. It’s data. In this case, data in its most meaningful form: the number of early votes by registered Democrats and the number of early votes by registered Republicans.

Convincing the other party’s voters to vote for your candidate is a long shot. Getting your voters to turn out for your candidate is how elections are won. It’s called GOTV, for Get Out The Vote.

GOTV plus voter enthusiasm invariably equals winning results at the polls.

In the final weeks of the campaign, enthusiasm for Donald Trump, demonstrated at multiple daily rallies, has been far beyond what it was four years ago. Will enthusiasm help produce another winning voter turnout for Trump?

Spoiler alert: Data generated by early voting says “yes.”

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: dsj03; elections; october
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1 posted on 11/02/2020 5:52:33 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Somewhere in hell Stalin is laughing. Just who will be counting the votes?


2 posted on 11/02/2020 5:55:21 AM PST by allendale
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To: SeekAndFind
In 2016, Trump asked African-Americans what they had to lose by backing him instead of his Hillary Clinton.

Trump's Hillary Clinton?

3 posted on 11/02/2020 5:58:23 AM PST by AndyTheBear
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To: SeekAndFind

The money quote from the article for me:

“A poll by the University of New Orleans of likely Louisiana voters reported that 28 percent of blacks preferred Donald Trump. That’s driven largely by black men, among whom Trump’s 43 percent edges Biden’s 42 percent.”

That, if true, is astounding!


4 posted on 11/02/2020 5:59:48 AM PST by Fai Mao (There is no justice until PIAPPS is hanging from a gallows.)
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To: AndyTheBear

Probably accidentally omitted the word “opponent” between “his” and “Hillary.”


5 posted on 11/02/2020 6:01:44 AM PST by RoosterRedux
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To: Fai Mao

If this is accurate, Trump may actually win the Popular vote.


6 posted on 11/02/2020 6:02:12 AM PST by TallahasseeConservative (Isaiah 40:31)
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To: Fai Mao

Well, it’s quite telling that pantifa is compromised of mostly white people.
The black folks are too busy working because, well, Trump.


7 posted on 11/02/2020 6:03:54 AM PST by RandallFlagg (Some men just want to watch the world burn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

We are going to have a red wave!


8 posted on 11/02/2020 6:05:03 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: TallahasseeConservative

I’ve thought he would win the popular vote all along. But, if PDJT can permanently fracture the black vote, he has done the republican party a huge favor.


9 posted on 11/02/2020 6:05:04 AM PST by Fai Mao (There is no justice until PIAPPS is hanging from a gallows.)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s going to be a mess. Trump will prevail.


10 posted on 11/02/2020 6:05:18 AM PST by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Fai Mao

Yep..


11 posted on 11/02/2020 6:05:48 AM PST by TallahasseeConservative (Isaiah 40:31)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think it’s unlucky and unwise to count your chickens before they hatch...err...vote.


12 posted on 11/02/2020 6:07:26 AM PST by moovova (Not a tagline.)
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To: Fai Mao

-——he has done the republican party a huge favor.-—

oh come now. We can do better than that.

rather than a huge favor, the President has transformed America by convincing many black citizens to become real Americans


13 posted on 11/02/2020 6:08:52 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) t Zip-a-dee-doo-dah, zip-a-dee-ay My, o. h, my, what a wonderful day)
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To: SeekAndFind

My concern is while the early numbers look good our side actually over performed. Therefore there aren’t really as many E day votes out theee as we are counting on.


14 posted on 11/02/2020 6:09:47 AM PST by 3RIVRS
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To: Fai Mao

Wonder if the Pubs are smart enough to understand what Trump has done for them?...everything from Israel to building the wall to opportunity zones....to SCJ appointments...And will they maintain it?
I am guessing NO.


15 posted on 11/02/2020 6:11:44 AM PST by Leep (Just hang'n out waiting for Trump to win reelection.)
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To: SeekAndFind
We have to hope that Trump has enough electoral votes to win without Pennsylvania, since they will accept ballots coming in days after Nov. 3 even without postmarks. So on Nov. 4 the Democrats will know how many ballots they need. (Plus there was a report here a couple of days ago that requested ballots were not being delivered in heavily Republican rural counties.)

James Clyburn was on TV saying that the only way that Biden loses is "voter suppression." That is, if the Republicans try to prevent fraudulent ballots from being included in the total, the Democrats will claim it is voter suppression.

16 posted on 11/02/2020 6:12:46 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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To: TallahasseeConservative

That is my call—the President will win the popular vote.

This is gonna be a victory so large that the Democratic cheaters in various states are just gonna throw up their hands, hold their fire, and say “we will f&^% you over next time”.


17 posted on 11/02/2020 6:12:59 AM PST by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: 3RIVRS

I don’t believe that...anyone who is truly a Trump supporter...knows what is at stake.


18 posted on 11/02/2020 6:13:19 AM PST by Leep (Just hang'n out waiting for Trump to win reelection.)
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To: SeekAndFind

If this race is even close ,we are doomed. Trump should win every state. People are really stupid and that will be our down fall. God help The Republic .


19 posted on 11/02/2020 6:14:48 AM PST by spincaster (hat)
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To: SeekAndFind
In fact, there’s no better source of actionable data than a Trump rally, because everyone who wants to attend has to provide contact information to get a free ticket. The campaign then uses this data to turn every event into a force-multiplier. First, each rally reaches millions of voters live at the venue, on cable TV, and on YouTube. Then millions more engage on Facebook and Twitter.

After the rally, a campaign team targets those who attended with digital ads that recipients can retarget to their contacts as look-alike campaigns on social media.

The party also mines the same data for useful insights and information it can convert into turnout. Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDaniel noted that 45 percent of the attendees at an October New Hampshire rally were not registered Republicans and 20 percent did not vote in 2016.

Who would wait in line for hours to see a Trump rally in October and then not vote for Trump in November? It’s easy to predict there will be many new Trump voters this year in more states than just New Hampshire.

Excellent info and insights.

20 posted on 11/02/2020 6:15:28 AM PST by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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